Redone Japan house of representatives seats

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Kagawa-1: Sanuki city, Higashikagawa city, Miki town, Shozu district, Naoshima town, southern Takamatsu city, Ayagawa town, Kotohira town, Manno town
Kagawa-2: most of Takamatsu city
Kagawa-3: the rest of Kagawa preferecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Tokushima-1: Tokushima city, Naruto city, Matsushige town, Kitajima town, Aizumi town
Tokushima-2: the rest of Tokushima prefecture

Shimane-1: Matsue city, Oki district, 70% of Izumo city
Shimane-2: the rest of Shimane prefecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Hiroshima-1: Shōbara city, Jinsekikōgen town, Fuchu city, Miyoshi city, Sera town, Akitakata city, Yamagata district, part of northern Fukuyama city
Hiroshima-2: Takehara city, Mihara city, Onamichi city, part of Fukuyama city
Hiroshima-3: most of Fukuyama city
Hiroshima-4: Kure city, southern part of Higashihiroshima city
Hiroshima-5: northern Higashihiroshima city, Asakita ward, part of Asaminami ward in Hiroshima city
Hiroshima-6: Aku ward, Aki district, Higashi ward in Hiroshima city
Hiroshima-7: Naka ward, Nishi ward in Hiroshima city
Hiroshima-8: the rest of Asaminami ward, part of Saeki ward, in Hiroshima city
Hiroshima-9: Hatsukaichi city, Otake city, part of Saeki ward in Hiroshima city

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Ehime-1: Shikokuchūō city, Niihama city, Saijo city
Ehime-2: Imabari city, parts of Matsuyama
Ehime-3: part of Matsuyama city
Ehime-4: the rest of Ehime prefecture

Kochi-1: Kochi city, Nankoku city
Kochi-2: the rest of Kochi prefecture

Yamaguchi-1: Shimonoseki city
Yamaguchi-2: Sanyo-Onoda city, Mine city, Ube city, Nagato city
Yamaguchi-3: Hagi city, Abu town, Yamaguchi city, a third of Hofu city
Yamaguchi-4: two-thirds of Hofu city, Shūnan city, Kudamatsu city
Yamaguchi-5: the rest of Yamaguchi prefecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Fukuoka-1: Kokuraminami ward, Moji ward in Kitakyushu city
Fukuoka-2: Kokurakita ward, Tobata ward, Yahatahigashi ward in Kitakyushu city
Fukuoka-3: Yahata Nishi ward, Yakamatsu ward in Kitakyushu city
Fukuoka-4: Miyako district, Yukuhashi city, Chikujō district, Buzen city, Tagawa district, Tagawa city
Fukuoka-5: Nakama city, Nogata city, Kurate district, Miyawaka city, Onga district, Munakata city
Fukuoka-6: Fukutsu city, Koga city, Kasuya district
Fukuoka-7: Itoshima city, Nishi ward in Fukuoka city
Fukuoka-8: Sawara ward, Jonan ward in Fukuoka city
Fukuoka-9: Higashi ward in Fukuoka city
Fukuoka-10: Chuo ward, part of Hakata ward in Fukuoka city
Fukuoka-11: Minami ward, part of Hakata ward in Fukuoka city
Fukuoka-12: Nakagawa town, Kasuga city, Onojo city, Dazaifu city
Fukuoka-13: Chikushino city, Ogori city, Tachiarai town, Chikuzen city, IIzuka city, Keisen town
Fukuoka-14: Kama city, Asakura city, Asakura city, Toho village, Ukiha city, Yame city, Yame town 260k
Fukuoka-15: Kurume city
Fukuoka-16: Yanagawa city, Okawa city, Chikugo city, Oki town, Miyama city, Omuta city

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Saga-1: Tosu city, Miyaki district, Yoshinogari town, Zanzaki city, 30% of Saga city
Saga-2: the rest of Saga city, Ogi city, Kishima district, Kashima city, Tara town
Saga-3: the rest of Saga prefecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Nagasaki-1: Minamishimabara city, Shimabara city, Unzen city, Isahaya city, Omura city
Nagasaki-2: the southern part of Nagasaki
Nagasaki-3: the northern part of Nagasaki, Nishisonogi district, Saikai, Tsushima city, Shin-Kamigotō town, Goto city, Ojika town, Hirado city
Nagasaki-4: the rest of Nagasaki prefecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Oita-1: the western 60% of Oita city
Oita-2: the eastern 40% of Oita city, Usuki city, Tsukumi city, the coastal areas in Saiku city
Oita-3: Nakatsu city, Usa city, Bungotakada city, Kunisaki city, Kitsuki city, Himeshima village, Hiji town, part of Beppu city
Oita-4: the rest of Oita prefecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Miyazaki-1: Nichinan city, Kushima city, Miyakonojō city, Mimata town
Miyazaki-2: southern Miyazaki
Miyazaki-3: the rest of Miyazaki city, Higashimorokata district, Kobayashi city, Ebino city, Kobayashi city
Miyazaki-4: the rest of Miyazaki preferecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Kumamoto-1: Amakusa district, Amakusa city, Kami-Amakusa city, Uto city, Uki city, half of Minami ward in Kumamoto city
Kumamoto-2: Nishi ward, half of Minami ward, Kita ward, all of Chuo ward north of the Shirakawa river in Kumamoto city
Kumamoto-3: Chuo ward south of the Shirakawa river, Higashi ward in Kumamoto city
Kumamoto-4: Tamana city, Tamana district, Arao city, Yamaga city, Kikuchi city, a third of Koshi city
Kumamoto-5: the rest of Koshi city, Aso city, Aso district, Kamimashiki district, Misato town
Kumamoto-6: the rest of Kumamoto district

