Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (user search)
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  Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer (search mode)
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Author Topic: Wisconsin Megathread v2: Hagedorn vs. Neubauer  (Read 88419 times)
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« on: May 30, 2018, 01:02:49 PM »
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 02, 2018, 05:56:10 PM »
Serious own-goal if this holds in the primary. Tony Evers has a 100% chance of winning the general if he makes it. The others lack that level of certainty.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #2 on: June 02, 2018, 06:03:52 PM »
Quote from: Jeppe on June 02, 2018, 05:59:00 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 02, 2018, 05:56:10 PM
Serious own-goal if this holds in the primary. Tony Evers has a 100% chance of winning the general if he makes it. The others lack that level of certainty.

It seems like whenever Democrats nominate a woman, it’s an own-goal, but it’s not the case when Dems nominate flawed male candidates like Scott Wallace.

In some cases, there is an objectively strongest candidate in the Democratic field. In Wisconsin, it happened to be Tony Evers. In Minnesota, it is Tim Walz. It is not always going to be a male candidate who is the strongest, but it is the case in both MN-Gov and WI-Gov.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #3 on: June 02, 2018, 06:26:44 PM »
Quote from: MassGuy on June 02, 2018, 06:21:06 PM
Quote from: Oryxslayer on June 02, 2018, 06:01:35 PM
Quote from: Solid4096 on June 02, 2018, 05:56:10 PM
Serious own-goal if this holds in the primary. Tony Evers has a 100% chance of winning the general if he makes it. The others lack that level of certainty.

Rule one of conventions in 2018 - they are an extreme unrepresentative sample of the ideology of the electorate. Remember, Romney lost his convention, but will probably win the primary by 70%.
Exactly. Mostly radicals and ideologues show up at conventions. Not representative of the primary electorate at all.
Does someone have to be specifically invited to show up at a convention?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #4 on: June 07, 2018, 04:36:24 PM »
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #5 on: August 01, 2018, 09:20:10 PM »
Add up Dane County and all the Counties Screnock won in the recent state Supreme Court Race while excluding all the other Dallet Counties, and Dallet still wins.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #6 on: August 02, 2018, 06:06:58 PM »
Why is it so hard for people to realize that Tony Evers is the best candidate Democrats have in this race?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #7 on: August 14, 2018, 12:06:52 PM »
Wisconsin in general tends to have very high turnout.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #8 on: August 15, 2018, 01:03:27 PM »
Quote from: Arch on August 14, 2018, 11:02:00 PM
Over 6,000 people voted for Nehlen in WI-01. That's over 6,000 too many--frightening.

Wisconsin is an open primary state. What if some of those 6,000 people were Democrats who wanted to get an easy to beat opponent in the general?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #9 on: October 07, 2018, 09:33:51 PM »
Going to be Evers by double digits or something like that.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2018, 07:16:55 PM »
Baldwin will probably win by over 20 points at this rate. I am thinking that will be more than enough to push Bryce, Engebretson, and Liegeois over the top. Wisconsin will probably have a 6-2 Democratic delegation after this years elections.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #11 on: March 31, 2019, 02:26:45 PM »
If Lisa Neubauer wins by less than 12 points or loses, then its a disappointment.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #12 on: April 02, 2019, 06:16:22 PM »
Wisconsin will be a Safe D state again once trends in Dane and Milwaukee Counties continue to increase the margin for Democrats there, and when trends in the WOW Counties continue to decrease the margin for Republican there.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #13 on: April 02, 2019, 06:53:04 PM »
Polls close at 9:00 EST in Wisconsin.

Still a little more than an hour to go.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #14 on: April 02, 2019, 07:49:28 PM »
10 minutes until polls close.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #15 on: April 02, 2019, 08:05:23 PM »
Where is this from?
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #16 on: April 02, 2019, 08:10:08 PM »
Quote from: IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL on April 02, 2019, 08:09:17 PM

Probably Decision Desk:

Lisa Neubauer (Nonpartisan)     58.4%   3,908
Brian Hagedorn (Nonpartisan)     41.6%   2,784

I meant where in the state, not where the source.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #17 on: April 02, 2019, 08:10:59 PM »
Lisa Neubauer (Nonpartisan)     65.1%   5,904
Brian Hagedorn (Nonpartisan)     34.9%   3,163
Logged
America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #18 on: April 02, 2019, 08:15:07 PM »
Wisconsin State Supreme Court General Election
Candidate   Percent   Votes
Lisa Neubauer (Nonpartisan)     61.3%   28,347
Brian Hagedorn (Nonpartisan)     38.7%   17,906
247 of 3644 (7%) Precincts Reporting, 46,253 Total Votes
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #19 on: April 02, 2019, 08:20:24 PM »
Quote from: Thunder98 on April 02, 2019, 08:19:30 PM
Neubauer winning Winnebago so far 22% in.



Winnebago is rather consistently slightly to the right of the state.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,743


Political Matrix
E: -8.88, S: -8.51

P P P
« Reply #20 on: April 02, 2019, 08:21:49 PM »
We have no idea where in each of these Counties the voters are coming from.
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