Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
February 18, 2019, 09:42:11 pm
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | | | |-+  KS-Gov (Emerson) Dead Heat
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: KS-Gov (Emerson) Dead Heat  (Read 797 times)
The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
Mizzouian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,567
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 01, 2018, 08:23:22 am »

KKKobach (R) 37
Kelly (D) 36
Clown Orman (I) 9

https://mobile.twitter.com/EmersonPolling/status/1046746556853039104?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1046746556853039104&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dailykos.com%2Fstory%2F2018%2F10%2F1%2F1799746%2F-Daily-Kos-Elections-Live-Digest-10-1
Logged
The Saint
TheSaint250
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,824


P P
View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 08:25:27 am »

Greg Orman (I) 9

It's quite impressive that he literally hasn't budged from here.
Logged

OneJ
OneJ_
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,309
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.68, S: -2.61

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2018, 08:31:26 am »

Greg Orman (I) 9

It's quite impressive that he literally hasn't budged from here.

Great. I sure hope Orman goes down from here.
Logged

Parrotguy
Wyman
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,548
Israel


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2018, 08:36:46 am »

Greg Orman (I) 9

It's quite impressive that he literally hasn't budged from here.

Honestly, if Kobach wins and ruins Kansas even further, it's entirely on this guy.
Logged

Pollster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 875


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 01, 2018, 08:44:25 am »

Is Orman self-funding? Can't imagine he'll want to continue doing so if his numbers stay where they are.
Logged

Recovered professional pollster and analyst. Returning from sabbatical in 2019.
The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
Mizzouian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,567
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 01, 2018, 08:53:27 am »

None of the experts have this at a tossup yet, though Wisconsin is clearly still a pure tossup!
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 6,862
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 01, 2018, 08:56:20 am »

The third poll in a row with Orman at 9%?

I predict the end margin to be something like 45-44-10%.
Logged

United Arab Emirates Immigrant, naturalized US citizen, resident of wonderful California, devoted liberal Democrat. Any questions?

Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,379
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 01, 2018, 10:33:09 am »

This is gonna be a close one.
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,628
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 01, 2018, 10:39:22 am »

Drop out Greg. Your 15 minutes passed 4 years ago.
Logged

In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
Landslide Lyndon
px75
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 18,220
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 01, 2018, 11:10:18 am »

He'll fade away the closer we get to election day. The real question is who are currently supporting this guy. Are they liberals who remember him from 2014 or are they Republicans who hate Kobach?
And if they are predominantly of the second variety, what they'll do at the end? Will they decide that the only way to stop Kobach is to vote for Kelly or will they find voting for a Democrat a bridge too far and hold their nose while pulling the lever for him?
Logged

Bob Findley: "You're a real dyed-in-the-wool son-of-a-bitch. Anyone ever told you that?"
Steve Everett: "Just close friends and family,"

Clint Eastwood's "True Crime", 1999.
Xing
xingkerui
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 15,171
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.63, S: -6.13

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 01, 2018, 11:12:04 am »

That's what, the 4th poll showing a dead heat? How is this not rated as a Toss-Up by the "experts" yet?
Logged

tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,617
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 01, 2018, 11:33:06 am »

This race has been very quiet, I'm not surprised that there hasn't been a change in the polls.
Logged
Joni Ernst 20∞
IndyRep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,379
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 01, 2018, 12:29:48 pm »

This race has been very quiet, I'm not surprised that there hasn't been a change in the polls.

Gun to your head, who do you think wins?
Logged

populist neoliberal elitist corporatist polarized record levels polarization elastic inelastic elasticity inelasticity college-educated fiscally conservative socially liberal moderate reasonable wwc



Countdown timer to Joni Ernst's victory speech
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,617
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 01, 2018, 01:25:45 pm »

This race has been very quiet, I'm not surprised that there hasn't been a change in the polls.

Gun to your head, who do you think wins?
Kobach. He's terrible with moderates, but then again, so was Brownback and he still managed to almost hit 50% in 2014. Granted, this year will be much worse for Republicans, but there is also a third party spoiler this year. Kobach is more exciting to the base than Kelly. If Kelly wins I think her biggest saving grace will be the competitive races in the 2nd and 3rd which will boost turnout.
Logged
Badger
badger
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,628
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 01, 2018, 01:35:59 pm »

Just my two cents, gun to my head I think Kelly wins, only because ormond's support will drop considerably by election day, with most of it defecting to her. I also think there is still a non in significant chance that he drops out and endorses Kelly.
Logged

In America, it's easier to con somebody than to convince them they've been conned.-- Mark Twain.
Bevinevitable
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 30,565
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.65, S: -5.70

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 01, 2018, 05:59:27 pm »

Gotta love the graph of this race.

Logged

olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,027
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 01, 2018, 06:20:43 pm »

KS moves to Lean R from Tossup
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,007
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 01, 2018, 07:19:14 pm »

Kobach can't win! It's not worth it, Orman! Put your ego aside!
Logged

Florida is, and always will be, the worst state in the country!
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Logout

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines