NJ-Stockton: Menendez +2
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 12:45:39 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls
  NJ-Stockton: Menendez +2
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4
Author Topic: NJ-Stockton: Menendez +2  (Read 4146 times)
Bojack Horseman
Wolverine22
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,370
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: October 01, 2018, 05:04:38 PM »

With everything that's at stake in this election, every Democrat in New Jersey needs to just hold their nose and vote for Bob Menendez. If we lose New Jersey and the Senate ends up split 50-50 with Pence breaking the tie, how are you going to feel then?
Logged
CityofSinners
Rookie
**
Posts: 206


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: October 01, 2018, 05:10:59 PM »
« Edited: October 01, 2018, 05:52:15 PM by CityofSinners »

Patrick Murray(Manmouth polling director) thinks the poll has problems with a representitive sample and likely overestimates republicans.
That doesn't mean Menendez will win but take this poll with a serious amount of salt.

https://twitter.com/PollsterPatrick/status/1046879386006372354
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,823
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: October 01, 2018, 05:49:19 PM »

I can believe this poll.

I also think that New Jersey probably will probably reelect Menendez by exactly that margin.

Maybe:

Bob Menendez 50%
Bob Hugin 48%
Logged
BudgieForce
superbudgie1582
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: October 01, 2018, 05:49:35 PM »

Oh wow. You know its bad when someone like Patrick Murray openly calls out another pollster.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,489
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: October 01, 2018, 06:19:29 PM »

Menendez can be the lone Democrat to lose rather than Heidi
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: October 01, 2018, 06:31:08 PM »

Menendez is godawful, but the political environment and NJ's partisanship should save him. But if it doesn't and Hugin somehow pulls off the miracle, honestly, Dems only have themselves to blame. They're utter morons for backing Menendez.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #56 on: October 01, 2018, 06:37:07 PM »

Likely D, due to the national environment, but Menendez would be losing in a Clinton midterm. Yet another example that candidate quality matters.

It matters far more for Democrats than for Republicans. Duncan Hunter's scandal is far worse than Menendez's yet it barely made a dent. Republican voters don't care about scandals.
Logged
BudgieForce
superbudgie1582
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #57 on: October 01, 2018, 07:08:35 PM »

We're getting a Fairleigh Dickinson poll on Wednesday thats apparently younger and less white. So be careful with the panic until then unless you want to end up with egg on your face.

https://twitter.com/MattFriedmanNJ/status/1046852932828897280
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,981
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #58 on: October 01, 2018, 07:11:12 PM »
« Edited: October 01, 2018, 07:16:05 PM by Progressive Pessimist »

With everything that's at stake in this election, every Democrat in New Jersey needs to just hold their nose and vote for Bob Menendez. If we lose New Jersey and the Senate ends up split 50-50 with Pence breaking the tie, how are you going to feel then?

Don't worry I am. It will disappoint my friend and fellow Bergen County resident-Admiral President, but he's got my vote. There is too much at stake and I'm pretty certain that other New Jersey Democrats feel the same way, I've talked to some of them. I personally would have just preferred if he retired, and we had Frank Pallone or Steve Fulop run for his seat instead.

Anyway. Hahaha! This poll is not going to be accurate! Anti-Hugin ads have finally been assaulting the airwaves. It will still probably be closer than it should be, but in no way is Menendez going to lose. Also this race will not be closer than West Virginia's.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #59 on: October 01, 2018, 07:14:07 PM »

We're getting a Fairleigh Dickinson poll on Wednesday thats apparently younger and less white. So be careful with the panic until then unless you want to end up with egg on your face.

https://twitter.com/MattFriedmanNJ/status/1046852932828897280

I don't see anyone panicking in this thread.
Logged
BudgieForce
superbudgie1582
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #60 on: October 01, 2018, 07:15:37 PM »

We're getting a Fairleigh Dickinson poll on Wednesday thats apparently younger and less white. So be careful with the panic until then unless you want to end up with egg on your face.

https://twitter.com/MattFriedmanNJ/status/1046852932828897280

I don't see anyone panicking in this thread.

Whatever Icespear.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #61 on: October 01, 2018, 07:20:50 PM »

We're getting a Fairleigh Dickinson poll on Wednesday thats apparently younger and less white. So be careful with the panic until then unless you want to end up with egg on your face.

https://twitter.com/MattFriedmanNJ/status/1046852932828897280

I don't see anyone panicking in this thread.

