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  Ukrainian presidential election, 2019
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Poll
Question: Who will make it into the second round? (2 votes)
#1Petro Poroshenko (BPP)  
#2Yulia Tymoshenko (BA)  
#3Anatoliy Hrytsenko (GP)  
#4Yuri Boyko (OB)  
#5Vladimir Zelenski (SN)  
#6Svyatoslav Vakarchuk (IND)  
#7Oleg Lyashko (RP)  
#8Vadim Rabynovych (ZZ)  
#9Andrii Sadovyi (SP)  
#10Evgeny Murayev (IND)  
#11Other (please specify)  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 57

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Ukrainian presidential election, 2019  (Read 9402 times)
mgop
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« Reply #175 on: April 21, 2019, 01:17:12 pm »

Here is the "National" Exit poll. Right now only in Ukranian.
http://dif-exitpoll.org.ua/


Ze's share:

West 57%
Centre 70%
South 85%
East 88%

Total 73%


In English, too, now. http://dif-exitpoll.org.ua/en


damn poroshenko is destroyed even in western region
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Ex-Assemblyman Steelers
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« Reply #176 on: April 21, 2019, 01:19:04 pm »

"Azov" on aparates
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bigic
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« Reply #177 on: April 21, 2019, 01:20:17 pm »

like poroshenko was not that + most corrupted ukrainian president ever

Counterpoint: Yanukovich
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DavidB.
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« Reply #178 on: April 21, 2019, 01:25:14 pm »

The good thing is that Poroshenko is gone. The bad thing is that Zelensky will replace him.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #179 on: April 21, 2019, 01:38:59 pm »

Turnout is largely unchanged from the 1st round:

62-63% with almost all districts reporting their numbers.

That means Zelensky will get ~14 million votes, Poroschenko ~5 million votes.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #180 on: April 21, 2019, 01:44:13 pm »

As an American its a beautiful thing to see a country not suffering from the scourge of polarization. Lucky Ukraine.

Yeah, present day America reminds me Russia in 1918-1920. Extremist "reds" and equally extreme "whites". Ready to kill each other in direct sense of these words. And almost no one else. Right now US is very close to that... Ukraine is different..
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #181 on: April 21, 2019, 01:45:30 pm »

As an American its a beautiful thing to see a country not suffering from the scourge of polarization. Lucky Ukraine.

Wait until the Jewish comedian turns out to be a Putin plant, though.

You are dumb, sir. That happens, but - incurable...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #182 on: April 21, 2019, 01:54:23 pm »

Incumbent President Poroshenko meanwhile has accepted his defeat and has called President-elect Zelenski to congratulate him on his victory:

Img


Quote
Volodymyr Zelensky, the winner of the second round of the presidential elections in Ukraine according to the results of exit polls, said incumbent head of state Petro Poroshenko had called him, congratulated him on his victory, and stated he was ready to provide comprehensive assistance.

"I am very grateful to the President of Ukraine, Petro Oleksiyovych Poroshenko. He has just congratulated me on my victory. I am grateful to him, he said I can count on his assistance at any time. He recognized my victory and the victory of my team," Zelensky said at a briefing on Sunday evening.

https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/582736.html
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Russian Bear
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« Reply #183 on: April 21, 2019, 02:32:56 pm »

Incumbent President Poroshenko meanwhile has accepted his defeat and has called President-elect Zelenski to congratulate him on his victory:

Img


Quote
Volodymyr Zelensky, the winner of the second round of the presidential elections in Ukraine according to the results of exit polls, said incumbent head of state Petro Poroshenko had called him, congratulated him on his victory, and stated he was ready to provide comprehensive assistance.

"I am very grateful to the President of Ukraine, Petro Oleksiyovych Poroshenko. He has just congratulated me on my victory. I am grateful to him, he said I can count on his assistance at any time. He recognized my victory and the victory of my team," Zelensky said at a briefing on Sunday evening.

https://en.interfax.com.ua/news/general/582736.html


His concession speech was actually OK, but then...

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Russian Bear
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« Reply #184 on: April 21, 2019, 02:40:55 pm »

http://ppi.org.ua/news/exitpoll_2019_ppi_zelenskij_75_21_poroshenko_23_10/2019-04-21-384

According to the exit poll from PPI, Ze won everywhere, but Lviv.


Img
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #185 on: April 21, 2019, 03:02:12 pm »

5% of the votes counted:

73.6% Zelensky
26.4% Poroshenko

Exit Polls look very accurate.
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Ex-Assemblyman Steelers
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« Reply #186 on: April 21, 2019, 11:12:37 pm »

Good old Lviv is famous for their love of Jews.
And good old Poroshenko was expirienced how on begining on his mandate?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #187 on: April 22, 2019, 12:40:59 am »

91% of the votes counted:

74.9% Zelensky
25.1% Poroshenko

Zelensky is ahead in every region except Lviv, where Poroshenko has 63%.

Ternopil is also close, but even there Zelensky is ahead by a few points.