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Kagoshima-1: Oshima and Kumage subprefectures, Kimotsuki district, Kanoya city, Taramizu city
Kagoshima-2: Shibushi city, Soo city, Kirishima city, Yusui town, Satsuma town, Isa city, Izumi city, Izumi district, Akune city
Kagoshima-3: Satsumasendai city, Ichikikushikino city, Hioki city, Minamisatsuma city, Makurazaki city, Minamikyūshū city, Ibusuki city
Kagoshima-4: Aira city, northern Kagoshima city
Kagoshima-5: southern Kagoshima city

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Okinawa-1: most of Naha
Okinawa-2: far southern Naha, Tomigusuku city, Itoman city, Yaese town, Nanjo city, Haebaru town
Okinawa-3: Yonabaru town, Nishihara town, Urasoe city, Ginowan city, Nakagusuku village
Okinawa-4: Okinawa city, Kitanakagusuku village, Chatan town, most of Uruma city
Okinawa-5: the rest of Okinawa prefecture

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

[Vega]

Aren't most of the seats held under FPTP now? Outside of the block of proportionals?

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Aren't most of the seats held under FPTP now? Outside of the block of proportionals?

currently it's all FPTP or PR block. This map I have here wouldn't change that but it would increase the overall seat count, to heavily reduce malapportionment.

[Lachi]

I've been running the numbers on the new PR blocks. Isshin is benefiting quite a bit from the increased seat counts.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I've been running the numbers on the new PR blocks. Isshin is benefiting quite a bit from the increased seat counts.

Who would win the new FPTP seats?

[Lachi]

I've been running the numbers on the new PR blocks. Isshin is benefiting quite a bit from the increased seat counts.

Who would win the new FPTP seats?

No clue, LDP would probably still hold a massive majority of them, but I think CDP and Kibo would have done better.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I've been running the numbers on the new PR blocks. Isshin is benefiting quite a bit from the increased seat counts.

Who would win the new FPTP seats?

No clue, LDP would probably still hold a massive majority of them, but I think CDP and Kibo would have done better.

How much of an urban-rural divide exists in Japan?

[Lachi]

I've been running the numbers on the new PR blocks. Isshin is benefiting quite a bit from the increased seat counts.

Who would win the new FPTP seats?

No clue, LDP would probably still hold a massive majority of them, but I think CDP and Kibo would have done better.

How much of an urban-rural divide exists in Japan?

Not much really, the majority of both rural and urban areas are pretty damn good for the LDP, the only areas that normally break that rule normally are the urban areas of Aichi, and most of Okinawa.

However, during things like 2009, that whole thing can reverse.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

I've been running the numbers on the new PR blocks. Isshin is benefiting quite a bit from the increased seat counts.

Who would win the new FPTP seats?

No clue, LDP would probably still hold a massive majority of them, but I think CDP and Kibo would have done better.

How much of an urban-rural divide exists in Japan?

Not much really, the majority of both rural and urban areas are pretty damn good for the LDP, the only areas that normally break that rule normally are the urban areas of Aichi, and most of Okinawa.

However, during things like 2009, that whole thing can reverse.

Judging from 2009, it also appears like the farther north you go the more DPJ-friendly the rural areas get (culminating in Hokkaido, where the LDP was almost completely wiped out).

[Tintrlvr]

I've been running the numbers on the new PR blocks. Isshin is benefiting quite a bit from the increased seat counts.

Who would win the new FPTP seats?

No clue, LDP would probably still hold a massive majority of them, but I think CDP and Kibo would have done better.

How much of an urban-rural divide exists in Japan?

Not much really, the majority of both rural and urban areas are pretty damn good for the LDP, the only areas that normally break that rule normally are the urban areas of Aichi, and most of Okinawa.

However, during things like 2009, that whole thing can reverse.

Judging from 2009, it also appears like the farther north you go the more DPJ-friendly the rural areas get (culminating in Hokkaido, where the LDP was almost completely wiped out).

The north and Hokkaido were definitely a DPJ hotspot pre-2009. I don't think that has carried forward into the post-2012 world, though.

Kyoto is also known as a hotspot for the opposition.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

my guess as to who wins the single-member districts.

289 LDP
35 Kibo
30 CDP
26 Ind
10 Komeito
4 Ishin
1 Social Democrat

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Lok, what do you think the PR block seats would end up like?

[Lachi]

This is what I currently have