This is a race Raimondo could easily lose. Tough to believe Trillo will hold up on election day and he's right.
Why is it tough to believe a third party will hold up at 7% when a third party got 21% against the same exact candidates in 2014?
Not the same type of 3rd party candidates. Trillo's a hardcore Trumper. Healy in 2014 was a well known protest candidate running against both parties. I think the possibility of Trillo's base turning to Fung in a close election is more likely than not.
Secondly, Raimondo got 41% 4 years ago in a very difficult environment. She's only up to 43% 4 years later in one of the most anti-Trump and liberal states in the country. She alienated public unions with difficult and controversial decisions and has not really recovered. Third, it's a Dem state that has regularly elected center-right Republicans to be governor to keep a check on its heavily Dem legislature much like neighboring MA. Lastly, she's made some actual mistakes.
