The “Who is running in 2020?” tea leaves thread, Part 3

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Buttigieg says he'll decide by Thanksgiving and announce his decision publicly shortly thereafter, presumably before Christmas.

I would definitely support him and maybe even donate, but he stands no chance.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Another instance of Jeff Flake calling for someone to run against Trump, despite voting for Kavanaugh and doing nothing to really oppose Trump.

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/flake-calls-trump-supporters-lock-her-up-chants-disturbing-and-fears-for-future-of-republican-party

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Turning Point USA leader Candace Owens may primary Trump...? Or run for some down-ballot NY state position?

https://twitter.com/RealCandaceO/status/1055221112316051456

[NYSforKennedy2024]

A friend who owns bernie2020.org has been threatened with a lawsuit if he does not turn that domain over.

Big if true.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Michael Avenatti has released his first ever campaign ad, aimed toward the midterms next week.

https://www.politico.com/video/2018/11/01/michael-avenattis-first-2020-ad-067458

[NYSforKennedy2024]

https://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/9tm9oo/i_am_senator_bernie_sanders_ask_me_anything/

Bernard has a Reddit AMA.

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He's running.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Michael Avenatti has released another new political ad -

https://instagram.com/p/BpxmkLoADLO/

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Kasich attacks both parties, admits he would be destroyed in a primary against Trump, and considers a third party run in 2020: https://www.foxnews.com/politics/john-kasich-hints-at-challenging-trump-as-third-party-candidate-in-2020-during-the-view-appearance

I'm willing to bet that he runs with Hickenlooper on the Serve America Movement line.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Potential Democratic candidate Sherrod Brown already projected to win re-election less than an hour after polls close.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Bloomberg made a press release about the midterms this morning - "We can do better in America today, and we must start now".

Chalk it up as Delaney, Castro, Warren, Harris, and now Bloomberg-  at least.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Maybe I'm just following this too closely now and not seeing it, or maybe it's still too early, but I'm wondering... where are all the nobodies? Give or take a Deval Patrick, most potential candidates in this thread are currently holding office (or have done so until very recently). Look at previous primaries, there's always nobodies at the bottom of the heap. People who've been out of office for a while, with very little name recognition. They don't do well. They'll withdraw before votes are cast, or after receiving a dozen votes. Mike Gravel, Lincoln Chafee, George Pataki, Jim Gilmore... and so on. Who's going to fill that spot in 2020? You'd think maybe we'd have more people like that seizing their chance and going for it. Again - maybe I'm following it too closely and just not recognizing it. But I'm not seeing it. Where are the 0.1%ers?

John Delaney.

Andrew Yang, if you count his brief experience with the Obama admin. as experience.

Who knows, maybe Lincoln Chafee.

Martin O'Malley.

I'm thinking a random Southern State DINO from the House may run too.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

THE FIGHT PAC LIVES ON

SHE WILL NOT DIVIDE US

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Can someone explain to me why Deval Patrick and the Castro Brothers are getting so much support?  They seem super generic and uninspiring, even compared to governors like Bullock or Inslee.

Their campaigns will be funded by the Obamas and the DNC establishment, so a lot of support will be purchased for them.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Politico with a big hype article on Beto 2020 -

https://www.politico.com/story/2018/11/19/beto-orourke-2020-democratic-primary-995353?fbclid=IwAR29G5pNlET1VPqwA_iD_7sHhmUE-FwD_6NGicP6JYisRZLQMTeFgrv6rOw

Jim Carrey seems to have an early endorsement of both Kamala Harris and Beto -

https://deadline.com/2018/11/jim-carrey-would-love-to-see-kamala-harris-beto-orourke-win-the-presidential-race-1202504496/?fbclid=IwAR3YyI_Sr3v49haTNBDh7patA0VIyX6FL9v07XzN2Fcm5dG7kkgYSq4M4sA

[NYSforKennedy2024]

I'm becoming increasingly convinced that Marianne Williamson is going to be 2020's Carly Fiorina. A successful businesswoman and compelling speaker who will surge after a few good debate performances and then plummet back down due to a small, under-funded campaign that can't withstand the debate bump.

Williamson is a lot less rich than Fiorina...but there's a chance this could be true.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

If it shows how unpopular she is, Gillibrand was on the Daily Show with Trevor Noah, and nobody posted about it, lol.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tuOQ_8D928Q

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Michael Avenatti will not be charged with a felony in his domestic abuse case.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2018/11/21/michael-avenatti-wont-charged-felony-domestic-abuse-case/2082328002/

THE FIGHT PAC LIVES ON!

BASTA!

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Sherrod has put a 2020 thoughts site up on his landing page:
https://www.sherrodbrown.com/landing/w181121/

If anybody needed anymore confirmation that Sherrod Brown really is a straight forward and honest guy, here ya go.

In the end I figure he won't go for it, but he's not gonna play the stereotypical politician and deny he's thinking about it.

The Haley Barbour of 2020.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

The Hill - Bernie Sanders: "I will probably run in 2020 if I'm the best candidate to beat Trump"

AKA - he's in.

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/418224-bernie-sanders-i-will-run-in-2020-if-it-turns-out-im-the-best-candidate-to?fbclid=IwAR19uLvEhrgkObprZ3fQhOJ9MNI7wtzgVA-ac8phP30rwaaz7I4w8T_I8kA

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Ironic that Kamala Harris went with the all-white outfit (Similar to Hillary Clinton at the 2016 DNC) on the cover of her book coming out in January.

In case if you had any doubt she's running.

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Steyer needs to say away. Same with Avenatti (think that's done now, thank god) and Bernie.

Avenatti was acquitted of any felony charges, and the Stormy allegations are completely baseless...

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Rhode Island Governor Gina Raimondo picks to lead the Democratic Governors Association over a 2020 campaign. She's out.

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/419265-raimondo-to-lead-dem-governors-wont-run-for-president

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Obama and Clinton administration aides are throwing Beto O'Rourke into the mix.

I'm willing to bet that Deval Patrick and Eric Holder have taken quite a hit on the Obamaworld list.

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/elections/obama-aides-say-beto-o-rourke-reminds-them-ex-president-n942576

[NYSforKennedy2024]

Gabbard was  in New Hampshire today, and was asked about 2020.  She said that she’s “seriously considering” a presidential run, but has no specific decision timeline in mind right now:

https://www.civilbeat.org/2018/12/tulsi-gabbard-for-president-i-am-seriously-considering-it/

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Gabbard would legit be the worst Dem nominee in years. She's horrific.

You think a President Gabbard would be worse than a President Webb?

[NYSforKennedy2024]

What appeal does Deval Patrick have?  Does he have any distinguishing features that I just don't know of?

He has great optics/character. A decent mix of progressive/establishment beliefs. One of the few African American governors in U.S. history.

Suffers from a lack of national popularity and a lot of ties to the Democratic establishment.

In a competitive primary, I can see his campaign going identically to that of Scott Walker's in 2016. Popular governor to the politicos, wins a poll or two, does good for a month or so and his campaign proceeds to nosedive completely.