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  For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections
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Author Topic: For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections  (Read 4714 times)
McGarnagle and the Power of the Word "Might"
SomethingPolitical
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« on: September 23, 2018, 05:35:15 pm »
« edited: September 23, 2018, 05:54:24 pm by SomethingPolitical »

Let's try to predict the next six elections (2020, 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040).

You don't need to necessarily list Electoral Votes for each election since that's going to change from decade to decade, but you're welcome to try. Just post maps for how you believe the next elections from 2020 to 2040 are going to go. You can go into as much or as little detail as you would like.

In a couple decades, whoever was closest wins cool points.

Ready? Go!

2020



Democratic nominee (probably from the Northeast) defeats Donald Trump, 379 EV to 159 EV

2024



Popular incumbent Democratic POTUS defeats Mike Pence with over 400 EV, finally flipping Texas and Georgia, amid a strong economy and after a higher federal minimum wage, a Medicare for All program, and a bill rescheduling cannabis at the federal level become law from 2021 to 2023, with large majorities welcoming these changes.

2028



The Democratic VP wins comfortably against a relatively moderate northeastern GOP governor, with nearly 350 EV, vowing to essentially be a third term for the popular outgoing POTUS

2032



A socially liberal, fiscally conservative GOP Governor from the southwest sweeps into power, defeating the incumbent Democrat with nearly 350 EV amid an economic downturn. By now, the GOP is more welcoming of immigrants and LGBT people and less Trumpist, but still emphasizes tax cuts and other early 21st century Republican orthodoxy. Minnesota goes Republican for the first time since 1972, Maine for the first time since 1988, New Hampshire for the first time since 2000 and Nevada along with New Mexico for the first time since 2004.

2036



The popular incumbent Republican POTUS is re-elected over a familiar establishment Democrat with around 370 EV, amid a booming economy and no major wars. Oregon goes Republican for the first time since 1984, and Virginia for the first time since 2004.

2040



A close battle between two political scions - one a popular Democratic Senator, the other the well-respected Republican VP, results in an extremely close Democratic victory. A slowing economy and personal scandals dent the two-term President's popularity, allowing the Democrats an opening. The result hinges on Texas, decided by less than 0.5%.

In Summation

45. Donald Trump (R-NY)
January 20, 2017 - January 20, 2021
Won 2016, Lost 2020

46. Two-Term Liberal or Left-Wing Northeastern Democrat
January 20, 2021 - January 20, 2029
Won 2020, Won 2024

47. One-Term Liberal or Left-Wing Democrat, previous VP
January 20, 2029 - January 20, 2033
Won 2028, Lost 2032

48. Two-Term Moderate Southwestern Republican
January 20, 2033 - January 20, 2041
Won 2032, Won 2036

49. Familiar Democratic Scion
January 20, 2041 to January 20, 2045 or 2049
Won 2040, eligible for re-election in 2044
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Skill and Chance
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« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2018, 06:07:12 pm »

Hmmm... I'm seeing 2 general themes here.

Scenario 1 (more likely IMO)

2020



Trump wins the EC with more room to spare than in 2016.  This would be a 1.5-3% Trump PV win.  Democrats hold the House.  Republicans either hold or take back the Senate.

2024



The economy severely deteriorates during Trump's 2nd term.  This is a slightly bigger Dem PV win than Obama 2008.

2028



Easy Dem reelection in improving economy.  1st double digit PV win since 1984.

2032



4%ish Dem PV win, the curse is broken.

2036



1.5% GOP PV win, EC win only after recount in NC (because TX has many more EVs by then).

2040



GOP incumbent reelected, 3-4% PV win
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2018, 07:36:24 pm »

I can see Republicans getting 3 terms under this scenario(Ignore the Shading and the EV numbers in each state)


2020:




A Democrat narrowly defeats Trump despite a good economy, mainly due to Trump's unpopularity. Democrats also take the Senate(by winning AZ ,CO and NC while losing AL) and keep the House(Which they won in 2018).


