OK-Right Strategy Group: GOP sweep

[Antonio the Sixth]

Lean R, but it'll be fun seeing an OK map of a close race.

[TheSaint250]

Lean R, but it'll be fun seeing an OK map of a close race.

[Ebsy]

Always bemusing to see the usual suspects jump on a poll from an unknown firm.

It's one of two firms to ever poll this race, both of which had Edmondson ahead initially and now both have Stitt ahead. And nobody had a problem with either one when they had Edmondson ahead. Yet now suddenly you do? How convenient.

Of course, I wouldn't expect any less from the forum's resident Baghdad Bob. Remember when you insisted the Comey letter wouldn't matter and called me a concern troll for arguing otherwise? LOL. I also remember when you thought Hillary was going to win St. Charles County, MO. Good times...#throwback

Well, you are the most usual suspect.

[jamestroll]

LOL. I also remember when you thought Hillary was going to win St. Charles County, MO. Good times...#throwback

Well in a post 2016 world I would say that if a Democrat manages to win statewide in Missouri they  have to come damn close to winning St Charles County, MO and in the event of a large statewide margin they would win St Charles now.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Im still predicting Edmondson wins. There's only so much people can take. And besides, it's an INTERNAL. The state is not going to vote for someone who doesn't want to vaccinate their children(he needs to be in an insane asylum)' in a democratic wave year when schools are so ripped of money they are only open 4 days a week!

[MT Treasurer]

Im still predicting Edmondson wins. There's only so much people can take. And besides, it's an INTERNAL. The state is not going to vote for someone who doesn't want to vaccinate their children(he needs to be in an insane asylum)' in a democratic wave year when schools are so ripped of money they are only open 4 days a week!

It really isn’t, sorry.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Im still predicting Edmondson wins. There's only so much people can take. And besides, it's an INTERNAL. The state is not going to vote for someone who doesn't want to vaccinate their children(he needs to be in an insane asylum)' in a democratic wave year when schools are so ripped of money they are only open 4 days a week!

It really isn’t, sorry.

Then why does the poll have an R next to it on the wikipedia page of it's race?

[MT Treasurer]

Im still predicting Edmondson wins. There's only so much people can take. And besides, it's an INTERNAL. The state is not going to vote for someone who doesn't want to vaccinate their children(he needs to be in an insane asylum)' in a democratic wave year when schools are so ripped of money they are only open 4 days a week!

It really isn’t, sorry.

Then why does the poll have an R next to it on the wikipedia page of it's race?

It might be a R-leaning pollster, but it’s no internal:

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Besides, these results are almost identical to the SoonerPoll released three weeks ago, and their last poll actually had Edmondson ahead.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Yeah, this is not competitive. Sorry, but OK is just THAT republican.

[CatoMinor]

Lean R, but it'll be fun seeing an OK map of a close race.

Probably nothing like the 2002 Brad Henry win map sadly. More likely Oklahoma, Cleveland, and maybe Tulsa counties flip while the rest of the state stays blue.

[IceSpear]

Im still predicting Edmondson wins. There's only so much people can take. And besides, it's an INTERNAL. The state is not going to vote for someone who doesn't want to vaccinate their children(he needs to be in an insane asylum)' in a democratic wave year when schools are so ripped of money they are only open 4 days a week!

He has the (R) you see, so none of that matters. The Deplorables in Jokelahoma would prefer a 0 day school week over the idea of voting for a Demoncrat. Actually, they'd probably prefer a 0 day school week regardless. Education is for liberals and coastal elitists.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Im still predicting Edmondson wins. There's only so much people can take. And besides, it's an INTERNAL. The state is not going to vote for someone who doesn't want to vaccinate their children(he needs to be in an insane asylum)' in a democratic wave year when schools are so ripped of money they are only open 4 days a week!

He has the (R) you see, so none of that matters. The Deplorables in Jokelahoma would prefer a 0 day school week over the idea of voting for a Demoncrat. Actually, they'd probably prefer a 0 day school week regardless. Education is for liberals and coastal elitists.

It doesn't matter! Yes the deplorable rural areas will vote solid R as usual but you can't convince me the college educated suburban areas aren't going to overwhelmingly rejct Stitt. OK County will be 60-39 Edmondson or something like that. Cleveland and Comanche will be strong D too.

Something like this:



He'd need 59% in OKC & Comanche, 57% in Cleveland, 53% in Muskogee, 52% in Tulsa, 42% in Wagoner and Pottawatomie, and 41% in Canadian and Rogers. A lot of smaller counties in Little Dixie and its periphery come down to sheer coin flips here.

He'd need 25-30 point swings in the most populated counties; there'd be no improvement in the Panhandle and the most western portions of the state; from there, the swings would grow in strength as you move east until you reach the most Democratic-friendly portions of Little Dixie, where swings in his favor would exist, but would be tapered compared to some other regions.