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Author Topic: FL-Gray Television/Strategic Research Associates, LLC: Gillum (D) +1  (Read 728 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 02, 2018, 01:20:43 pm »

44% Gillum (D)
43% DeSantis (R)
12% Undecided

Quote
In the race for Governor, Democrat Andrew Gillum leads Republican Ron DeSantis 44% to
43%, with 12% undecided. Gillum is viewed favorably by 37% of likely voters and unfavorably
by 25%, with 15% holding a neutral opinion and 23% still unfamliar. DeSantis is viewed
favorably by 38% and unfavorably by 35%, with 12% holding a neutral opinion and 15%
unfamiliar.

When asked about their vote for Congress, Florida voters prefer the generic Democratic
candidate over the generic Republican candidate by a 43% to 42% margin.

Overall, 47% of Florida voters approve of the job Donald Trump is doing as president, while
46% disapprove. Asked about the national issues currently most important to Florida voters,
healthcare was the most frequently selected response, chosen by 17% of respondents.

Forty-five percent of Florida voters support the nomination of Brett Kavanaugh to the United
States Supreme Court, with 32% expressing opposition. The poll was conducted during
the recent disclosure that Kavanaugh may have engaged in sexual misconduct while in high
school and college, and partially after the September 27 testimony by Kavanaugh and one of
his accusers before the Senate Judiciary Committtee.

http://media.graytvinc.com/documents/GRAY_FL_September_Survey.pdf
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olowakandi
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2018, 01:22:43 pm »

Back to a tight race
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Snek!
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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2018, 01:29:51 pm »

P16. Did you vote for [RANDOMIZE: “Donald Trump”, “Hillary Clinton”], or
someone else in the 2016 Presidential Election?
Percent
Donald Trump 46
Hillary Clinton 38
Someone else 9
Don’t know/Remember 6
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Arch
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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2018, 01:30:59 pm »

P16. Did you vote for [RANDOMIZE: “Donald Trump”, “Hillary Clinton”], or
someone else in the 2016 Presidential Election?
Percent
Donald Trump 46
Hillary Clinton 38
Someone else 9
Don’t know/Remember 6

That sample is rather R friendly, but who knows what the electorate is this year.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2018, 01:32:37 pm »

P16. Did you vote for [RANDOMIZE: “Donald Trump”, “Hillary Clinton”], or
someone else in the 2016 Presidential Election?
Percent
Donald Trump 46
Hillary Clinton 38
Someone else 9
Don’t know/Remember 6

LMAO. If DeSantis can’t even get a tie in this extremely generous to Republicans sample, it says a lot about him.
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Snek!
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2018, 01:41:31 pm »

P16. Did you vote for [RANDOMIZE: “Donald Trump”, “Hillary Clinton”], or
someone else in the 2016 Presidential Election?
Percent
Donald Trump 46
Hillary Clinton 38
Someone else 9
Don’t know/Remember 6

That sample is rather R friendly, but who knows what the electorate is this year.

I would be SHOCKED if it was 7% more republican than it was in 2016. It should be about the same or at most, the Republicans might turn out 2-3% better.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2018, 01:54:27 pm »

The fact that Gillum is still ahead even with this type of electorate just shows you how favored he is. I guess even the Florida Democratic Party meets the broken clock standard, lol.
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henster
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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2018, 02:52:11 pm »

Look at the crosstabs, DeSantis is winning 19% of black voters in this poll and leading with millennials.
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RINO Tom
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« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2018, 03:10:10 pm »

Knowing Atlas and how it thinks of geography, Florida will probably cease to be considered a Southern state if it votes for a Black Democrat statewide, LOL.  Until it votes for a White Republican, of course, then it's back to being Southern.

Trashiest state in the country, full of swampy rednecks and old racists or a booming, multi-metropolis extension of the Northeast, full of tourist attractions galore.  Switches by the cycle. Tongue
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Free Bird
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2018, 03:28:23 pm »

What a depressing name for a polling firm, by the way.
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Snek!
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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2018, 03:44:26 pm »

Knowing Atlas and how it thinks of geography, Florida will probably cease to be considered a Southern state if it votes for a Black Democrat statewide, LOL.  Until it votes for a White Republican, of course, then it's back to being Southern.

Trashiest state in the country, full of swampy rednecks and old racists or a booming, multi-metropolis extension of the Northeast, full of tourist attractions galore.  Switches by the cycle. Tongue

I want to use the Disney castle and rednecks to start a fiefdom.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2018, 04:50:25 pm »

Knowing Atlas and how it thinks of geography, Florida will probably cease to be considered a Southern state if it votes for a Black Democrat statewide, LOL.  Until it votes for a White Republican, of course, then it's back to being Southern.

Trashiest state in the country, full of swampy rednecks and old racists or a booming, multi-metropolis extension of the Northeast, full of tourist attractions galore.  Switches by the cycle. Tongue

True, then again, look at how negatively a lot of Republican view Virginia now. Tongue

Anyway, if DeSantis can't lead in a poll like this, he's definitely in a lot of trouble.
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Bernie 2020
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« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2018, 05:34:02 pm »

Ah this is the same company that did the ND poll that had Cramer up by 10
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: October 02, 2018, 08:11:11 pm »

Oh no! DeSantis surging! We were right all along! *Sucks thumb*
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #14 on: October 02, 2018, 10:22:43 pm »

Gillum being ahead by 5 is consistent with him being at +1 in some polls and +9 in others.
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