NV-SEN(NBC/Marist): Heller+2

[TarHeelDem]

Junk poll of the year? Definitely close, at least.

[ON Progressive]

Junk poll of the year? Definitely close, at least.

That Tester +24 poll is junk poll of the year and absolutely nothing will top it.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

I'm obviously not thrilled that this thing is even close and I think a better candidate would have solved this issue, hopefully we still eek this out like I suspect.

[Badger]

Junk poll of the year? Definitely close, at least.

That Tester +24 poll is junk poll of the year and absolutely nothing will top it.

[ElectionsGuy]

I would definitely still expect Rosen to pull it out considering those undecideds will break D at the end and given the history of Nevada polling.

[Senator Incitatus]

Junk poll of the year? Definitely close, at least.

That Tester +24 poll is junk poll of the year and absolutely nothing will top it.

If we're going by ultimate difference from result, the Newsom +4 poll might be worse.

[Arkansas Yankee]

Every poll with a GOP lean is wrong in this environment.  All of the Democrats will be re-elected and the GOP will lose Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Texas, and Mississippi.  It is in the stars.

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Every poll with a GOP lean is wrong in this environment.  All of the Democrats will be re-elected and the GOP will lose Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Texas, and Mississippi.  It is in the stars.

Stop

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Every poll with a GOP lean is wrong in this environment.  All of the Democrats will be re-elected and the GOP will lose Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Texas, and Mississippi.  It is in the stars.

Stop

This race is a statistical tie

[Co-Chair Bagel23]

Every poll with a GOP lean is wrong in this environment.  All of the Democrats will be re-elected and the GOP will lose Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Texas, and Mississippi.  It is in the stars.

Stop

This race is a statistical tie

I meant his prediction overall

[Bismarck]

These threads are becoming so predictable.

[History505]

Atlas reaction is so funny.

[AtorBoltox]

Likely D

You also said MD Gov was likely D

Maybe I did ages ago, I honestly do t remember. My latest prediction was that it was a toss up

[IceSpear]

Junk poll of the year? Definitely close, at least.

That Tester +24 poll is junk poll of the year and absolutely nothing will top it.

If we're going by ultimate difference from result, the Newsom +4 poll might be worse.

Actually, this one is definitely the worst:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=303053.0

[MillennialModerate]

Who is the one who called me a joke for saying this race is Lean R?

[ON Progressive]

Who is the one who called me a joke for saying this race is Lean R?

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=301205.msg6407307#msg6407307

[TheRocketRaccoon]

Who is the one who called me a joke for saying this race is Lean R?

You're still a joke dw

[MT Treasurer]

Junk poll of the year? Definitely close, at least.

That Tester +24 poll is junk poll of the year and absolutely nothing will top it.

If we're going by ultimate difference from result, the Newsom +4 poll might be worse.

Unless you think Tester will win by more than 5, I’m pretty sure the MT poll will be less accurate.

Anyway, this is a bit hard to believe (so is Laxalt +1), but if that Upshot/Siena poll also shows Heller "ahead", I’ll probably move it from Likely D to Lean D.

[Progressive Pessimist]

Every poll with a GOP lean is wrong in this environment.  All of the Democrats will be re-elected and the GOP will lose Arizona, Nevada, Tennessee, Texas, and Mississippi.  It is in the stars.

I wish.

[Lachi]

Who was the one who added this to the database? Can we please keep the titles to the normal format, none of the trolling is needed thx.

[IceSpear]

Who was the one who added this to the database? Can we please keep the titles to the normal format, none of the trolling is needed thx.

It was me. And there is no "normal format", so I assume you're referring to the <candidate> + <number> format that I use of my own accord 99.9% of the time.

[MT Treasurer]

Heller +2
Evers +10

Makes sense, Marist.

[IceSpear]

Heller +2
Evers +10

Makes sense, Marist.

Why am I not surprised that the only state they give rosy numbers for the Republicans is Nevada? lol

[2016]

Heller beat popular Rep. Shelley Berkley in 2012 despite Obama carrying the State. Unlike Joe Heck Heller knows how to do well in a tough Environment.

[Brittain33]

Heller beat popular Rep. Shelley Berkley in 2012 despite Obama carrying the State. Unlike Joe Heck Heller knows how to do well in a tough Environment.

Berkeley was a rep., but she wasn’t popular.