Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
November 22, 2019, 12:16:53 pm
News: 2020 Presidential Predictions (Primary) are now active.

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  AZ: Other Source: Ducey +17
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: AZ: Other Source: Ducey +17  (Read 739 times)
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 11, 2018, 03:14:49 am »

New Poll: Arizona Governor by Other Source on 2018-10-02

Summary: D: 37%, R: 54%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
isoscelessquare
Rookie
*
Posts: 25
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.65, S: -1.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2018, 09:15:11 am »

I'd have to imagine that if ducey really wins by this much it's only going to help McSally.
Logged
libertpaulian
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,210
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2018, 09:19:40 am »

I'd have to imagine that if ducey really wins by this much it's only going to help McSally.
Ehh.  Napolitano and Kyl simultaneously won their elections.
Logged
Senator ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 5,263
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -8.70

P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2018, 09:20:47 am »

I'd have to imagine that if ducey really wins by this much it's only going to help McSally.

Gubernatorial coattails donít exist. If they did, Elizabeth Warren and Ben Cardin would be in danger, but they obviously are not.
Logged
Landslide Andy
IceSpear
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 31,731
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2018, 09:21:00 am »

I'd have to imagine that if ducey really wins by this much it's only going to help McSally.

The weird thing is that this poll has Ducey +17 and McSally +6, whereas others have Ducey +16-18 and Sinema +2-3.
Logged
Young Conservative
youngconservative
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,641
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2018, 09:55:51 am »

Gubernatorial coattails definitely DO exist.
Logged
History505
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,649
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2018, 10:00:42 am »

I'd have to imagine that if ducey really wins by this much it's only going to help McSally.

Gubernatorial coattails donít exist. If they did, Elizabeth Warren and Ben Cardin would be in danger, but they obviously are not.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2018, 10:49:13 am »

LOL there are no gubernatorial coattails. If anything they go from Senate to Governor. Garcia in this case is not helped by Sinema b/c she's not leading by that much. I still think she's going to win though, but she would be ahead by more if she was running as an actual democrat and not a neoliberal shill.
Logged
Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,741
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 11, 2018, 10:51:26 am »

Gubernatorial coattails definitely DO exist.
Senators Dick Mountjoy, Alan Schlesinger, Cynthia Thielen, Jean Hay Bright, Mark Kennedy, Pete Ricketts, Lincoln Chafee, Harold Ford Jr, Rich Tarrant, and Dale Groutage say hi.
Logged
RussFeingoldWasRobbed
Progress96
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -6.26

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 11, 2018, 10:57:54 am »

Gubernatorial coattails definitely DO exist.
Senators Dick Mountjoy, Alan Schlesinger, Cynthia Thielen, Jean Hay Bright, Mark Kennedy, Pete Ricketts, Lincoln Chafee, Harold Ford Jr, Rich Tarrant, and Dale Groutage say hi.
Logged
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 21,053
United States


Political Matrix
E: 3.94, S: 1.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 11, 2018, 11:06:17 am »

Friendly reminder that Pat Roberts struggled to win reelection in a favorable GOP year (2014) primarily because there was an extremely unpopular governor on the ballot. It is a case-by-case basis on whether the governor's race affects other races.
Logged
Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,741
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 11, 2018, 11:11:14 am »

Friendly reminder that Pat Roberts struggled to win reelection in a favorable GOP year (2014) primarily because there was an extremely unpopular governor on the ballot. It is a case-by-case basis on whether the governor's race affects other races.
He also ran a terrible campaign and barely won the primary over a Tea Party candidate. Orman was also an independent, which helped his credentials with moderate Republicans.
Logged
Skye
yeah_93
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,390
Venezuela


Political Matrix
E: 3.29, S: -1.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 11, 2018, 12:29:00 pm »

Friendly reminder that Pat Roberts struggled to win reelection in a favorable GOP year (2014) primarily because there was an extremely unpopular governor on the ballot. It is a case-by-case basis on whether the governor's race affects other races.
He also ran a terrible campaign and barely won the primary over a Tea Party candidate. Orman was also an independent, which helped his credentials with moderate Republicans.

Brownback's unpopularity didn't help, but Roberts certainly was in trouble because of himself.
Logged
Dr. RI
realisticidealist
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 12,664
Vatican City State


Political Matrix
E: -0.39, S: 4.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 11, 2018, 08:27:18 pm »

Did all the snowbirds move back south and start answering polls in the last couple weeks or something?
Logged
RoboWop
AMB1996
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 2,910
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.06, S: 5.74

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 11, 2018, 09:11:15 pm »

Gubernatorial coattails definitely DO exist.

They do, but they apply much more strongly to state legislatures than Congress. See NJ 2013 (where Republicans won the popular vote for State Senate) versus 2017.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC