For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections (user search)
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  For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections (search mode)
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Author Topic: For fun, let's try and predict the maps for the next six elections  (Read 14580 times)
MR DARK BRANDON
Liam
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,211
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -0.65, S: -1.57

P P P

« on: September 23, 2018, 10:49:27 PM »

Let's try to predict the next six elections (2020, 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040).

You don't need to necessarily list Electoral Votes for each election since that's going to change from decade to decade, but you're welcome to try. Just post maps for how you believe the next elections from 2020 to 2040 are going to go. You can go into as much or as little detail as you would like.

In a couple decades, whoever was closest wins cool points.

Ready? Go!

2020



Democratic nominee (probably from the Northeast) defeats Donald Trump, 379 EV to 159 EV

2024



Popular incumbent Democratic POTUS defeats Mike Pence with over 400 EV, finally flipping Texas and Georgia, amid a strong economy and after a higher federal minimum wage, a Medicare for All program, and a bill rescheduling cannabis at the federal level become law from 2021 to 2023, with large majorities welcoming these changes.

2028



The Democratic VP wins comfortably against a relatively moderate northeastern GOP governor, with nearly 350 EV, vowing to essentially be a third term for the popular outgoing POTUS

2032



A socially liberal, fiscally conservative GOP Governor from the southwest sweeps into power, defeating the incumbent Democrat with nearly 350 EV amid an economic downturn. By now, the GOP is more welcoming of immigrants and LGBT people and less Trumpist, but still emphasizes tax cuts and other early 21st century Republican orthodoxy. Minnesota goes Republican for the first time since 1972, Maine for the first time since 1988, New Hampshire for the first time since 2000 and Nevada along with New Mexico for the first time since 2004.

2036



The popular incumbent Republican POTUS is re-elected over a familiar establishment Democrat with around 370 EV, amid a booming economy and no major wars. Oregon goes Republican for the first time since 1984, and Virginia for the first time since 2004.

2040



A close battle between two political scions - one a popular Democratic Senator, the other the well-respected Republican VP, results in an extremely close Democratic victory. A slowing economy and personal scandals dent the two-term President's popularity, allowing the Democrats an opening. The result hinges on Texas, decided by less than 0.5%.

In Summation

45. Donald Trump (R-NY)
January 20, 2017 - January 20, 2021
Won 2016, Lost 2020

46. Two-Term Liberal or Left-Wing Northeastern Democrat
January 20, 2021 - January 20, 2029
Won 2020, Won 2024

47. One-Term Liberal or Left-Wing Democrat, previous VP
January 20, 2029 - January 20, 2033
Won 2028, Lost 2032

48. Two-Term Moderate Southwestern Republican
January 20, 2033 - January 20, 2041
Won 2032, Won 2036

49. Familiar Democratic Scion
January 20, 2041 to January 20, 2045 or 2049
Won 2040, eligible for re-election in 2044

Keep Dreaming.
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