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  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: VirginiŠ)
  For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections
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Author Topic: For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections  (Read 4605 times)
Intell
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« Reply #25 on: November 03, 2018, 11:33:38 pm »

Trump wins 2020, progressive democrat wins landslide in 2024 winning reelection in 2028 and Democrats win in 2032 and 2036. Moderate republican wins in 2042.
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Dirty Dan
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« Reply #26 on: November 04, 2018, 01:57:53 pm »

Crazy idea-

2020- Trump is reelected in a landslide when he gets to 51% PV and the rest of the vote is evenly split between the Democrats and the Progressive Centrist American Alliance.

2024 - After the repeal of much of the New Deal, Great Society, and most constitutional civil rights and a major non-responsive recession, the Progressive Centrist American Alliance wins the presidency as
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DabbingSanta
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« Reply #27 on: November 18, 2018, 10:20:53 pm »

Just for fun Smiley

2020: Democrat win



2024: Democrat wins second term



2028: Republican win



2032: Republican wins second term



2036: Democrat win



2040: Democrat wins second term

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nerd73
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« Reply #28 on: November 21, 2018, 02:50:24 am »

2020:


Democrat Eric Swalwell narrowly unseats incumbent President Trump.

2024:

After an insurrection starts as a result of Swalwell's mandatory gun confiscations, most of the heartland is nuked to stop the insurrection. He loses the following Presidential election in a landslide to a generic Republican.
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АverroŽs 🦉
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« Reply #29 on: November 21, 2018, 01:03:00 pm »

2020


Kamala Harris / Kirsten Gillibrand: 51% (253 EVs)
Donald Trump / Mike Pence: 44% (284 EVs)
Richard Ojeda / Bill Weld: 3%

2024



Krysten Sinema / Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 56% (388 EVs)
Mike Pence / Poop Emoji: 40% (150 EVs)
Julia Salazar / Bill Weld: 3%
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Anarcho-Statism
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« Reply #30 on: September 15, 2019, 02:25:25 pm »
« Edited: September 28, 2019, 10:59:17 pm by Anarcho-Statism »

2020



President Donald John Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Michael Richard "Mike" Pence (R-IN) ✓
Senator Elizabeth Ann Warren (D-MA) / Mayor Peter Paul Montgomery "Pete" Buttigieg (D-IN)

Warren pulls off a narrow victory against Biden, Sanders, and Harris in the primaries by nailing down the white vote. She's a poor debater, does poorly with minorities, invests her resources in the wrong places, and ultimately loses a close one. There are some recounts.

2024



Senator Richard Lynn "Rick" Scott (R-FL) / Fmr. Governor Kristi Lynn Noem (R-SD)
Congressman Ruben Marinelarena Gallego (D-AZ) / Governor Gretchen Esther Whitmer (D-MI) ✓

A bad recession hits early in the 2020s. Vice President Pence declines to run, and a "catch-all" political opportunist beats a number of more ideological candidates in the primaries. Ben Shapiro runs just to get a show on Fox News but does surprisingly well. A young, activist Democrat elected to statewide office in the Sun Belt in 2020 wins on a populist platform involving marijuana legalization, lower university costs, withdrawing from Afghanistan, a Year 2000 Rollback on gun rights, universal Pre-K, and putting hardline social liberals in cabinet positions.

2028



President Ruben Marinelarena Gallego (D-AZ) / Vice President Gretchen Esther Whitmer (D-MI) ✓
Fmr. Governor Ronald Dion "Ron" DeSantis (R-FL) / Senator Randal Howard "Rand" Paul (R-KY)
Fmr. Ambassador to Russia Jon Meade Huntsman, Jr. (I-UT) / Some Moderate Ex-Democrat

A flu pandemic slows economic recovery and gives the border control movement a boost early in the President's administration. Republicans sweep Congress in 2026. Tensions mount with Russia as the Republicans split in the primaries over foreign policy and economics. Ron DeSantis runs as a 2016 Trump imitator, calling for isolationism and a strange Jacksonian kind of post-partisanship. He ends up being a terrible candidate. A third party further splits the Republican vote.