Whatever Icespear.

Okay? I was just stating an objective fact. I'm guessing it was aimed at me despite me explicitly saying Hugin would need a miracle to win. But even if it wasn't, I didn't see a single person in this thread "panicking" when I skimmed through it.
Logged
BudgieForce
superbudgie1582
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,298


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #62 on: October 01, 2018, 07:24:23 PM »

We're getting a Fairleigh Dickinson poll on Wednesday thats apparently younger and less white. So be careful with the panic until then unless you want to end up with egg on your face.

https://twitter.com/MattFriedmanNJ/status/1046852932828897280

I don't see anyone panicking in this thread.

Whatever Icespear.

Okay? I was just stating an objective fact. I'm guessing it was aimed at me despite me explicitly saying Hugin would need a miracle to win. But even if it wasn't, I didn't see a single person in this thread "panicking" when I skimmed through it.

Thats the case with most of the threads in this forum. If a thread gets alot of activity, its a train-wreck. If alot of people are speaking out against a poll, their panicking. I know no one was actually panicking, it just seems like common terminology around here.
Logged
Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,828


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #63 on: October 01, 2018, 09:39:48 PM »

How did this corrupt windbag win the primary? What the hell is wrong with NJ Dems?
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #64 on: October 01, 2018, 09:42:18 PM »

How did this corrupt windbag win the primary? What the hell is wrong with NJ Dems?

His primary opponent was literally a some chick and she still got like 40%. Any remotely competent Democrat with an actual campaign and money would've beaten him, but the moronic NJ Dems/national Dems cleared the field for the corrupt sack of dogsh**t.
Logged
ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,106
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #65 on: October 01, 2018, 09:47:27 PM »

How did this corrupt windbag win the primary? What the hell is wrong with NJ Dems?

NJ Democrats are some of the most corrupt politicians on either side of the aisle. I have no idea why the voters tolerate it at all and keep on letting the machine control primaries, but it's disgusting.
Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,708


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #66 on: October 01, 2018, 09:51:31 PM »

How did this corrupt windbag win the primary? What the hell is wrong with NJ Dems?

NJ is one of the biggest machine states. It was by far the best state for Hillary that wasn't a slave state in 1860.
Logged
Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,645
United States



Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #67 on: October 02, 2018, 01:48:56 AM »

Still don't get it why this dude wasn't challenged in the primary by a formidable opponent? The wave will safe Mendenez, but I'm really disappointed this race is at this state.
Logged
Landslide Lyndon
px75
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,803
Greece


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #68 on: October 02, 2018, 02:53:19 AM »

How did this corrupt windbag win the primary? What the hell is wrong with NJ Dems?

Because he had the full backing of the New Jersey party machine and that scared away any legitimate challenger.
Logged
Politician
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,986
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.13, S: -0.87

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #69 on: October 02, 2018, 06:48:50 AM »

I wish Rush Holt had run, he would win easily and would be a really good Senator.
Logged
Averroës Nix
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,289
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #70 on: October 02, 2018, 03:20:04 PM »

Menendez can be the lone Democrat to lose rather than Heidi

Vote For the Crook. It's Important.
Logged
President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
Atlas Politician
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 41,402
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #71 on: October 02, 2018, 03:23:36 PM »

Menendez can be the lone Democrat to lose rather than Heidi

Vote For the Crook. It's Important.
Logged
2016
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,448


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #72 on: October 02, 2018, 07:21:17 PM »

CNN changes New Jersey Senate Race from Likely to Lean Democrat...

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/02/politics/new-jersey-senate-bob-menendez/index.html?utm_term=image&utm_medium=social&utm_content=2018-10-02T19%3A13%3A07&utm_source=twCNNp

https://edition.cnn.com/2018/10/01/politics/menendez-hugin-new-jersey-senate-poll/index.html

The Race is between 2 and 6 Points apparently.
Logged
Progressive Pessimist
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,981
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.71, S: -7.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #73 on: October 02, 2018, 08:27:50 PM »

I wish Rush Holt had run, he would win easily and would be a really good Senator.

That would have been amazing! He is (or was) one of my favorite political figures in my state! Unfortunately we're still stuck with Menendez for another six years, you know, since he is going to win again.
Logged
Lord Admirale
Admiral President
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,880
United States Minor Outlying Islands


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -0.70

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #74 on: October 02, 2018, 09:03:00 PM »

https://youtu.be/ypHZ_iKBcoo
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.06 seconds with 12 queries.