MN-Star Tribune/Mason Dixon: Klobuchar+23, Smith+6
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  MN-Star Tribune/Mason Dixon: Klobuchar+23, Smith+6
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Author Topic: MN-Star Tribune/Mason Dixon: Klobuchar+23, Smith+6  (Read 2164 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: October 19, 2018, 03:03:36 PM »

56% Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D)
33% Jim Newberger (R)

47% Sen. Tina Smith (D)
41% Karin Housley (R)

The telephone poll of 800 likely voters was conducted Oct. 15-17 and has an error margin of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.startribune.com/sen-amy-klobuchar-has-a-big-lead-sen-tina-smith-ahead-but-by-much-less/498048621
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2018, 03:05:33 PM »

Meanwhile, Newt Gingrich has an internal poll that claims Housley is within 3 points:

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Senator Incitatus
AMB1996
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2018, 03:07:02 PM »

MN-SP and NJ are the only two upset opportunities I see (unless you count TX).
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2018, 03:07:32 PM »

The link doesn't work.
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Beet
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2018, 03:08:37 PM »

I have this WI-Sen, NJ-Sen and MN-Special this on my list of "sleeper races."
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2018, 03:09:58 PM »


I think there was a time embargo and they deleted it again.

It will likely be posted later again and it's still on Google.
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2018, 03:10:03 PM »

I have this WI-Sen, NJ-Sen and MN-Special this on my list of "sleeper races."

It's not a sleeper race when it's Safe D, like all those races are.
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DaWN
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2018, 03:10:38 PM »

I'm finding it really difficult to believe that Smith will under perform Klobuchar by 17 points
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2018, 03:10:38 PM »

Likely D, but I think Republicans are well-positioned to pick up MN-01 and MN-08 if Smith wins by an underwhelming margin.

GOV numbers?
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2016
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2018, 03:13:31 PM »

2016 all over again. There will be some surprise Seats who will come late to the Battleground Map just like Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin were in the POTUS Race two years ago. Minnesota Special is one and the Menendez/Hugin Race in NJ is the other.

Are I am surprised that the Smith/Housley Race is closing up? No. Appointed Senators trend to struggle in their 1st Election see Hyde-Smith this year or Michael Bennet in CO 2010.
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Xing
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2018, 03:21:39 PM »

MN-Special is Safe D. The end.
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Jags
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2018, 03:32:00 PM »

Housley recently got exposed for old facebook messages that are really awful about the Obamas and Clinton. I have a real hard time seeing how she comes within 6 points, my guess is she loses by 10+.
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Dr Oz Lost Party!
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2018, 03:35:19 PM »

Housley recently got exposed for old facebook messages that are really awful about the Obamas and Clinton. I have a real hard time seeing how she comes within 6 points, my guess is she loses by 10+.

Yeah, especially with Klobuchar on the same ballot.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2018, 07:54:06 PM »

MN-SP and NJ are the only two upset opportunities I see (unless you count TX).

Hahaha! No.
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Scottholes 2.0
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2018, 08:48:24 PM »

MN is a blue state in a BLUE WAVE year. There is no way Minnesota will lose one of its Democrat-held senate seats in a year like this!
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IceSpear
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2018, 07:12:09 AM »

The link says page not found, and I can't find anything about this poll from googling around.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2018, 07:38:12 AM »

The link says page not found, and I can't find anything about this poll from googling around.

Yesterday, it was briefly around on Google for about an hour - but it never showed up on the Star Tribune page somehow.

Maybe they deleted it, because the Star Tribune posted it too early (Sunday release) ? Or maybe there was an error in the poll and they deleted it ? Let's see if they post it tomorrow ...
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President Johnson
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2018, 09:13:51 AM »

Honestly, I don't buy it that Tina Smith is underperforming Klobuchar this much. The undecideds who say they vote for Klobuchar will all break for Smith in the end.
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TheRocketRaccoon
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2018, 07:48:15 AM »

Embargo lifted

http://www.startribune.com/sen-amy-klobuchar-has-a-big-lead-sen-tina-smith-ahead-but-by-much-less/498048621/
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #19 on: October 22, 2018, 06:07:18 PM »

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I didn't know my name was 'no one'. LOL. I called the flip. We shall see how it comes out.
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scutosaurus
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« Reply #20 on: October 22, 2018, 06:08:30 PM »

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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #21 on: October 22, 2018, 06:16:40 PM »

Then I suppose Texas which is R+7 is 'safe' too, no? Wink
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IceSpear
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« Reply #22 on: October 22, 2018, 08:25:33 PM »

Then I suppose Texas which is R+7 is 'safe' too, no? Wink

Yes, unironically.
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