WI-Marquette: Walker +1

[Gass3268]

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/1050074375737757696

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/1050074761504743424


Baldwin's massive lead in the Senate race gives me confidence that Evers will pull out a narrow win here. Gonna be close!

[Gass3268]

Why the heck would they sample 4 percent more Republicans? Ugh, now we have to hear Hofoid's mouth until Election Day. My state can't possibly be this stupid in this current political climate! I hope Walker's attack ads really aren't working and this is just an outlier.

Also, WI isn't really known for ticketsplitting..........why is Baldwin still leading Vukmir by a landslide?

Marquette does zero weighting for partisanship. Lets' the voters tell them what party they support.

[Gass3268]

Democrats are still more enthused to vote:

https://twitter.com/MULawPoll/status/1050086123526074370

[Gass3268]

Last poll will come out on 10/31 in 3 weeks (6 days before the election).

[Gass3268]

Would Anderson really get 5% of the vote?  I doubt it.

He received 3% in the 2016 Senate race, and Gary Johnson received 4% in Wisconsin for president, so it's not like 5% would be a huge outlier (interestingly, Wisconsin was also home of a rare serious Libertarian effort in 2002 to win the governor's race; their candidate won a full 11% and carried 2 counties). 5% seems kind of high for a race between what are basically Generic Wisconsin R and Generic Wisconsin D in 2018, though; I'd imagine most everyone in the state knows which of those they prefer and the race is basically a turnout game.

The Libertarian in 2002 was Tommy Thompson's brother.