2032



Vice President Gretchen Esther Whitmer (D-MI) / House Minority Whip Cedric Levon Richmond (D-LA) ✓
Senator Daniel Reed "Dan" Crenshaw (R-TX) / Some Republican Governor of an Oil State

Sun spots start disappearing, ending a period of relative calm in the climate, and a category five hurricane hits New Orleans. New Orleans native and old Biden ally Cedric Richmond is praised for his response, and joins the Vice President in the race. Domestic oil is attacked, and the Republicans put forth an ex-military, pro-oil tough guy. By now, a second fracking boom has made the Dakotas much more significant and brought economic prosperity after an unstable decade. The Republican reunites the party but loses in a close one. Like DeSantis, turns out to be surprisingly unlikable.

2036



President Gretchen Esther Whitmer (D-MI) / Vice President Cedric Levon Richmond (D-LA)
Senator Nicholas James "Nick" Freitas (R-VA) / Fmr. Governor Glenn Allen Hegar, Jr. (R-TX) ✓

The President and Vice President infamously clash on gun rights, once again dividing the Democrats. The issue becomes divided on race and lots of well-to-do white Democrats walk out to join the Republicans. The GOP nominates a libertarian, socially liberal and fiscally conservative, who appeals to many new liberal Republicans.

2040



President Nicholas James "Nick" Freitas (R-VA) / Vice President Glenn Allen Hegar, Jr. (R-TX) ✓
Fmr. Vice President Cedric Levon Richmond (D-LA) / Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY)

The economy hiccups but prosperity continues. Richmond comes back and loses. His running mate accidentally offends Mexican-American voters and suppresses their turnout.

Extra: 2044



Some Midwestern Republican / Some Western Liberal Republican
Some Texan Latino Democrat / Some Northern Progressive Democrat ✓

Operations against Neo-Soviet rebels in wartorn Russia are successful. However, by now, the recession has become a full-blown depression. Automation has put millions out of work, preventing them from paying their debts. Municipalities go bankrupt. If it hasn't already, social security has failed. The credit bubble can no longer be inflated. The President leaves office with a Democratic congress and a fairly untarnished reputation. Both parties share the blame. New ideologies are solidifying: the Republicans are the party of fiscal responsibility, modernization, social libertarianism, and deregulation who want to stay the course with automation, and the Democrats are a more populist party built on racial minorities and community values. Unlike the first Great Depression, both philosophies are popular and are clearly divided on race.

Progressives in places like Massachusetts and a Rojava-inspired renewed Detroit stay with the Democrats. Vermont is ancestrally Democratic and due to be Republican by the 2050s, and Mississippi and Louisiana will very quickly go solid Democrat at the same time. Arm-chair election enthusiasts see South Carolina and Alabama going solid Democrat in the 2070s once Republican millennials there start dying off, and believe that the rest of the northeast will go the opposite way.
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omelott
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« Reply #31 on: September 15, 2019, 05:38:03 pm »
« Edited: September 15, 2019, 05:43:39 pm by omelott »

2020
President Donald Trump (R-NY) / Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN) ✓
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE) / Former State Representative Stacey Abrams (D-GA)



2024
Former Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN) / Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA) ✓
President Mike Pence (R-IN) / Vice President Nikki Haley (R-SC)




2028
President Pete Buttigieg (D-IN) / Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA) ✓
Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR) / Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo (R-CA)



2032
Vice President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Senator Joaquin Castro (D-TX) ✓
Former Governor Kristi Noem (R-SD) / Representative Rodney Davis (R-IL)



2036
Governor Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) / Senator Josh Hawley (R-MO) ✓
President Kamala Harris (D-CA) / Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ)



2040
President Brian Fitzpatrick (R-PA) / Vice President Josh Hawley (R-MO) ✓
Senator Joe Kennedy (D-MA) / Representative Cedric Richmond (D-LA)



2044 (Extra)
Senator Ruben Gallego (D-AZ) / Governor Elissa Slotkin (D-MI) ✓
Vice President Josh Hawley (R-MO) / Governor Elise Stefanik (R-NY)


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Cory Booker
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« Reply #32 on: September 25, 2019, 08:06:02 am »

If the impeachment is done the right way, then a realignment election, with TX voting Dem will happen in 2020
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