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Author Topic: FL UNF: Gillum +4  (Read 1109 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: September 24, 2018, 07:15:00 am »

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2018/09/24/unf-poll-gillum-edging-desantis-nelson-and-scott-tied-623412

Gillum 47
DeSantis 43
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2018, 07:21:38 am »

DeSantis is a crap-tier candidate. 

Gillum's only concern at this point should be that he isn't peaking too early.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2018, 07:23:58 am »

Until QU polls this race, DeSantis is well within range to win, and I am willing to wait for Quinnepiac poll.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2018, 12:00:00 pm »

Nice.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2018, 02:11:30 pm »

But Atlas told me Gillum was DOA. Now, since his nomination, he has been in the lead in every single poll. DeSantis is a terrible candidate and Gillum should be able to pull this off by a few points.
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Ohio more D than Texas
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2018, 02:23:12 pm »

I still remember when IceSpear called Gillum unelectable, described his FBI issue as "the next Watergate", and stated DeSantis will win easily off of the panhandle's alleged racism. And this is coming from Mr. "Candidate Quality doesn't matter".
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olowakandi
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2018, 02:38:15 pm »

Trump does terrible with Latinos in Latino states, that's why TX Sen is remotely competetive
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AOC for President 2032
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2018, 02:55:40 pm »

Awesome news. Keep it up, Gillum.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2018, 03:00:15 pm »

Bet you feel stupid now for endorsing the guy you saw on Hannity every night just because he was on Hannity every night, eh Don?
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NV less likely to flip than FL
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2018, 03:06:07 pm »

But Florida and Nevada can't elect Democratic governors because they haven't in, like, forever!

I'm definitely ready to move this to Lean D, at this point, though I don't trust Florida.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2018, 03:14:11 pm »

But Florida and Nevada can't elect Democratic governors because they haven't in, like, forever!

I'm definitely ready to move this to Lean D, at this point, though I don't trust Florida.

If it keeps up into mid-October I'll move it there, too, but at this stage, I'm having it at Tilt D for now, and closer to tossup than to Lean, at that. We all know the FDP's capacity to choke.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2018, 04:07:26 pm »

I still remember when IceSpear called Gillum unelectable, described his FBI issue as "the next Watergate", and stated DeSantis will win easily off of the panhandle's alleged racism. And this is coming from Mr. "Candidate Quality doesn't matter".

You're too young to be supposedly "remembering" so many things that never happened. You might want to get a doctor to take a look at that.

As for the FBI thing, maybe moRon DeSantis could've gotten some mileage out of it if he hadn't spent the last month running for president rather than governor.
« Last Edit: September 24, 2018, 05:22:28 pm by IceSpear »Logged
Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2018, 04:17:41 pm »

Good job, Gillum!

We need this many polls here in Wisconsin!
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2018, 05:17:59 pm »

Sanchez told me that DeSantis would have been the better candidate to run against Nelson, though.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2018, 05:23:41 pm »

But Florida and Nevada can't elect Democratic governors because they haven't in, like, forever!

I'm definitely ready to move this to Lean D, at this point, though I don't trust Florida.



If it keeps up into mid-October I'll move it there, too, but at this stage, I'm having it at Tilt D for now, and closer to tossup than to Lean, at that. We all know the FDP's capacity to choke.
.

You know GILLUM winning will help gun violence victims in FL. Unlike Scott who has gun violence on his watch
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #15 on: September 24, 2018, 07:25:10 pm »

Sanchez told me that DeSantis would have been the better candidate to run against Nelson, though.

Yeah, I fought him on that one, and it's looking like I'm right.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #16 on: September 24, 2018, 09:05:40 pm »

Conventional wisdom should be thrown out in the Trump era. States like FL, AZ, NC can be won by Dems, while Ohio remains Trump friendly
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Pericles
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« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2018, 12:09:38 am »

Conventional wisdom should be thrown out in the Trump era. States like FL, AZ, NC can be won by Dems, while Ohio remains Trump friendly

Isn't Cordray practically even with DeWine?
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olowakandi
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« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2018, 01:08:51 am »

He's 5 points back. Dems are looking at FL and Iowa ad better pickups, but the polls can be lying as well. All we know that Rubio isn't running for office to help put Trump ahead
« Last Edit: September 25, 2018, 01:13:10 am by Cory Booker »Logged
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