Zelensky's best region is Luhansk with 89% support.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #188 on: April 22, 2019, 03:21:28 am »

91% of the votes counted:

74.9% Zelensky
25.1% Poroshenko

Zelensky is ahead in every region except Lviv, where Poroshenko has 63%.

Ternopil is also close, but even there Zelensky is ahead by a few points.

Zelensky's best region is Luhansk with 89% support.

Everything is logical. Lviv (Lvov in Russian) was always Poland-leaning and rather strongly anti-Russia. Ternopil (and Ivano-Frankovsk) - part of Galicia with Lviv. Luhansk  (Lugansk in Russian)- barely different from, say, Rostovskaya "oblast" of Russia... Donetsk, Odessa, Kharkov are also "Russia-leaning" (Kharkov had closest connections with Russian Belgorod until last years) and i am sure Poroshenko got very little there...
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #189 on: April 22, 2019, 03:55:17 am »

98% counted:

74.88% Zelensky
25.12% Poroshenko

Turnout: 62%
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kelestian
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« Reply #190 on: April 22, 2019, 04:00:57 am »

Some maps.

Winner of electoral district
Img

Poroshenko won 1 district in Ivano-Franhivsk region (city of Ivano-Franhivsk), two districts in Ternopol region (city of Ternopol and suburbs) and all districts in Lviv region.

Voting abroad (Poroshenko won with 56%)
Not much people voted outside of Ukraine. Only in 6 countries (Poland, Czechia, Germany, USA, Spain, Italy) more than 1000 votes.
Img

USA - Poroshenko 72%
Canada - Poroshenko 74%
UK - Poroshenko 70%
Italy - Poroshenko 62%
Portugal - Poroshenko 58%
Spain - Poroshenko 56%
Germany - Poroshenko 55%
Israel - Poroshenko 50.46%
Poland - Zelensky 51%
Czechia - Zelensky 59%
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #191 on: April 22, 2019, 04:06:03 am »

Interesting that some districts near the secessionist Donbass conflict zone appear to be tight.

Do you think this is because of vote rigging there, or maybe because many nationalist pro-Poroshenko soldiers are stationed and voting there ?
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kelestian
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« Reply #192 on: April 22, 2019, 04:37:40 am »
« Edited: April 22, 2019, 08:21:20 am by kelestian »

Interesting that some districts near the secessionist Donbass conflict zone appear to be tight.

Do you think this is because of vote rigging there, or maybe because many nationalist pro-Poroshenko soldiers are stationed and voting there ?

Probably second. Those districts are only partially controlled by Kiev, so soldiers can be majority of voters there.
Reports: Poroshenko won about 50% of soldiers' votes, Zelensky 46% (regiments deployed in Donbass)


Interactive map (by precincts)
https://elections.dekoder.org/ukraine/en
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LabourJersey
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« Reply #193 on: April 26, 2019, 10:11:07 am »

As an American its a beautiful thing to see a country not suffering from the scourge of polarization. Lucky Ukraine.

Yeah, present day America reminds me Russia in 1918-1920. Extremist "reds" and equally extreme "whites". Ready to kill each other in direct sense of these words. And almost no one else. Right now US is very close to that... Ukraine is different..

You really think the U.S. is on the cusp of a February (or Bolshevik) Revolution?
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #194 on: April 27, 2019, 12:42:13 am »
« Edited: April 27, 2019, 05:09:15 am by smoltchanov »

As an American its a beautiful thing to see a country not suffering from the scourge of polarization. Lucky Ukraine.

Yeah, present day America reminds me Russia in 1918-1920. Extremist "reds" and equally extreme "whites". Ready to kill each other in direct sense of these words. And almost no one else. Right now US is very close to that... Ukraine is different..

You really think the U.S. is on the cusp of a February (or Bolshevik) Revolution?

Not so quick, but in perspective - yes. As i already said - half of America is ready to shoot another half on place in very literal sense of these words... I will not be surprised if it happens in next 20 years. A Civil War II....
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kelestian
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« Reply #195 on: April 27, 2019, 07:17:21 am »

Finally, some maps by administrative districts.

Img


Change of Poro's % of votes in districts, second round (compared to first round)
Img


You can clear see where falsifications in the first round were: in some districts in Donetsk region Poro's vote share fell by 10%!
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bigic
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« Reply #196 on: April 27, 2019, 11:05:18 am »

Is there such a map for change in Zelensky's vote share?
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LoneStarDem
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« Reply #197 on: April 27, 2019, 11:56:04 am »

Sounds like the newly elected Ukranian President will NOT be an ally of the United States & NATO countries.
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smoltchanov
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« Reply #198 on: April 27, 2019, 12:19:38 pm »

Sounds like the newly elected Ukranian President will NOT be an ally of the United States & NATO countries.


Why MUST he? There are lots of connections between Ukraine and Russia despite all that happened in the last years, and geography is important factor too. Of course - he will NOT be Putin's ally, but, probably, will balance more, then Poroshenko did...
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kelestian
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« Reply #199 on: April 27, 2019, 12:55:51 pm »

Is there such a map for change in Zelensky's vote share?

Img
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