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Author Topic: PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College: Wolf +19  (Read 758 times)
Senator ON Progressive
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« on: September 21, 2018, 01:58:50 pm »

Wolf (D-inc) 55
Wagner (R) 36

http://www.mcall.com/news/nationworld/pennsylvania/mc-morning-call-muhlenberg-poll-pennsylvania-catholic-church-20180921-htmlstory.html
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #1 on: September 21, 2018, 02:53:31 pm »

Holy sh*t
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Comrade Funk
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« Reply #2 on: September 21, 2018, 02:55:37 pm »

Img
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #3 on: September 21, 2018, 02:57:55 pm »

Wolf approval at 53/33% +20
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olowakandi
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« Reply #4 on: September 21, 2018, 03:00:29 pm »

Casey and Wolf will win 55-45%, there isn't gonna be a 20 point spread
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #5 on: September 21, 2018, 03:05:18 pm »

Casey and Wolf will win 55-45%, there isn't gonna be a 20 point spread

What makes you think the vast majority of undecideds are gonna break for Barletta and Wagner?
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olowakandi
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« Reply #6 on: September 21, 2018, 03:06:47 pm »

Because multiple polls showed the same thing, a 20 point gap and in 2012 with Casey and he won by only 10 points
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #7 on: September 21, 2018, 03:18:18 pm »

Because multiple polls showed the same thing, a 20 point gap and in 2012 with Casey and he won by only 10 points

According to RCP, polls had Casey leading from anywhere between 5-10 points in September.
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Spenstar
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« Reply #8 on: September 21, 2018, 03:24:48 pm »

Here's hoping those margins can push Democratic house and state legislative candidates in Pennsylvania over the finish line
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: September 21, 2018, 04:16:27 pm »

Wolf definitely isn't going to win by 19, but it's a nice poll. I'm hoping he can do better than he did in 2014 at minimum.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #10 on: September 21, 2018, 04:17:46 pm »

Sorry did not realize there was already a thread I deleted mine.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: September 21, 2018, 04:18:33 pm »

Also looks like Wolf has some easy prey.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #12 on: September 21, 2018, 04:20:15 pm »

Wolf definitely isn't going to win by 19, but it's a nice poll. I'm hoping he can do better than he did in 2014 at minimum.

At this point, it seems very likely he will outperform his 2014 margin. For one there’s John Fetterman at his side who has deep ties to the west and can boost Wolf’s support there, and we have Scott Wagner from the GOP who is far weaker than even Corbett was. Plus, Wolf has incumbency and according to this poll, a +20 approval rating.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #13 on: September 21, 2018, 04:28:02 pm »

You know we are in a good spot when our biggest issue to discuss is how much Wolf and Casy win by.
« Last Edit: September 21, 2018, 04:32:32 pm by Prolocutor Bagel23 »Logged
IceSpear
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« Reply #14 on: September 21, 2018, 04:30:02 pm »

You know we are in a good spot when we our biggest issue to discuss is how much Wolf and Casy win by.

More like whether or not they'll win by double digits, lol.
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« Reply #15 on: September 21, 2018, 05:36:07 pm »

If Wolf or Casey win by this much, I wouldn't be surprised to see Democrats to net 5 or even 6 seats from PA in the House, rather than 3.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #16 on: September 22, 2018, 05:07:06 am »

Great numbers! Safe Democratic, obviously. Wolf should outperform his 2014 result. I think he'll end up winning 57-43%. (In Pennsylania, D+R usually adds up to 100%).

What has caused Wolf's soaring popularity? I remember that his numbers fell for a while after he came in and some throught he was about to become a Democratic version of Tom Corbett.
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« Reply #17 on: September 23, 2018, 03:07:27 pm »

Great numbers! Safe Democratic, obviously. Wolf should outperform his 2014 result. I think he'll end up winning 57-43%. (In Pennsylania, D+R usually adds up to 100%).

What has caused Wolf's soaring popularity? I remember that his numbers fell for a while after he came in and some throught he was about to become a Democratic version of Tom Corbett.

I think Trump's unpopularity + Wolf doing a good job/no scandals + Wagner being an awful candidate is the perfect storm that has brought us here.

Who knows what will happen in November but it's very funny to me that we've now had literally like 6, 7, 8 polls all at about the same margin for Wolf and Casey and we have people trying to say that that's not gonna happen. When 8 polls start showing the same margin, I'd say it's a pretty big likelihood they might be right.
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