MO-Global Strategy: McCaskill +6

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Once again, a complete lack of evidence.

Not a single Democrat has been elected statewide in Texas since the 1990s.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Once again, a complete lack of evidence.

Not a single Democrat has been elected statewide in Texas since the 1990s.

"It has never happened before so of course it will never happen"

- A bunch of people on a topic on whether or not DuPage County would vote Democratic in 2008.

[ON Progressive]

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Once again, a complete lack of evidence.

Not a single Democrat has been elected statewide in Texas since the 1990s.

No Democrat had won a federal statewide race in Alabama in 25 years, until Doug Jones won. 2010 saw the GOP take state legislatures they hadn’t held since Reconstruction, which was way longer than the 1990s.

You can’t say Beto has zero chance just because “MUH HISTORY”

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Once again, a complete lack of evidence.

Not a single Democrat has been elected statewide in Texas since the 1990s.

No Democrat had won a federal statewide race in Alabama in 25 years, until Doug Jones won. 2010 saw the GOP take state legislatures they hadn’t held since Reconstruction, which was way longer than the 1990s.

You can’t say Beto has zero chance just because “MUH HISTORY”

Let me know when Cruz is found to have sexually assaulted someone and then we'll talk.

[Politician]

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Once again, a complete lack of evidence.

Not a single Democrat has been elected statewide in Texas since the 1990s.

No Democrat had won a federal statewide race in Alabama in 25 years, until Doug Jones won. 2010 saw the GOP take state legislatures they hadn’t held since Reconstruction, which was way longer than the 1990s.

You can’t say Beto has zero chance just because “MUH HISTORY”

Let me know when Cruz is found to have sexually assaulted someone and then we'll talk.

There's honestly a really good chance of that happening, but even if it doesn't Cruz's approvals are teally weak for a solid red state.

[ON Progressive]

Texas - Safe R state, only question is the margin. The votes to elect a Democrat simply aren't there, no matter what.

Once again, a complete lack of evidence.

Not a single Democrat has been elected statewide in Texas since the 1990s.

No Democrat had won a federal statewide race in Alabama in 25 years, until Doug Jones won. 2010 saw the GOP take state legislatures they hadn’t held since Reconstruction, which was way longer than the 1990s.

You can’t say Beto has zero chance just because “MUH HISTORY”

Let me know when Cruz is found to have sexually assaulted someone and then we'll talk.

The point went way over your head there. Yes, Jones won because of strange circumstances, but my point is that history doesn’t make Cruz safe.

West Virginia was a Dem leaning state for decades until it wasn’t. Vermont was one of the most Republican states in the nation for nearly 130 years until it wasn’t.

[Arkansas Yankee]

It's insane that McCaskill is in a better position to be reelected in ruby red Missouri than Nelson in purple Florida.

She is 10 years younger.

[jamestroll]

Mccaskill is in decent shape.  Still not convinced she has won yet.

And Texas is lean Republican not likely Republican. 

[Jeppe]

Is it safe to call McCaskill an electoral witch if Greitens runs as an independent? Because nobody can be that lucky!

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Pure Tossup, gun to my head, Claire goes back to Washington, still not a comfy call though.

[Free Bird]

Claire could be leading, but no way by this much.

[Free Bird]

What is it with Missouri polling? The last nonpartisan poll was Emerson that had it tied in late April. All the nonpartisan polls, for that matter, have had it at a consistent statistical dead heat, but then there's sh**t like this and the Peterson internal showing totally opposite results in a short period.

[LimoLiberal]

Worth mentioning that this is a poll for the Chuck Schumer affiliated Super PAC Patriot Majority. Still a good result for McCaskill.

I've brought this up many times, but McCaskill is in a much better position in terms of polling compared to 2012 at this time. Of course, Hawley hasn't gone up on the air because of the lack of a competitive primary while in 2012 at this time the primary was raging on. But look at the polling from this time period in 2012:

[TheSaint250]

Hawley is obviously not the best candidate for the GOP. I'd still rate the race as toss-up.

Cruz+6: Likely R
McCaskill+6 : Tossup

#Atlas

Both are Democrat-run internals.

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

You can't anvil the McCaskilll.

[Calthrina950]

Worth mentioning that this is a poll for the Chuck Schumer affiliated Super PAC Patriot Majority. Still a good result for McCaskill.

I've brought this up many times, but McCaskill is in a much better position in terms of polling compared to 2012 at this time. Of course, Hawley hasn't gone up on the air because of the lack of a competitive primary while in 2012 at this time the primary was raging on. But look at the polling from this time period in 2012:

This is interesting. It's a good reminder of how much Akin blew it for the Republicans back in 2012 with his "legitimate rape" comment. Hawley has not done or said anything that could be compared to that, but he is not taking this race seriously, and has not led in most of the polls of that I have seen to this point.

[IceSpear]

Republicans will win in a landslide because they went up 0.3 points in the generic ballot in a week. You can't argue with that trajectory. But McCaskill's steady upward trajectory over 18 months is meaningless, she's still DOA.

[Thunder98 🇮🇱 🤝 🇵🇸]

Junk poll!

[ElectionsGuy]

Republicans will win in a landslide because they went up 0.3 points in the generic ballot in a week. You can't argue with that trajectory. But McCaskill's steady upward trajectory over 18 months is meaningless, she's still DOA.

For once your sarcasm ended up being correct.