Is Heitkamp Really DOA In The Election This Time? 2018 GE Edition

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I wouldn't say she's DOA just yet, but it certainly doesn't look good for her.

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The double standards here are pretty amusing. You'd all laugh at anyone who thought a Republican consistently behind by double digits in a deep blue state could still win, and for good reason.

To be fair, I didn't move IL-GOV to Safe D as soon as we had two polls showing Rauner down by double digits. And Rauner is much more unpopular than Heitkamp. Once we had several polls showing him way down, then it became pretty clear that he didn't have a prayer of a chance. Plus, Heitkamp's deficit seems to be a very sudden change, and I'm only waiting to make sure it will last before completely writing her off. As I said, though, it certainly doesn't look good for her.

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If there were any justice left in this country, Heitkamp would win and Manchin would lose, but the Kavanaugh spectacle makes it crystal clear that there is no justice in this country.

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Looking like the answer is yes. Unless we get some polls showing the race tightening considerably, might be time to write her off. She was down in the polls in 2012, but never by this much.