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Author Topic: FL-GOV(NBC/Marist): Gillum+5  (Read 1016 times)
Ebsy
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« on: September 25, 2018, 04:01:23 pm »

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ajc0918
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2018, 04:02:15 pm »

Gillumentum!
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2018, 04:02:24 pm »

At this rate I'm gonna have to rate this Lean D.
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Lou Barletta's Teeth
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2018, 04:02:53 pm »

The polls have really been fantastic for the Democrats this past week, especially today.
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Senator Zaybay
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2018, 04:03:26 pm »

It looks like Gillum is becoming more and more of a lock on the race. If I were the FLDEMs, I would shift some focus to take the state senate.
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Hindsight is 2020
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« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2018, 04:05:03 pm »

Remember when he first won and Atlas thought that Ron freakin DeSantis of all people was the favored
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« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2018, 04:05:16 pm »

Quoting this for prospenity:

Governor Desantis thanks the Florida Democratic party for their incompetance

He was a white guy, you see. And he underperformed the rest of the ticket dramatically. This race is Leans R. If not Likely R

DeSantis will win by 12.

Gillum is too far-left for FL.

Not even Latinos in Florida are far-left.

The FL celebrity Baby Boomer type will go for DeSantis.

I think you're being too hard on DeSantis.  He will win by at least 15-18 points.  And not even African-Americans in Florida are that far left.

It seems one can say "hello!" to governor DeSantis

I was one of the few people who realized Gillum winning doesn't change the state of the race, and that DeSantis is a trash tier candidate, but nobody listened to me.
« Last Edit: September 25, 2018, 04:14:05 pm by Dems for DeSantis »Logged
Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2018, 04:05:32 pm »

 Very nice!
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« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2018, 04:06:29 pm »

It looks like Gillum is becoming more and more of a lock on the race. If I were the FLDEMs, I would shift some focus to take the state senate.

It's certainly not a lock, and besides, Gillum needs to do as well as possible so that he can drag Nelson over the finish line.
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« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2018, 04:06:36 pm »

Definitely Lean D.
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« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2018, 04:44:20 pm »

While I'm not counting DeSantis out yet, Gillum has had a pretty consistent advantage, despite quality #analysis from Atlas suggesting that nominating him handed this race to Republicans. Lean D is a fair rating for this race.
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« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2018, 05:05:07 pm »

It's only a five point race, it's not 10
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« Reply #12 on: September 25, 2018, 05:20:09 pm »

While Gillum is by no means out of the clear yet, it's pretty safe to say he has the clear advantage here.  Six weeks isn't a lot of time for DeSantis to make up, especially in a state as large and populous as Florida.  Tilt D.
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« Reply #13 on: September 25, 2018, 05:38:01 pm »

I'm trying not to get my hopes up too much, but the idea of an unabashed, charismatic leftist winning the Florida governors office for the first time in 20 years is like a dream come true. Not to mention the fact that Democrats have a fairly good shot at flipping the state Senate or at least significantly reducing the GOP majority.
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« Reply #14 on: September 25, 2018, 05:48:33 pm »

If anyone told me a year ago that a Berniecrat was on track to defeat a Trumpist for Governor, I'd say you were crazy
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« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2018, 05:50:39 pm »

Gillum's lead is large and consistent enough for me to shift this race into the Likely D column.
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« Reply #16 on: September 25, 2018, 05:51:37 pm »

Gillum's lead is large and consistent enough for me to shift this race into the Likely D column.
If this were any other state, I'd agree with you.  However, it's Florida.  Tilt D for now.  If Gillum is still leading by next week, I'll move it to Lean D.
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« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2018, 06:11:53 pm »

If anyone told me a year ago that a Berniecrat was on track to defeat a Trumpist for Governor, I'd say you were crazy
He is not a Berniecrat.

Anyway, can't wait for Andrew Gillum to smoke this loser on Election night.
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« Reply #18 on: September 25, 2018, 07:17:39 pm »

If anyone told me a year ago that a Berniecrat was on track to defeat a Trumpist for Governor, I'd say you were crazy
He is not a Berniecrat.

Anyway, can't wait for Andrew Gillum to smoke this loser on Election night.
Yes he is.
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« Reply #19 on: September 25, 2018, 07:29:22 pm »

Remember when he first won and Atlas thought that Ron freakin DeSantis of all people was the favored

I was one of those people, and I am glad to be eating my words.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #20 on: September 25, 2018, 08:17:56 pm »

Interestingly enough it's a 46-27 (+19%) Fav/Unfav  for Gillum among LVs, and 42-37 (+5%) Fav/Unfav of DeSantis, despite Gillum having lower name recognition or unsure (27%) vs DeSantis (22%).

These favorable numbers for Gillum and Unfavorable numbers for DeSantis is why we are seeing these consistently decent leads for Gillum.
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« Reply #21 on: September 25, 2018, 09:01:01 pm »

While I'm not counting DeSantis out yet, Gillum has had a pretty consistent advantage, despite quality #analysis from Atlas suggesting that nominating him handed this race to Republicans. Lean D is a fair rating for this race.
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« Reply #22 on: September 25, 2018, 10:08:26 pm »

Desantis never had a chance
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« Reply #23 on: September 25, 2018, 11:07:30 pm »

While I'm not counting DeSantis out yet, Gillum has had a pretty consistent advantage, despite quality #analysis from Atlas suggesting that nominating him handed this race to Republicans. Lean D is a fair rating for this race.
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« Reply #24 on: September 27, 2018, 06:10:13 am »

I knew when I first heard Gillum speak that he (much like Beto) oozed charisma and maybe even more importantly, in the Trump age, temperament (including taking the high road). Not a single sitting governor in any of the 50 states is black. In fact, in the history of the United States, only two African-American men have ever been elected governor. Gillum, Abrams, and Jealous would all be good for a more inclusive America. Virginia may become the first state to elect a 2nd black governor, in 2021. Justin Fairfax will have my support if he runs. I believe Gillum (and Beto) will be bright beacons within the Democratic Party.
« Last Edit: September 27, 2018, 04:46:55 pm by President Pence? Rly? »Logged

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