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  FL-SEN(Quinnipiac): Nelson +7
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Author Topic: FL-SEN(Quinnipiac): Nelson +7  (Read 2884 times)
Ebsy
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« on: September 25, 2018, 11:46:12 am »



Nelson (Dem): 53
Scott (GOP): 46
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InheritTheWind
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2018, 11:47:02 am »

https://poll.qu.edu/florida/release-detail?ReleaseID=2572

Nelson 53 (+4)
Scott 46 (-3)
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Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2018, 11:47:03 am »

Cheesy

This is an outlier, but I would rather have the outliers be Nelson +7 than Scott +7
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Joshua
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2018, 11:47:42 am »

Wut.
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Former President Weatherboy1102
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2018, 11:47:58 am »

Yeah, I think we all knew Scott's lead wasn't gonna last. Lean D at this point.
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Councilor Zaybay
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« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2018, 11:49:51 am »

Wow, the trend I was talking about was right. Huh, who knew? Not like the fundamentals pointed to such a result considering Scott only got his lead from spending. Who knew Nelson spending the same amount as him would cancel out Scott's one advantage.

While this result is rather high, Nelson has been gaining this whole time.

Like Ive been saying this whole time. Lean. D.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2018, 11:49:56 am »

Big if true. They then are down in 3 of their seats and are only beating the dems in one and tied in another.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2018, 11:50:19 am »

White voters back Scott 53 - 45 percent. Supporting Nelson are black voters 90 - 10 percent and Hispanic voters 61 - 39 percent.

It seems like as everyone was freaking out over Nelson's performance with Hispanic voters, Scott developed serious problems with white voters.

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АndriуValeriovich
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« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2018, 11:51:20 am »

Lean D for now
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Free Bird
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« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2018, 11:51:55 am »

No
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VirginiŠ
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« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2018, 11:52:09 am »

Quinnipiac's last poll in 2016 for FL-Senate was Rubio+7, which ended up being on the money. That was taken in the last week or so though.
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ajc0918
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« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2018, 11:52:16 am »

#HeWentToSpace
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Gass3268
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« Reply #12 on: September 25, 2018, 11:52:39 am »

Don't forget that Quinnipaic is now the Gold Standard of Polling after VA-Gov.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #13 on: September 25, 2018, 11:53:16 am »

Yeah, I think we all knew Scott's lead wasn't gonna last. Lean D at this point.

I've never seen such open confirmation bias. This is so blatantly an outlier and you know it.
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Mondale
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« Reply #14 on: September 25, 2018, 11:54:52 am »

Told u guys...spaceman always wins
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Gass3268
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« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2018, 11:55:38 am »

Yeah, I think we all knew Scott's lead wasn't gonna last. Lean D at this point.

I've never seen such open confirmation bias. This is so blatantly an outlier and you know it.

It's also the first high quality pollster to poll Florida in forever.
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #16 on: September 25, 2018, 11:56:22 am »

Itís an outlier but Sean Trende and Harry Enten have both been saying the fundamentals are shifting in Nelsonís favor
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Polarized MT Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2018, 11:56:39 am »

This is obviously junk, but Heitkamp, Donnelly and McCaskill are definitely all more vulnerable than Nelson.
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Councilor Zaybay
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« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2018, 11:57:48 am »

Nelson may not win by 7, but the impact is clear. The trend line we have been seeing, of results going from Pro-Scott to tied, is continuing, with it now going pro-Nelson. Everything, fundamentally wise, points to a lean D race.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2018, 12:01:19 pm »

If what we've seen in other polls holds here, Gillum will probably have a double digit lead.
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Former President Weatherboy1102
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« Reply #20 on: September 25, 2018, 12:03:10 pm »

Yeah, I think we all knew Scott's lead wasn't gonna last. Lean D at this point.

I've never seen such open confirmation bias. This is so blatantly an outlier and you know it.

It is somewhat, but you can't deny this is drifting away from Republicans.
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« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2018, 12:05:28 pm »

Interesting how a poll from one of the few reputable pollsters polling this race is "junk." I agree that it's most likely an outlier, but the idea that this race is shifting in Nelson's favor isn't implausible.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2018, 12:06:15 pm »

Wow, the trend I was talking about was right. Huh, who knew? Not like the fundamentals pointed to such a result considering Scott only got his lead from spending. Who knew Nelson spending the same amount as him would cancel out Scott's one advantage.

While this result is rather high, Nelson has been gaining this whole time.

Like Ive been saying this whole time. Lean. D.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #23 on: September 25, 2018, 12:06:23 pm »

Interesting how a poll from one of the few reputable pollsters polling this race is "junk." I agree that it's most likely an outlier, but the idea that this race is shifting in Nelson's favor isn't implausible.
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Chief Justice windjammer
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« Reply #24 on: September 25, 2018, 12:06:51 pm »

As always, Quinnipiac always exaggerates the leads.
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