AZ-Data Orbital: Gov. Ducey (R) enjoys huge lead (user search)
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  AZ-Data Orbital: Gov. Ducey (R) enjoys huge lead (search mode)
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Author Topic: AZ-Data Orbital: Gov. Ducey (R) enjoys huge lead  (Read 2236 times)
MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: October 06, 2018, 01:38:50 PM »

Lean D.
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,283
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2018, 05:23:28 PM »


According to my "add 10 points to every Democrat" mind model*, Garcia is still in this race.

*Except in Nevada, there you add 10 points to the Republican instead.

When you factor in the momentary Kavanaugh bump, the state's Democratic trend, VA-GOV 2017 redux, the high number of undecideds who will all break Democratic, the blue wave and the fact that Arizona is a notoriously difficult state to poll, it’s obvious that Ducey is the underdog and more likely to lose than Heitkamp and Heller.
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