The Election to Save America

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

All things considered, Democrats had a pretty good night. They flipped 60 house seats and only lost two of their own, PA-14 and a fluke in Nevada because of a late breaking scandal. That scandal didn’t prevent Rosen from narrowly winning a plurality, luckily. Krysten Sinema romped to a 7 point win, McCaskill, Donnelly, Manchin, and Nelson all held on, and Heitkampf only lost 52.1-47.9. Phil Bredesen and Beto O’Rourke didn’t win, sure, but they posted the best performances for a Democratic senate candidate in their states in decades. Meanwhile, Democrats took back 15 Governor’s mansions and only lost one of their own, all while winning hundreds of state legislative seats. Sure, it wasn’t 1894, but it was definitely a wave election.

Nonetheless, there was plenty of initial disappointment. Hyperbolic predictions had been made of Democrats winning a veto-proof majority in the House, picking up Oklahoma or South Carolina in Gubernatorial elections, or winning back the Senate. When the party inevitably fell short, it was spun as a victory for Republicans, that they could manage to win some elections in deep red seats and that despite the anger about the Kavanaugh confirmation, Republicans would keep a narrow 50-50 majority until at least 2020.

Then, people remembered that the Mississippi Special Election wasn’t quite done yet. The first round had happened on election night, but no candidate has passed 50%, and it was heading to a runoff, three weeks later, on the 27th. Democrat Mike Espy and Incumbent Republican Senator had advanced, and a quiet race quickly became nationalized. The two candidates had raised 4 million between them until November 6th. On November 7th alone, Mike Espy received 7 million in donations. Nearly every national figure descended on the state. President Trump held 8 rallies. A third of Mississippi voters were called for a poll. By the time election day rolled around, it had become the single most expensive senate race in American history, beating out the 2018 Texas race. It seemed like it was hanging on the edge of a knife, the single election that would determine the fate of America.

2018 Mississippi Senate Special Election, Round 1

Former Representative Mike Espy: 375,641, 46.20%
Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith: 338,247, 41.60%
State Senator Chris McDaniel: 92,238, 11.34%
Other: 7,011, 0.86%

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Note: Credit to Cruz Will Win for the ten minute voting updates.

2018 Mississippi Senate Special Election CNN Election Night Coverage
WOLF BLITZER: Hello and welcome back. The time is 7:58 P.M, and we’ve returned from a break. The polls in Mississippi will be closing in two minutes, and we’ll be releasing our exit poll. Currently, available polling is indicating that this will be a very close race. The last four polls have had Democrat Mike Espy down 1, up 2, down 2, and down 2. However, the Espy campaign has said that they are confident that Trump’s controversial statements and “Mike Espy’s record of success” will propel them to victory. The Hyde-Smith campaign is also expressing confidence.  Any comments, John King?

JOHN KING: To add on, Espy managed to narrowly win the vote in the first round, 46-42, but there was another Republican in the race, Chris McDaniel, who won 11% of the vote and is not running in the runoff. However, McDaniel did refuse to endorse Cindy Hyde-Smith, and many of his voters may stay home tonight.

WOLF BLITZER: And with that comment, the clock has struck 8:00 PM Eastern Time, and polls are now closed. That means that our exit poll will now be released, and look at these numbers.

OVERALL
CINDY HYDE-SMITH: 52%
MIKE ESPY: 48%

VOTE BY AGE
18-29 (22%): 64D-41R
30-44 (30%): 48D-52R
45-64 (36%): 46D-54R
65+ (12%): 25D-75R

VOTE BY RACE
BLACK (38%): 97D-3R
WHITE (58%): 14D-86R
OTHER (4%): N/A

VOTE BY INCOME
LESS THAN 50K (46%): 58D-42R
50K-100K (31%): 41D-59R
100K+ (23%): 38D-62R

JOHN KING: The topline looks pretty good for Senator Hyde-Smith, but she’s still leading within the margin of error. Also, we’ve been getting reports of record breaking turnout in the black belt, and it’s possible that the electorate looks more favorable for Democrats than usual, which these polls aren’t accounting for. Still, I’d rather be in Hyde-Smith’s shoes right now.   

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Interesting. I am glad you are able to make use of the 10 minute elections thing!

Is your plan for this just to do the special election, or anything else following it?

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

2018 Mississippi Senate Special Election CNN Election Night Coverage
WOLF BLITZER: OK, we're starting to get initial returns from most counties, and we'll show a map of the votes in a second. Senator Hyde-Smith is currently leading 55-45, but most Democratic counties seem to be slower to report right now, so that lead may come down over the night.

MISSISSIPPI SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION RESULTS
CINDY HYDE-SMITH: 23,399, 55.16%
MIKE ESPY: 19,018, 44.84%



JOHN KING: A number of counties also have very odd numbers right now, as very few votes have been reported. Espy is leading in a number of counties that he couldn't win three weeks and behind in heavily Democratic parts of the black belt. I don't expect that to continue.

WOLF BLITZER: Nonetheless, these returns and the exit poll are promising for Senator Hyde-Smith. Perhaps the Trump comments did not actually help the Espy campaign?

JOHN KING: There's an argument that it nationalized the race, but it was already plenty nationalized. In our exit poll, 74% of voters said that they were voting mainly to determine control of the Senate, not for either individual candidate.  

