A guide to the 2018 New York State Senate elections
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  A guide to the 2018 New York State Senate elections
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Author Topic: A guide to the 2018 New York State Senate elections  (Read 889 times)
junior chįmp
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« on: September 29, 2018, 10:48:39 PM »

Pretty good run down of the upcoming NY State Senate elections:

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Virginiá
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2018, 11:05:49 PM »

Doesn't this seem kind of Republican-friendly? For instance, is Robach actually safe? This is seat that went for Clinton by mid-teens and Obama by >20 points. I also thought like 3-5 Republicans retired from marginal seats, but just a quick scan of this list indicates they are rated as safe since there are only two open seats in Lean/Tossup category.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #2 on: September 30, 2018, 12:44:00 AM »

Wait, how come Valesky is still on the ballot? Didn't he lose his primary?
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cinyc
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« Reply #3 on: September 30, 2018, 01:03:40 PM »

Wait, how come Valesky is still on the ballot? Didn't he lose his primary?

Valesky is still on a few minor party lines.
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Blackacre
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« Reply #4 on: September 30, 2018, 02:18:43 PM »

Robert Kesten would have made SD40 much more competitive. RIP.
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junior chįmp
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: September 30, 2018, 09:46:24 PM »

Doesn't this seem kind of Republican-friendly? For instance, is Robach actually safe? This is seat that went for Clinton by mid-teens and Obama by >20 points. I also thought like 3-5 Republicans retired from marginal seats, but just a quick scan of this list indicates they are rated as safe since there are only two open seats in Lean/Tossup category.

Yes...these predictions are way too R friendly but its hard to predict state leg races. I remeber DDHQ gave the VA HoD only a 4% chance of flipping in 2017 lulz.

Ill make my own prefictions on here later on
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Tekken_Guy
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« Reply #6 on: October 06, 2018, 06:26:40 PM »

Way too R-Friendly.

How is Funke safe? He’s in Rochester for crying out loud! That was Trump’s worst R-held district in the state.
What about O’Mara? If Reed is potentially in danger than so should he.
Jacobs and Ranzenhoffer should be endangered too.
DeFrancisco safe? Really?
LaValle and Flanagan? If Zeldin isn’t safe neither should they be.
Boyle and Murphy are Likely R?
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