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Author Topic: MI-Target Insyghts: Whitmer +9  (Read 345 times)
Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« on: September 18, 2018, 05:30:41 pm »

Whitmer (D): 50%
Schuetter (R): 41%

Third poll in a row showing Whitmer hitting 50% support.

Last Insyght poll had it Whitmer +5 in mid-June.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/governor/mi/michigan_governor_schuette_vs_whitmer-6441.html
« Last Edit: September 18, 2018, 05:34:38 pm by PittsburghSteel »Logged

Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2018, 05:34:22 pm »

Yay!
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I'm a Southern Blue-Dog Democrat... one of the few still left...

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olowakandi
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2018, 05:39:18 pm »

She's gonna win 53-47, not by 15
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2018, 05:40:34 pm »

She's gonna win 53-47, not by 15

With the way things are going, she's going to win by way more than just six points.
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2018, 05:41:40 pm »

She's gonna win 53-47, not by 15

What is so hard to believe about a double digit win? Both Granholm and Snyder did it in 2006 and 2010, respectively. Snyder probably would have done it again in 2014 if he didn't get so unpopular. And if you respond with "Trump won this state," consider that Snyder's blowout win in 2010 came 2 years after Obama won MI by almost 17 points.

Edit:

Granholm's 14 point win in 2006 actually looks similar to Whitmer, polling-wise:

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2006/governor/mi/michigan_governor_race-13.html
« Last Edit: September 18, 2018, 05:45:58 pm by VirginiŠ »Logged

Xing
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2018, 05:45:30 pm »

A double-digit win is certainly not out of the question for Whitmer. The Midwest is prone to pretty heavy swings, and I think that many were too quick to assume the the Republican swing in 2016 was a permanent trend, and that those people could be surprised at how sharply the Midwest swings Democratic this year.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2018, 05:50:19 pm »

A double-digit win is certainly not out of the question for Whitmer. The Midwest is prone to pretty heavy swings, and I think that many were too quick to assume the the Republican swing in 2016 was a permanent trend, and that those people could be surprised at how sharply the Midwest swings Democratic this year.

People assuming a Midwestern state is lost forever just because it went Republican in a highly anomalous election being put to shame seems like the recurring theme this year.
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Xing
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2018, 05:56:10 pm »

A double-digit win is certainly not out of the question for Whitmer. The Midwest is prone to pretty heavy swings, and I think that many were too quick to assume the the Republican swing in 2016 was a permanent trend, and that those people could be surprised at how sharply the Midwest swings Democratic this year.

People assuming a Midwestern state is lost forever just because it went Republican in a highly anomalous election being put to shame seems like the recurring theme this year.

Some people are still saying that about a certain *other* Midwestern state, lol.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2018, 06:14:01 pm »

The last six polls have had Whitmer ahead by anywhere from 9-15 points, and the RGA has already triaged Schuette. This race is safe D.
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