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December 11, 2019, 02:24:38 pm
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ND: SRA Research- Cramer +10  (Read 3260 times)
KingSweden
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« on: October 01, 2018, 06:45:02 pm »

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But I thought the Kavanaugh controversy/Cramer's "gaffe" were going to spell doom for him? Cramer +10 is definitely hard to believe (especially if Tester is ahead by 4), but anyone who believes Cramer is the next Akin doesn’t know what they’re talking about.

Edit: Oh, this was taken before Cramer's comments. Still, not a good poll for her by any means.

Wait it was taken that long ago? Was their WV during a similar date range?
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KingSweden
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« Reply #1 on: October 01, 2018, 06:46:53 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.

I mean she hasn’t leaned into the Cramer stuff as hard as one thought she might after he made the comments.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #2 on: October 01, 2018, 06:58:07 pm »

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But I thought the Kavanaugh controversy/Cramer's "gaffe" were going to spell doom for him? Cramer +10 is definitely hard to believe (especially if Tester is ahead by 4), but anyone who believes Cramer is the next Akin doesn’t know what they’re talking about.

Edit: Oh, this was taken before Cramer's comments. Still, not a good poll for her by any means.

Wait it was taken that long ago? Was their WV during a similar date range?

The West Virginia poll released today was done between 9/17 through 9/26.

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/September+Survey.pdf

I feel like that doesn’t tell us much... unless Kavanagh hearings didn’t move the needle much in either direction (which would not surprise me)
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KingSweden
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« Reply #3 on: October 01, 2018, 08:09:42 pm »

I mean I think Cramer wins but this is a bit much.
Whoa I agree with bagel
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2018, 02:20:50 pm »


As I've said for a while now, North Dakota strongly backs Kavanaugh and a majority of North Dakota voters likely agree with Cramer's comments. If Heitkamp wants to lose, focusing on Cramer's "Akin comments" should certainly be her strategy.

Dems really overplayed their hand and shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh situation, at least in regards to their deep red state Senate incumbents.

What we've got to keep in mind is that the Kavanaugh hearings are entirely about the large contingent Senators running for 2020, none of whom give half a damn if Heidi Heitkamp (or Manchin or Donnelly) is re-elected. They would drown her in the Potomac if they thought it would win them Iowa.

That's very true...sigh. Just like the stupid government shutdown stunt from a while back. Luckily that was so long ago everyone forgot and no longer cares about it. But now we're getting close to the point in the cycle where voters actually start remembering recent events while voting, so it's getting dicey.

The Government shutdown didnt even hurt the GOP in polling even then and I believe the Dems generic ballot lead started dropping around that time till around July when it stopped dropping . Then in August it started to rise again

I don’t think the shutdown is correlated at all with the spring GCB decline
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KingSweden
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2018, 03:55:55 pm »

The minority numbers are clearly skewed. There is no way that Black voters are tied, or that Hispanic or "Other" voters are favorable to Cramer.

There are black voters in ND?
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