2024:




The Economy goes into a recession into 2022 similar to the one in the early 1990s and that causes the party to break out into civil war between the Bernie and Establishment wings once again. The Republican nominee is a Center Right Republican(Like Nikki Haley) who is more moderate on the issue of immigration and the bad economy and a divided democratic party allows the Republicans to win big.


2028:




A Booming Economy allows the Republican candidate to win big again


2032:



The Democrats nominate a Moderate Governor from the Southwest but the Booming Economy and the Popular Incumbent President campaigning extensively for their Vice President who is the nominee(unlike 1960 and 2000) gives them a narrow victory


2036:



A Bad Economy(goes into recession in 2033 or 2034) and a divided GOP allow the Democrat who is popular South East Governor to win big


2040:




A Booming economy and a lackluster Republican candidate allows the Dem to easily win including winning Ohio by a pretty narrow margin
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Andrew Yang 2024
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« Reply #3 on: September 23, 2018, 10:49:27 pm »

Let's try to predict the next six elections (2020, 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040).

You don't need to necessarily list Electoral Votes for each election since that's going to change from decade to decade, but you're welcome to try. Just post maps for how you believe the next elections from 2020 to 2040 are going to go. You can go into as much or as little detail as you would like.

In a couple decades, whoever was closest wins cool points.

Ready? Go!

2020



Democratic nominee (probably from the Northeast) defeats Donald Trump, 379 EV to 159 EV

2024



Popular incumbent Democratic POTUS defeats Mike Pence with over 400 EV, finally flipping Texas and Georgia, amid a strong economy and after a higher federal minimum wage, a Medicare for All program, and a bill rescheduling cannabis at the federal level become law from 2021 to 2023, with large majorities welcoming these changes.

2028



The Democratic VP wins comfortably against a relatively moderate northeastern GOP governor, with nearly 350 EV, vowing to essentially be a third term for the popular outgoing POTUS

2032



A socially liberal, fiscally conservative GOP Governor from the southwest sweeps into power, defeating the incumbent Democrat with nearly 350 EV amid an economic downturn. By now, the GOP is more welcoming of immigrants and LGBT people and less Trumpist, but still emphasizes tax cuts and other early 21st century Republican orthodoxy. Minnesota goes Republican for the first time since 1972, Maine for the first time since 1988, New Hampshire for the first time since 2000 and Nevada along with New Mexico for the first time since 2004.

2036



The popular incumbent Republican POTUS is re-elected over a familiar establishment Democrat with around 370 EV, amid a booming economy and no major wars. Oregon goes Republican for the first time since 1984, and Virginia for the first time since 2004.

2040



A close battle between two political scions - one a popular Democratic Senator, the other the well-respected Republican VP, results in an extremely close Democratic victory. A slowing economy and personal scandals dent the two-term President's popularity, allowing the Democrats an opening. The result hinges on Texas, decided by less than 0.5%.

In Summation

45. Donald Trump (R-NY)
January 20, 2017 - January 20, 2021
Won 2016, Lost 2020

46. Two-Term Liberal or Left-Wing Northeastern Democrat
January 20, 2021 - January 20, 2029
Won 2020, Won 2024

47. One-Term Liberal or Left-Wing Democrat, previous VP
January 20, 2029 - January 20, 2033
Won 2028, Lost 2032

48. Two-Term Moderate Southwestern Republican
January 20, 2033 - January 20, 2041
Won 2032, Won 2036

49. Familiar Democratic Scion
January 20, 2041 to January 20, 2045 or 2049
Won 2040, eligible for re-election in 2044

Keep Dreaming.
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McGarnagle and the Power of the Word "Might"
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2018, 12:21:29 am »

I will keep dreaming!

Anything to add to the thread, by chance? Any maps?
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2018, 12:08:22 pm »

I can see Republicans getting 3 terms under this scenario(Ignore the Shading and the EV numbers in each state)


2020:




A Democrat narrowly defeats Trump despite a good economy, mainly due to Trump's unpopularity. Democrats also take the Senate(by winning AZ ,CO and NC while losing AL) and keep the House(Which they won in 2018).


