A double-digit win is certainly not out of the question for Whitmer. The Midwest is prone to pretty heavy swings, and I think that many were too quick to assume the the Republican swing in 2016 was a permanent trend, and that those people could be surprised at how sharply the Midwest swings Democratic this year.
People assuming a Midwestern state is lost forever just because it went Republican in a highly anomalous election being put to shame seems like the recurring theme this year.
Some people are still saying that about a certain *other* Midwestern state, lol.