MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
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  MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24
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Author Topic: MT- UM/Big Sky Poll: Tester +24  (Read 4793 times)
Strong Candidate
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« on: October 08, 2018, 06:50:12 PM »

Jon Tester (D)- 56
Matt Rosendale (R)-32

http://www.umt.edu/bigskypoll/Methodology/UMBigSkyPoll-FinalFullResults2018.pdf
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ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2018, 06:50:50 PM »

Junk!
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windjammer
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2018, 06:51:32 PM »

LMAO What the hell is that
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Xing
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2018, 06:51:55 PM »

LOL! Junk, no way is Tester below 60% even in Garfield county.
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Strong Candidate
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2018, 06:51:59 PM »


Yeah, obviously Tester will get at least 70 percent of the vote, but we shouldn't ignore bad data points.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2018, 06:52:04 PM »

LOL, MT Treasurer is gonna love this "poll."

I guess they only polled Missoula?
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Wisconsin SC Race 2019
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2018, 06:53:06 PM »

Even the AARP polls are better than this nonsense.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2018, 06:53:23 PM »

Obvious junk.


Tester is leading by much more than that. Apparently they only polled Garfield/Pertroleum Republicans. Sad!
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2018, 06:54:20 PM »

This poll took more than half a month to do and they conducted it almost 1.5-2 months ago.

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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2018, 06:55:50 PM »

This also has Kathleen Williams beating Greg Gianforte 51-38 in the U.S. House race.
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Skye
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2018, 07:16:51 PM »

Is this a poll of Missoula county?

Anyway, this is definitely an outlier.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2018, 07:21:45 PM »

Haha what the??!!
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Yellowhammer
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2018, 07:24:09 PM »

Probably the most unrealistic “poll” of this entire election cycle. Seeing Scott/Hawley/Braun/Heller up 20 would be more believable.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2018, 07:26:55 PM »

Tester's mega coattails might carry Paulette Jordan over the finish line tbh
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Senator Incitatus
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« Reply #14 on: October 08, 2018, 07:30:26 PM »

If this poll were accurate MT would be lean D in 2020.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #15 on: October 08, 2018, 07:33:22 PM »

Why tho
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #16 on: October 08, 2018, 07:34:00 PM »
« Edited: October 08, 2018, 07:38:23 PM by MT Treasurer »

Probably the most unrealistic “poll” of this entire election cycle. Seeing Scott/Hawley/Braun/Heller up 20 would be more believable.

I dunno man, we all know how absurdly elastic and Democratic MT is down ballot. Even if Heitkamp gets Blanched, Republicans would probably lose by more than 24% here, tbh
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« Reply #17 on: October 08, 2018, 07:35:27 PM »

LOL!!!
This is even less believeable than the "Newsom +4" poll!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #18 on: October 08, 2018, 07:36:25 PM »

Congrats Tester
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Roblox
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« Reply #19 on: October 08, 2018, 07:42:24 PM »

They mad a big error here-they forgot to ad a 0 to Tester's number. You see, it's actually 560%.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #20 on: October 08, 2018, 08:08:15 PM »

ayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy lmao
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #21 on: October 08, 2018, 08:20:44 PM »

Gotta love those older, wealthier, College Educated Montana voters which appear to be collectively disproportionately represented in this poll....

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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
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« Reply #22 on: October 08, 2018, 08:23:18 PM »

NUT
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« Reply #23 on: October 08, 2018, 09:53:22 PM »

Big Sky is Big High on this poll
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #24 on: October 08, 2018, 10:51:12 PM »


Big question is really the influence of "Mendo Meds" on either or the pollsters or those responding to the poll within the Great Blue Sky State....

Maybe it is a bit of both.... numbers seem a bit "off" compared to anything else we have seen from Montana.

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