For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections (user search)
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  For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections  (Read 14592 times)
dw93
DWL
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Posts: 4,882
United States


« on: September 30, 2018, 11:55:41 AM »

2020:



The Democratic Nominee beats Trump decisively due to an early 90's level recession starting in late 2019, making him the first sitting President to be defeated for re election in 28 years. Democrats, who retake the house and by the skin of their teeth the Senate in November 2018, see gains in both chambers. Arizona votes Democrat for the first time since 1996, North Carolina for the first time since 2008.



2024:



Incumbent Democratic President is re elected, abet by a slimmer margin than 2020 due to white republican leaning boomers in Arizona and Florida as well as the GOP making inroads in the Midwest. However, North Carolina stays Democratic and Georgia flips for the first time since 1992, softening the blow. After losing control of the House in 2022 and suffering a loss of five seats in the Senate that year, the Democrats gain back the House while the Senate sees no net gains or losses for either party.


2028:



The Incumbent Democratic VP Narrowly defeats a moderate Republican Governor from the Rust Belt. Arizona flips back to the Democrats and Georgia and North Carolina remain Democratic. However, Florida stays Republican and Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, and Maine's Second Congressional District go Republican. The House and Senate, which flipped to the Republicans in 2026 due to a minor scandal in the White House, narrowly remain in Republican control.

2032:



Due to a weak economy, gridlock between a Democratic President and Republican Congress, and a botched response to a natural disaster, a moderate governor from Florida narrowly defeats the incumbent Democratic President. The GOP sees moderate gains in Congress in 2030 and 2032. The GOP flips Michigan, Maine's 2nd District, and North Carolina for the first time since 2016, New Hampshire for the first time since 2000, Maine at large and 1st District since 1988, and Minnesota for the first time since the Nixon landslide of 1972.

2036:



A strong economy and Peace Abroad carry the 48th President to a Second Term Decisively. Despite this, the Democrats, who retake both Houses of Congress in 2034, keep their majorities. Oregon and Rhode Island flip Republican for the first time since 1984, Delaware and Connecticut do for the first time since 1988, and due to population decline in Chicago and Cook County as a whole Illinois narrowly flips as well.
2040:



Peace and Prosperity continue through the rest of the 2030s, and America doesn't see any serious political gridlock until after the 2038 midterms, where the Democrats swept due to the so called "six year itch." Oregon, North Carolina, and Virginia flip back to the Democrats, and for the first time since 1976 due to Demographic Changes finally catching up as well as voters focusing more on economic issues than Social ones, so does Texas. However, Illinois, Rhode Island, Connecticut, and Delaware, to the surprise of many, narrowly stay Republican.

Bonus. 2044:



Due to various botched covert operations in South America, and a mid 1970's level recession, a liberal Democratic Governor from the Southwest defeats the Incumbent Republican President by the biggest electoral margin since 1988. The Democrats win back Illinois, Maine's First Congressional District, Connecticut, Rhode Island, and Delaware, as well as Minnesota, Florida, and Pennsylvania. They also flip Montana and Louisiana for the first time since 1992 and flip Mississippi and South Carolina for the first time since 1976. By January 2045, the Democrats would have Congressional Super Majorities not seen since 1978. 










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dw93
DWL
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,882
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 23, 2022, 12:50:42 AM »

Welp, it's been over 4 years since my last prediction, so here's a prediction if 2024 is a rematch:

2024:

President Joe Biden / Vice President Kamala Harris
Fmr. President Donald Trump / Governor Kristi Noem

2028:

Fmr. Governor Glenn Youngkin / Senator Tim Scott
President Kamala Harris* / Vice President Roy Cooper
*= President Biden resigns due to Health issues in November 2026

2032:



Sun Belt Governor / Rust Belt Senator
President Glenn Youngkin / Vice President Tim Scott



Incumbent President / Incumbent VP
Rust Belt Governor / Southern Senator

2040:


Incumbent VP / Sunbelt Senator
Sunbelt Senator / Rustbelt Congressman


2044:

Moderate Sunbelt Governor / Moderate Sunbelt Senator
Incumbent President / Incumbent VP

Bonus. 2048:



Incumbent President / Incumbent VP
Sunbelt Senator / West Coast Governor







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