2024:




The Economy goes into a recession into 2022 similar to the one in the early 1990s and that causes the party to break out into civil war between the Bernie and Establishment wings once again. The Republican nominee is a Center Right Republican(Like Nikki Haley) who is more moderate on the issue of immigration and the bad economy and a divided democratic party allows the Republicans to win big.


2028:




A Booming Economy allows the Republican candidate to win big again


2032:



The Democrats nominate a Moderate Governor from the Southwest but the Booming Economy and the Popular Incumbent President campaigning extensively for their Vice President who is the nominee(unlike 1960 and 2000) gives them a narrow victory


2036:



A Bad Economy(goes into recession in 2033 or 2034) and a divided GOP allow the Democrat who is popular South East Governor to win big


2040:




A Booming economy and a lackluster Republican candidate allows the Dem to easily win including winning Ohio by a pretty narrow margin

I canít see Texas voting R in all 6 elections.
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Elitists for Bloomberg
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2018, 12:44:35 pm »

2020: After an economic crash, Trump loses a landslide to Bernie Sanders. Kasich runs indy and takes some votes from Trump.



2024: President Sanders wins the biggest landslide since Reagan '84 against Mike Pence.



2028: Vice President *whoever* is elected by a comfortable margin over a weak GOP opponent. With the Sanders era causing whites to vote on economics over cultural issues, combined with the growing African-American population, the South starts to trend Democratic.



2032: The incumbent president, suffering from a bad economy, loses to a moderate Republican challenger from the north.



2036: The incumbent president, enjoying a booming economy, wins comfortably. Some areas trending away from the party flip.



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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2018, 01:13:24 pm »

2020



The stock market crashes in 2019 and the economy is deep in recession by the election. Without the support of a growing economy, Trump is crushed by whoever the Democrats nominate.

2024



Though the economy exits recession in 2021, it faces steep headwinds when global oil production peaks that year. Two years of elevated oil prices presage another stock market crash and recession in 2023. The Republican candidate wins big with rhetoric reminiscent of Trump, calling for the US to throw its weight around the world to secure oil supplies and favorable trade deals to save American industry, free trade be damned.

2028



The Republican president divides opinion by invading to Venezuela to secure another source of oil as oil prices persist at painfully high prices. His opponent runs a "Green New Deal" campaign, promising to lead a transition of the energy grid to renewables to both combat climate change and ease the pressure of high oil prices. This message does not excite people as well as Democratic focus panels expected, but in the end is enough to eek out a narrow victory.

2032



The "Green New Deal" flops, as the president lacks the legislative super majorities required to force it through. High prices and economic stagnation/contraction continue throughout their term. Climate change-driven events in the global south propel huge waves of immigrants towards the US's southern border, making the 2032 election a referendum on immigration with ominous racial undertones. The Republican president is elected with a mandate to secure the border to create "An America for Americans."

2036



As it turns out, "An America for Americans" does not include voting rights for most non-whites. Go figure.

2040



The people of the United States line up at polling places across the country to joyously cast their votes for the Dear Leader and his Party. They have much to be thankful for. The immigrant menace has been contained at the border; internment camps managed by Our Boys in Blue dot the Mexican side of the wall. Oil prices are at all time lows thanks to a steady supply of Canadian crude, overseen by our industrious companies with the support of party leadership. And the liberal claptrap once staining the airwaves on stations like CNN has finally been silenced.

