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  MI-Mitchell Research: Stabenow +9
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Author Topic: MI-Mitchell Research: Stabenow +9  (Read 1160 times)
Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« on: October 10, 2018, 02:46:08 pm »
« edited: October 10, 2018, 02:53:05 pm by PittsburghSteel »

James trails Stabenow 42-51%

But a very misleading tweet about it thatís gaining traction:



The last Mitchell poll was D+13, not +18.

This pollsterís numbers are definitely more R-friendly than the other Michigan pollsters.

Still Safe D, no matter how much the Republicans want to believe their cool black guy can win.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2018, 02:51:21 pm »

LMAO.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2018, 02:52:10 pm »

#StabenowUnder52
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Ebsy
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2018, 02:53:36 pm »

If the tweet was misleading, why did you post it?
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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #4 on: October 10, 2018, 02:55:43 pm »

If the tweet was misleading, why did you post it?

Because it was the only source available at the time.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #5 on: October 10, 2018, 02:59:23 pm »

Likely D race is likely D.
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #6 on: October 10, 2018, 03:00:17 pm »


FTFY
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Bagel23
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« Reply #7 on: October 10, 2018, 03:01:15 pm »


No
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Bagel23
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« Reply #8 on: October 10, 2018, 03:04:51 pm »

My friend who has family from Botson and who convinced me to put Warren at likely D had this race at lean D.
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MT #Populist
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« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2018, 03:07:59 pm »

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Pittsburgh For Kamala
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« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2018, 03:09:26 pm »


You guys seriously believe thereís a ratís ass chance someone as popular in their state as Stabenow loses in this climate?
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bilaps
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« Reply #11 on: October 10, 2018, 03:10:00 pm »

Well, with WI poll showing D+10, this is not looking totaly out of sphere of possibility
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bilaps
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« Reply #12 on: October 10, 2018, 03:14:33 pm »


You guys seriously believe thereís a ratís ass chance someone as popular in their state as Stabenow loses in this climate?

Who said that? Whom are you fighting with?
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Xing
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« Reply #13 on: October 10, 2018, 04:00:31 pm »

#JamesSurging
#2016Redux
#DemsInDisarray
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Galaxie
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« Reply #14 on: October 10, 2018, 06:29:53 pm »

My friend who has family from Botson and who convinced me to put Warren at likely D had this race at lean D.

What kind of argument could have convinced you to put Warren at likely D?
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yeah_93
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« Reply #15 on: October 10, 2018, 07:48:43 pm »

I can believe James ends up at 42%.
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Bagel23
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« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2018, 07:52:08 pm »

My friend who has family from Botson and who convinced me to put Warren at likely D had this race at lean D.

What kind of argument could have convinced you to put Warren at likely D?

Heís a smart dude and he told me to trust him so I did.
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Xing
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« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2018, 08:17:42 pm »

My friend who has family from Botson and who convinced me to put Warren at likely D had this race at lean D.

What kind of argument could have convinced you to put Warren at likely D?

Heís a smart dude and he told me to trust him so I did.

Well, one of my friends with a big brain, very big brain, told me that there's no way Cantwell can win again. Should I trust him and put WA-SEN at Safe R?
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Bagel23
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« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2018, 08:19:19 pm »

My friend who has family from Botson and who convinced me to put Warren at likely D had this race at lean D.

What kind of argument could have convinced you to put Warren at likely D?

Heís a smart dude and he told me to trust him so I did.

Well, one of my friends with a big brain, very big brain, told me that there's no way Cantwell can win again. Should I trust him and put WA-SEN at Safe R?

No, because that's just too far beyond the pale, unless he has like good evidence that she is a Moorean disciple.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #19 on: October 11, 2018, 01:24:57 am »

Kid Rock would've made this a toss up imo tbh tbh imho. #CandidateQualityMatters
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Lean Branson
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« Reply #20 on: October 11, 2018, 01:33:29 am »

Kid Rock would've made this a toss up imo tbh tbh imho. #CandidateQualityMatters

I had forgotten about Kid Rock, lol. #Just2017AtlasThings
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IceSpear
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« Reply #21 on: October 11, 2018, 01:44:50 am »

Kid Rock would've made this a toss up imo tbh tbh imho. #CandidateQualityMatters

I had forgotten about Kid Rock, lol. #Just2017AtlasThings

#never4getsenrock
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politicallefty
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« Reply #22 on: October 11, 2018, 01:56:52 am »

Michigan polling can be really bad sometimes, as we're all aware. I doubt Stabenow fails to break 60%. She's noncontroversial, very likeable, and fits the state very well.
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jimmie
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« Reply #23 on: October 11, 2018, 02:10:34 am »


Candidate quality is a factor. Less so than in the past but still a factor. Not sure why everyone on this site thinks it makes NO difference whatsoever.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #24 on: October 11, 2018, 02:39:22 am »


Candidate quality is a factor. Less so than in the past but still a factor. Not sure why everyone on this site thinks it makes NO difference whatsoever.

Well, for one thing, that post was a joke. Tongue

I don't believe anyone ever claimed it makes no difference whatsoever, particularly in extreme cases like Roy Moore. Just that fundamentals, partisanship, political environment, etc. are the main drivers of the vast majority of election outcomes, especially in the present day. Even in one of the most extreme examples, 91% of Republicans still voted for a literal pedophile (see sig.)
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