Their gubernatorial result is in line with most others at least. We can infer at this point that there are going to be tons of Sinema-Ducey voters
I don't see how people can justify voting for a generic Republican simultaneously with a former Ralph Nader activist, but then again, the average American voter is an enigma.
Senigma has put up a pretty good fake moderate smoke screen during her congressional tenure. That's a large part of why she's doing so well with moderate voters; if she ran as an unapologetic progressive, she'd probably be doing worse.