California did not report its votes on time. No matter, they will be punished for their insubordination.
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« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2018, 12:07:22 pm »

2020: Trump loses re-election to Generic Democrat A, 50-47



2024: President Generic Democrat A defeats Generic Republican A, 52-45



2028: Generic Democrat B defeats Generic Republican B, 50-48



2032: Generic Republican C defeats President Generic Democrat B, 49-47


2036: President Generic Republican C defeats Generic Democrat C, 50-47


2040: Generic Democrat D defeats Generic Republican D, 51-46
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« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2018, 01:30:46 pm »

Even if it is not really possible to predict, I approve of these kinds of threads in that they are a historiographical marker of what expectations were at different points. Similar threads from 2004 are really fun to read, and I imagine this one will be too in 2030 or so. Someone who knows they will still be around then should bookmark it.
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« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2018, 02:18:03 pm »

Just so everyone knows, after this thread has run its' course I will be making consensus maps for all of the races

unless, you know, there are more than 10.
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Oregon Blue Dog
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2018, 04:23:08 pm »

2020

The Democrat wins a large victory, winning the EC easily and the popular vote by about 6 points. The Midwest swings away from the Republicans for one last time, and the Sunbelt trends more Democratic.
2024

The reasonably popular Democratic incumbent wins re-election by a narrower margin. Georgia flips, however the Midwest does too. New Hampshire is the closest state.
2028

Republicans continue to make inroads in the Midwest, and their candidate manages to flip Florida and Georgia, handing them their first win since 2016. The Democrats, however, continue to make progress in Texas and crack 50% in Arizona and Nevada, a notable feat. The popular vote goes to the GOP for only the second time in the century. This is the final election of the 6th Party System.
2032

A climate disaster and the resulting refugee crisis cause a Democratic landslide, as their candidate carries every single coastal state save Alabama. However, the Midwest and Plains stay Republican, a trend in the early days of the 7th Party System. The Democrats win the popular vote 55-44.

2036

Refugees turn West Virginia and Montana Democratic, and play an integral role in keeping Illinois Democratic. However, a 'return to normalcy' means the Republicans gain some ground, especially in the interior where the climate disaster didn't register as much. The incumbent wins re-election easily, however.
2040

Hints of a realignment begin to show as the coastal regions begin to shift back towards the Republicans due to urban areas being flooded and their liberal residents moving inland. Resultantly inland states begin to shift towards the Democrats, with the exception of the Southwest, where the emergency response to a drought was botched up by the Democratic president. The vice president wins election, narrowly winning the popular vote.

For extras...
2044

Republicans finally win in 2044, due to discontent following 12 years of Democratic rule. The coast swings Republican, though states with inland urban centers (Georgia, North Carolina, New York) stay Democratic.
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dw93
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« Reply #12 on: September 30, 2018, 11:55:41 am »

2020:



The Democratic Nominee beats Trump decisively due to an early 90's level recession starting in late 2019, making him the first sitting President to be defeated for re election in 28 years. Democrats, who retake the house and by the skin of their teeth the Senate in November 2018, see gains in both chambers. Arizona votes Democrat for the first time since 1996, North Carolina for the first time since 2008.



2024:



Incumbent Democratic President is re elected, abet by a slimmer margin than 2020 due to white republican leaning boomers in Arizona and Florida as well as the GOP making inroads in the Midwest. However, North Carolina stays Democratic and Georgia flips for the first time since 1992, softening the blow. After losing control of the House in 2022 and suffering a loss of five seats in the Senate that year, the Democrats gain back the House while the Senate sees no net gains or losses for either party.


2028:



The Incumbent Democratic VP Narrowly defeats a moderate Republican Governor from the Rust Belt. Arizona flips back to the Democrats and Georgia and North Carolina remain Democratic. However, Florida stays Republican and Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Maine's Second Congressional District go Republican. The House and Senate, which flipped to the Republicans in 2026 due to a minor scandal in the White House, narrowly remain in Republican control.

2032:



Due to a weak economy, gridlock between a Democratic President and Republican Congress, and a botched response to a natural disaster, a moderate governor from Florida narrowly defeats the incumbent Democratic President. The GOP sees moderate gains in Congress in 2030 and 2032. The GOP flips Michigan, Maine's 2nd District, and North Carolina for the first time since 2016, New Hampshire for the first time since 2000, Maine at large and 1st District since 1988, and Minnesota for the first time since the Nixon landslide of 1972.

2036:



A strong economy and Peace Abroad carry the 48th President to a Second Term Decisively. Despite this, the Democrats, who retake both Houses of Congress in 2034, keep their majorities. Oregon and Rhode Island flip Republican for the first time since 1984, Delaware and Connecticut do for the first time since 1988, and due to population decline in Chicago and Cook County as a whole Illinois narrowly flips as well.
2040:



Peace and Prosperity continue through the rest of the 2030s, and America doesn't see any serious political gridlock until after the 2038 midterms, where the Democrats swept due to the so called "six year itch." Oregon, North Carolina, and Virginia flip back to the Democrats, and for the first time since 1976 due to Demographic Changes finally catching up as well as voters focusing more on economic issues than Social ones, so does Texas. However, Illinois, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Delaware, to the surprise of many, narrowly stay Republican.

Bonus. 2044:



Due to various botched covert operations in South America, and a mid 1970's level recession, a liberal Democratic Governor from the Southwest defeats the Incumbent Republican President by the biggest electoral margin since 1988. The Democrats win back Illinois, Maine's First Congressional District, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Delaware, as well as Minnesota, Florida, and Pennsylvania. They also flip Montana and Louisiana for the first time since 1992 and flip Mississippi and South Carolina for the first time since 1976. By January 2045, the Democrats would have Congressional Super Majorities not seen since 1978. 










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Del Tachi
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2018, 10:33:51 am »

2020


2024


2028


2032


2036


2040
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« Reply #14 on: October 23, 2018, 05:50:11 pm »


There's no chance in h*ll that Trump (or any Republican) will carry Virginia in 2020
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #15 on: October 23, 2018, 06:24:42 pm »

2020:


The Democratic ticket (let's say Harris/Bullock) wins a closer than expected victory over Trump, who presided over a recession over 2019-2020. The Democrats hold the House and gain the Senate.

2024:


Despite losing the Senate and barely holding onto the House, Harris/Bullock wins re-election over some faux Trumpist.

2028:


A larger recession occurs in 2025-26, causing the Dems to lose Congress. Tom Cotton wins election due to the poor economy.

2032:


Pres. Cotton handles climate disasters poorly, and a young left-wing Midwestern Senator wins in a landslide. This is the first time Ohio votes for the Democrats since 2012.

2036:


A charismatic female Republican governor from the South defeats the incumbent who fails to address the climate disasters affecting southern states. The revival of Detroit and other Rust Belt cities brings Michigan back into the solid Democratic column. Rhode Island votes for the GOP for the first time since 1984.

2040:


A popular Democratic Senator from Texas defeats the incumbent after a recession starting in 2037.

(And yes, an incumbent President loses re-election in 2032, '36 and '40)
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« Reply #16 on: October 24, 2018, 12:57:39 am »

Here's something interesting: The agreement on 2040. Eveyone's maps had these results:

Republican - Alaska, Montana, Idaho, North Dakota, South Dakota, Wyoming, Utah, Nebraska (except for NE-2), Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Indiana
Democrat - Maryland, DC, New Mexico, and Hawaii

The consensus is that in 2040, elections will be far more dependent on identity politics, as all the Democrat states are majority nonwhite, and the Republican states are very white.
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« Reply #17 on: October 26, 2018, 08:50:06 am »

2028: The first election since the start of World War III, the grey states have not yet been deemed safe to return to yet since nuclear strikes.


Mike Pence - 40% American Victory Party
Tulsi Gabbard - 35% Democratic-Socialist Movement
Justin Amash - 25% Liberty and Peace Party

2031 After the Secession Crisis, Pence is forced to step down and new elections are held. The People's Assembly is forced to recognize the Democratic Republic of New England.



Justin Amash - 42% Liberty Alliance Party
Max Robespierre - 36% Democracy NOW!
Benjamin Shapiro - 22% American Victory Party

2036 High Consul Amash has allowed for the peaceful secession of the southern states early in his term to avoid civil war.



