NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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Posts: 11,449
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« on: September 28, 2018, 07:12:55 PM » |
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At this point with so many polls confirming this point spread, it would be difficult to NOT believe that this race is Lean Dem (+5-7 D).
I'm sure there are some that might pull out the old canards of "Bradley / Wilder effect", "poll herding", etc....
Even the "FL is difficult to poll" (TRUTH) argument starts to fade when looking at these numbers.
The best question would be now perhaps:
Who are the undecided likely voters and how will they break?
What (If any) opportunities are available for DeSantis to reset the trajectory of the race, short of some major scandal that breaks late involving Gillum?
I'm sure we will be seeing at least 2-4 polls per week of FL as we head towards the endgame, with a hot GOV and SEN State on the line, so there is always time to adjust, but it's really starting to look like Gillum's lead is pretty close to insurmountable at this point, unless undecided voters break heavily DeSantis or some new "scandal" emerges that is of an actual substantive nature....
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