Updated predictions- How many House seats do you think Dems will pick up?

[BudgieForce]

I think Democrats will win some house seats, but not all of them.

[NewYorkExpress]

50

Though, the chance they don't pick up the House either gets higher every day.

Judging by how many house seats are tossups or that Democrats are leading in, 50 is my best guess. However, it's becoming somewhat plausible that Democrats don't pick up the House (however still very unlikely).

[here2view]

30 give or take 5.

[Strudelcutie4427]

15-20

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

25

[Mr.Phips]

33.

[Virginiá]

D+30 - 40

I think Democrats will win some house seats, but not all of them.

tough but fair

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

18-33 depending on the wave and -3 to +3 Senate seats😁

[Progressive Pessimist]

For whatever reason, 38 is what sounds right to me.

[TarHeelDem]

I think Democrats will win some house seats, but not all of them.

Big if true.

[GeorgiaModerate]

I think Democrats will win some house seats, but not all of them.

Big if true.

Certainly a bold prediction.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

A great night is winning House and Govs and tie the Senate so that there is a power sharing agreement with judges

[SnowLabrador]

Probably about 15.

[Gone to Carolina]

40.

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

40-50

[Torie]

As the polls roll in on a seat by seat basis, and the "experts" chime in, my off the wall prediction of two weeks ago is beginning to look pretty good for the moment. If one splits the toss ups between the parties, the Dems end up with 224 seats, for a net gain of 29. That is my prediction for the moment: 29 seats.

The Dems are picking off the wounded from the herd, and the open seats in otherwise competitive districts, plus a couple of others, but competent incumbents not in the Pub death zone of northern higher SES white districts packed with never Trumpers, are largely holding on, even if in some cases by drastically reduced margins. Heck even the not competent Pub incumbent in CA-48 in the Pub death zone (from Russia with love Dana R) is in the tossup zone for the moment. Maybe it is because he is a stoner in a place that loves recreational drugs, I don't know. The highly competent Pub Roskam in IL-06 is also a tossup in the Pub death zone.

[Wisconsin+17]

Might as well be the contrarian. -4.

[Devout Centrist]

52

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

51

[The Mikado]

Might as well be the contrarian. -4.

It's pretty much impossible for the GOP to gain seats given how little offense they're playing. At the moment, the list of districts they're even notionally targeting is pretty much MN-01, MN-08, NH-01 (at least on paper), and NV-03, NV-04 (at least on paper). I'll even be charitable and spot you AZ-01. That's six districts they're even attempting to pick up, and pretty much every one on this list except the two in Minnesota just aren't happening, but even if they picked up MN-01, MN-08, and NV-03, they'd easily be overwhelmed by Democratic pickups in Pennsylvania alone, which are pretty much baked in.

At this point, a terrible Dem night/great night for the GOP is Dem gains in the upper single digits.

EDIT: (And I should be clear that if the end result is something like 203 Dems, 232 GOP, which is pretty much on the low end of a believable result, that I'd be pretty disappointed with it and recognize that as an absolutely catastrophic showing for the Dems).

[TML]

55

[TarHeelDem]

Honestly the notion that Dems will only get single-digit gains at this point is pretty ridiculous.

I'll say 45-50 seats.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

30

[tallguy23]

36

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

32