Orange and Yellow = Democratic Republic of New England and the Republic of Dixie

Amash - 56% Independent
Other minor candidates - 46% collectively

2040 and onward, the position of High Consul is selected by the People's Assembly.
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Cassandra
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« Reply #18 on: October 26, 2018, 04:10:21 pm »


Nice!
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« Reply #19 on: October 26, 2018, 08:55:37 pm »
« Edited: October 26, 2018, 09:54:54 pm by Lakigigar »

2020:



Kamala Harris was nominated in a competitive Democratic primary field. A Democratic northeastern candidate became VP (Let's say Tim Ryan from Ohio). Donald J. Trump is still quite controversial but the global political climate favours him. The second part of his first term will turn out to not be so bad after all, or at least he will have convinced and won over some moderates and independents, and his approval ratings will go up to 50 / 50, and will especially have increased in the Rust Belt, partly because of weak Democratic opposition and Democrats not being able to find a correct strategy to win WWC voters back who shift more & more to the Republicans compared to past decades. Democrats keep the house (narrowly) and make gains in the senate, but Republicans keep a narrow majority in the senate (because of gains in 2018). The country is still divided.

2024:



Vice-President Pence is nominated after a contested primary against a more moderate Republican, an alt-right figure and a different person who declares himself as a Trumpist: all of them claim the legacy of Trump (except for the moderate establishment Republican and some candidates who were already eliminated in an earlier stage). Pence mainly won because of name recognition and as serving for VP. Trump leaves office relatively popular (although still disliked among liberals and democrats, but increasingly getting popular among independents and moderates). Pence can't entirely profit from this, as the Trump effect wears out and as he is prone to making gaffes.

The Democrats have nominated Sherrod Brown in order to win the Northeast back. The senator's third term would have finished, and he would have been an ideal fit. He had as well a very contested primary against Cory Booker and Julian Castro who did split the minority vote. Brown decides to pick Castro as his VP in order to unite the base, and reach out to Hispanic voters and the Southwest as well. Castro - who turned out to have a lot of charisma. The race seems to be a closely contested one, but contrary to the last two presidential elections, this time the polls seems to underestimate the Democrats and they expand their leads in the last month running up to the election, and take back by the White House by sweeping back the Rust Belt, and flipping Arizona. Texas and Georgia end up being close, but still choosing Pence. Florida is also still close.

2028:



Sherrod Brown turns out to be a very popular and good president, and Julian Castro is popular as vice president as well. They turn out to have united the Sanders wing as the establishment / moderates as well. Brown seems to have convinced a lot of Trumpists because of his progressive but also economically populist and nationalist platform. The GOP is a bit in a crisis over it's future, and during the primaries Ted Cruz is nominated as the candidate. This election might have some parallels with the 1964 presidential election, and is the last one before a major re-alignment will occur. Cruz just doesn't seem to make ground and loses quite decisively against a popular incumbent, while losing his home state as well. Kansas, Missouri and Montana narrowly went for Cruz.

EDIT: I've deleted 2032 - 2040. I need more time about this, and i struggle with how the Republicans will re-align. I'll do 2032 - ... later on (and probably do so more elections after 2040)

2020: P. Donald Trump VP. Mike Pence / S Kamala Harris R Tim Ryan
2024: S Sherrod Brown S Julian Castro / VP Mike Pence S Susana Martinez
2028: P Sherrod Brown VP Julian Castro / Former S Ted Cruz S Tim Scott

Golden rule: Never appoint a VP with the name Tim because it's a sign you'll lose

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« Reply #20 on: October 27, 2018, 05:58:44 pm »

2020



The stock market crashes in 2019 and the economy is deep in recession by the election. Without the support of a growing economy, Trump is crushed by whoever the Democrats nominate.

2024



Though the economy exits recession in 2021, it faces steep headwinds when global oil production peaks that year. Two years of elevated oil prices presage another stock market crash and recession in 2023. The Republican candidate wins big with rhetoric reminiscent of Trump, calling for the US to throw its weight around the world to secure oil supplies and favorable trade deals to save American industry, free trade be damned.

2028



The Republican president divides opinion by invading to Venezuela to secure another source of oil as oil prices persist at painfully high prices. His opponent runs a "Green New Deal" campaign, promising to lead a transition of the energy grid to renewables to both combat climate change and ease the pressure of high oil prices. This message does not excite people as well as Democratic focus panels expected, but in the end is enough to eek out a narrow victory.

2032



The "Green New Deal" flops, as the president lacks the legislative super majorities required to force it through. High prices and economic stagnation/contraction continue throughout their term. Climate change-driven events in the global south propel huge waves of immigrants towards the US's southern border, making the 2032 election a referendum on immigration with ominous racial undertones. The Republican president is elected with a mandate to secure the border to create "An America for Americans."

2036



As it turns out, "An America for Americans" does not include voting rights for most non-whites. Go figure.

2040



The people of the United States line up at polling places across the country to joyously cast their votes for the Dear Leader and his Party. They have much to be thankful for. The immigrant menace has been contained at the border; internment camps managed by Our Boys in Blue dot the Mexican side of the wall. Oil prices are at all time lows thanks to a steady supply of Canadian crude, overseen by our industrious companies with the support of party leadership. And the liberal claptrap once staining the airwaves on stations like CNN has finally been silenced.

California did not report its votes on time. No matter, they will be punished for their insubordination.

LMFAO
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« Reply #21 on: October 27, 2018, 06:29:12 pm »

2020



Trump wins re-election, 326-216. Wins 49-48 in PV.

2024



Democratic nominee defeats Republican 335-203. 50-48 PV win for D.

2028



Democratic Incumbent defeated, 309-229 R. 49-47 R PV.

2032



Republican Incumbent re-elected, 359-179. 55-42 PV win.

2036



Democratic nominee defeats Republican 415-123. 56-40 PV win.

2040



Democratic Incumbent wins re-election 326-212. 51-45 PV win.
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« Reply #22 on: November 03, 2018, 01:07:42 pm »

Somehow I believe history may repeat itsself.

2020

Democratic nominee beats Trump by a wide margin.




2024

Popular Democratic president gets reelected by a landslide margin against former Vice President Mike Pence.




2028

The sitting vice president is elected to succeed the outgoing two-term Democratic president after the economy recovers during a 2025-27 recession.




2032

A lagging economy, twelve years of Democratic rule and the impression that the president is out of touch is perfect for a more moderate to libertarian Republican to win the presidency.




2036

Although he had a rough start, the economy under the Republican president begins to expand. A solid approval rating gives him a second term over a standard and uninspiring Democrat.




2040

The sitting Republican president is still popular, but his vice president or secretary of state is pretty uninspiring while the opposing Democratic ticket is of fresh new faces. America elects its first president who was born in 2000. Meanwhile, large parts of the Rust Belt stay Republican, but Democrats have improved in the Sun Belt.



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« Reply #23 on: November 03, 2018, 08:19:24 pm »

The Sherrod Realignment


2020


Sherrod Brown def. Donald Trump

2024


Sherrod Brown def. Mike Pence(?)

2028


Kamala Harris def. (some southern ultraconservative)

2032


Erin Stewart def. Kamala Harris

2036


Erin Stewart def. (insert Texas Democratic Latino governor)

2040


(southwestern Democrat) def. (Erin Stewart VP)
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2018, 11:26:05 pm »

Okay, here's my prediction:

2020: Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren



2024: Joe Kennedy III vs. Mike Pence



2028: Joe Kennedy III vs. Marco Rubio



2032: Chris Murphy vs. Tom Cotton



2036: Some Midwestern Republican vs. Chris Murphy



2040: Some Midwestern Republican vs. Some Southern Democrat

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