AZ-TargetSmart: Ducey +1
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  AZ-TargetSmart: Ducey +1
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Author Topic: AZ-TargetSmart: Ducey +1  (Read 565 times)
Dr Oz Lost Party!
PittsburghSteel
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« on: September 18, 2018, 08:45:36 PM »

Ducey (R): 49%
Garcia (D): 48%

https://progressnowarizona.org/2018/09/18/breaking-new-poll-shows-david-garcia-neck-and-neck-with-doug-ducey-in-arizona-governors-race/
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2018, 08:49:36 PM »

Ducey running 6 points ahead of McSally seems a LOT more reasonable than Fox showing Ducey running ahead by double digits.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2018, 08:50:19 PM »

Garcia will win
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Rookie Yinzer
RFKFan68
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2018, 09:10:00 PM »

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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2018, 09:12:38 PM »

Garcia could still win, but I'd like to see him at least lead in a poll before believing that (especially ones where Sinema is up by more than a few points.)
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junior chįmp
Mondale_was_an_insidejob
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2018, 09:13:48 PM »

McCain/Kyl bump fading
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Zaybay
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2018, 09:49:13 PM »

Seems that this race is lean/tilt R, considering how well Ducey is doing. Though, if this is from McCain, then it wont last, but I cant figure it out, so Ill say it isnt.

Really hope Garcia pulls it in the last 2 months.
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Antonio the Sixth
Antonio V
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2018, 10:44:41 PM »

Garcia could still win, but I'd like to see him at least lead in a poll before believing that (especially ones where Sinema is up by more than a few points.)

This.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2018, 11:40:40 PM »

Anybody have ratings on this polling firm???

Undecided voters look extremely low for early September in Arizona....

Trump Unfav of 55% looks odd in any kind of LV midterm screen, let alone an RV screen....

Is this just a poll of Arizona adults or Huh?

Not to rain on Atlas Dem's parade, but I have some serious questions about how representative this poll actually is of people likely to vote in November...

Call me Pessimist from Oregon, especially now that the rainy season is starting to kick in, combined with a lack of natural sunlight that hits this time of the year....

Garcia still has a chance for sure, but this poll seems a bit off somehow, unless they are seeing a Turnout Model that is broader in scope, or perhaps there might have been some "Poll-Herding" going on in the other recent polls we have seen....

At this point Ducey has an edge, regardless of a "McCain Bounce", "Teacher Strike Resolution Bounce", or just simply that Garcia isn't that well known yet among many new voters in Arizona, regardless of his performance back in '14 for Sec of Ed...
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: September 19, 2018, 06:30:40 PM »

Garcia could still win, but I'd like to see him at least lead in a poll before believing that (especially ones where Sinema is up by more than a few points.)

This.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #10 on: September 20, 2018, 07:50:01 AM »

NV and AZ, Dems polls are bad and CCM came from behind to win, Dems can do this with Rosen and Sinema leading
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