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| | |-+  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | |-+  FL-Gov (Quinnipiac): Gillum +9
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Author Topic: FL-Gov (Quinnipiac): Gillum +9  (Read 1525 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 26, 2018, 11:06:05 am »

Gillum 54
DeSantis 45

Source
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IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: September 26, 2018, 11:06:33 am »

RIP Sanchez
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: September 26, 2018, 11:08:14 am »

Gillum's favorables are through the roof:

55% favorable
31% unfavorable

DeSantis' are not:

42% favorable
47% unfavorable
« Last Edit: September 26, 2018, 11:13:50 am by Gass3268 »Logged

Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

1. Warren
2. Gillibrand
3. Castro
4. Ojeda
5. Delaney
6. Gabbard
libertpaulian
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« Reply #3 on: September 26, 2018, 11:08:34 am »

Let's get some Georgia, Iowa, and South Carolina polls!
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« Reply #4 on: September 26, 2018, 11:09:10 am »

Wow, what has happened!?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2018, 11:15:42 am »

Wow, what has happened!?

I'm off the theory that it's a mix of that crazy pro-Trump ad and that one of the most important points in a congressional campaign, especially one with a really late priamry like Florida, is that you have a strong/piviot to the general because it is a completely different electoral. DeSantis bombed horribly and now everyone thinks he's a racist.
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Ranked Preferences for Announced Democratic Nominees:

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3. Castro
4. Ojeda
5. Delaney
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The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2018, 11:18:10 am »

I guess DeSantis thought Florida had a raging Viagra-fueled Trump boner but horribly miscalculated

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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2018, 11:18:59 am »

This is gonna be a spanking. Looks like DeSantis is the real monkey here.
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2018, 11:22:18 am »

Gillum should be able to pull through by a couple points at this time.
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« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2018, 11:23:18 am »

Glad my vote for Desantis in the GOP primary contributed to this
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« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2018, 11:28:16 am »

This same poll had Nelson up 7, so it's definitely a bit generous to Gillum, but still, someone check on Sanchez, I'm worried about him.
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« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2018, 11:28:38 am »

Wow!  I'm really surprised with how good Gillum is doing.   It's a good kind of surprised though, lol.
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« Reply #12 on: September 26, 2018, 11:29:50 am »

Interestingly enough, Nelson and Gillum both basically match each otherís performances among whites and Latinos but Gillumís wider margin is entirely due to black voters being almost 100% behind him.
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Use Your Illusion
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« Reply #13 on: September 26, 2018, 12:39:00 pm »

I sincerely doubt the margin for Gillum is that high but after long enough I'd say the race is lean D if held today. Still there's a long time to go. I still think this finishes as a tossup but concede that Gillum is ahead and consistently. By how much? I'm not going to say +9 maybe like +3 like all the polls showed
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« Reply #14 on: September 26, 2018, 12:39:17 pm »

Buh muh FBI investigation
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« Reply #15 on: September 26, 2018, 12:42:19 pm »

Likely D.
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« Reply #16 on: September 26, 2018, 12:51:16 pm »

Lol, remember when Atlas said only Graham could win?
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« Reply #17 on: September 26, 2018, 12:54:31 pm »

God Emperor Andrew Gillum
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« Reply #18 on: September 26, 2018, 01:08:10 pm »

Not sure how this can be a tossup when Gillum has lead every poll.
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OneJ
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« Reply #19 on: September 26, 2018, 01:16:27 pm »

To be fair, only 2% of Democrats voting for DeSantis seems too good to be true. However, Iím very happy that Gillum continues to lead DeSantis and hopefully by November, my initial concerns about him wonít get in the way of his victory.
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« Reply #20 on: September 26, 2018, 01:21:56 pm »

I just hope that when he wins, Gillum and friends can stop Scott from stealing 3 state Supreme Court seats with their illegal midnight appointment scheme. Otherwise Republicans are going to be emboldened to run wild with legislative gerrymandering in 2021.
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« Reply #21 on: September 26, 2018, 02:06:02 pm »

N U T
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« Reply #22 on: September 26, 2018, 02:06:21 pm »

Fine poll, though it looks like an outlier, similar to the senate poll. Gillum, however, seems to run a pretty solid campaign while DeSantis is a terrible candidate. Putnam would have been stronger.

I just hope that when he wins, Gillum and friends can stop Scott from stealing 3 state Supreme Court seats with their illegal midnight appointment scheme. Otherwise Republicans are going to be emboldened to run wild with legislative gerrymandering in 2021.

Do their judges terms end at the same time? I read that towards the end of his term Governor Lawton Chiles and Governor-elect Jeb Bush agreed on a joint nominee to avoid controversy in 1998.
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« Reply #23 on: September 26, 2018, 02:11:00 pm »

Fine poll, though it looks like an outlier, similar to the senate poll. Gillum, however, seems to run a pretty solid campaign while DeSantis is a terrible candidate. Putnam would have been stronger.

I just hope that when he wins, Gillum and friends can stop Scott from stealing 3 state Supreme Court seats with their illegal midnight appointment scheme. Otherwise Republicans are going to be emboldened to run wild with legislative gerrymandering in 2021.

Do their judges terms end at the same time? I read that towards the end of his term Governor Lawton Chiles and Governor-elect Jeb Bush agreed on a joint nominee to avoid controversy in 1998.

The thing is, Republicans know it's unconstitutional. They tried amending the constitution in 2014 to allow "preemptive appointments," but it failed to be approved. The problem is that you have to rely the state Supreme Court acting fast, and the justices who are retiring have to rule on this basically on their very last day. None of this should be possible but it's hard to rule it out given how f'd up some courts can be.

Read this if you're interested: https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=296310.msg6410254#msg6410254


Democrats already tried to file a lawsuit to prevent this, but the Supreme Court said nothing has happened yet so there is nothing to rule on. Scott has already initiated the process though, which he did so by requesting a list of justices to appoint, so Dems filed another lawsuit, which is pending.

It may even be moot in the end since Rick Scott stacked the judicial vacancy commission with cronies, so Gillum might only receive a list full of right wing justices and have no other options.
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« Reply #24 on: September 26, 2018, 02:16:15 pm »

Gillum has consistently been in the lead.
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