County   Mike Espy Votes   Cindy Hyde-Smith Votes   Espy %   Hyde-Smith %
Adams County, Mississippi   626   56   91.79%   8.21%
Alcorn County, Mississippi   120   219   35.40%   64.60%
Amite County, Mississippi   48   55   46.60%   53.40%
Attala County, Mississippi   65   24   73.03%   26.97%
Benton County, Mississippi   45   76   37.19%   62.81%
Bolivar County, Mississippi   543   166   76.59%   23.41%
Calhoun County, Mississippi   98   105   48.28%   51.72%
Carroll County, Mississippi   6   13   31.58%   68.42%
Chickasaw County, Mississippi   118   43   73.29%   26.71%
Choctaw County, Mississippi   35   100   25.93%   74.07%
Claiborne County, Mississippi   273   5   98.20%   1.80%
Clarke County, Mississippi   115   5   95.83%   4.17%
Clay County, Mississippi   182   95   65.70%   34.30%
Coahoma County, Mississippi   422   26   94.20%   5.80%
Copiah County, Mississippi   43   268   13.83%   86.17%
Covington County, Mississippi   46   228   16.79%   83.21%
DeSoto County, Mississippi   502   1839   21.44%   78.56%
Forrest County, Mississippi   475   1152   29.19%   70.81%
Franklin County, Mississippi   36   75   32.43%   67.57%
George County, Mississippi   92   346   21.00%   79.00%
Greene County, Mississippi   75   80   48.39%   51.61%
Grenada County, Mississippi   215   52   80.52%   19.48%
Hancock County, Mississippi   68   589   10.35%   89.65%
Harrison County, Mississippi   1429   854   62.59%   37.41%
Hinds County, Mississippi   2124   1268   62.62%   37.38%
Holmes County, Mississippi   30   27   52.63%   47.37%
Humphreys County, Mississippi   142   18   88.75%   11.25%
Issaquena County, Mississippi   10   0   100.00%   0.00%
Itawamba County, Mississippi   45   68   39.82%   60.18%
Jackson County, Mississippi   1125   1504   42.79%   57.21%
Jasper County, Mississippi   53   7   88.33%   11.67%
Jefferson County, Mississippi   13   7   65.00%   35.00%
Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi   87   25   77.68%   22.32%
Jones County, Mississippi   186   826   18.38%   81.62%
Kemper County, Mississippi   121   47   72.02%   27.98%
Lafayette County, Mississippi   759   200   79.14%   20.86%
Lamar County, Mississippi   10   549   1.79%   98.21%
Lauderdale County, Mississippi   301   496   37.77%   62.23%
Lawrence County, Mississippi   122   4   96.83%   3.17%
Leake County, Mississippi   142   175   44.79%   55.21%
Lee County, Mississippi   485   1192   28.92%   71.08%
Leflore County, Mississippi   67   87   43.51%   56.49%
Lincoln County, Mississippi   308   512   37.56%   62.44%
Lowndes County, Mississippi   149   49   75.25%   24.75%
Madison County, Mississippi   1623   797   67.07%   32.93%
Marion County, Mississippi   74   176   29.60%   70.40%
Marshall County, Mississippi   378   159   70.39%   29.61%
Monroe County, Mississippi   227   425   34.82%   65.18%
Montgomery County, Mississippi   0   12   0.00%   100.00%
Neshoba County, Mississippi   155   217   41.67%   58.33%
Newton County, Mississippi   80   207   27.87%   72.13%
Noxubee County, Mississippi   39   44   46.99%   53.01%
Oktibbeha County, Mississippi   451   87   83.83%   16.17%
Panola County, Mississippi   32   155   17.11%   82.89%
Pearl River County, Mississippi   163   815   16.67%   83.33%
Perry County, Mississippi   49   0   100.00%   0.00%
Pike County, Mississippi   416   42   90.83%   9.17%
Pontotoc County, Mississippi   130   437   22.93%   77.07%
Prentiss County, Mississippi   15   410   3.53%   96.47%
Quitman County, Mississippi   5   10   33.33%   66.67%
Rankin County, Mississippi   565   3090   15.46%   84.54%
Scott County, Mississippi   30   227   11.67%   88.33%
Sharkey County, Mississippi   19   1   95.00%   5.00%
Simpson County, Mississippi   170   183   48.16%   51.84%
Smith County, Mississippi   128   278   31.53%   68.47%
Stone County, Mississippi   28   17   62.22%   37.78%
Sunflower County, Mississippi   128   14   90.14%   9.86%
Tallahatchie County, Mississippi   8   18   30.77%   69.23%
Tate County, Mississippi   42   322   11.54%   88.46%
Tippah County, Mississippi   26   204   11.30%   88.70%
Tishomingo County, Mississippi   15   181   7.65%   92.35%
Tunica County, Mississippi   105   26   80.15%   19.85%
Union County, Mississippi   22   343   6.03%   93.97%
Walthall County, Mississippi   16   116   12.12%   87.88%
Warren County, Mississippi   742   56   92.98%   7.02%
Washington County, Mississippi   651   237   73.31%   26.69%
Wayne County, Mississippi   76   135   36.02%   63.98%
Webster County, Mississippi   19   48   28.36%   71.64%
Wilkinson County, Mississippi   85   6   93.41%   6.59%
Winston County, Mississippi   86   143   37.55%   62.45%
Yalobusha County, Mississippi   112   46   70.89%   29.11%
Yazoo County, Mississippi   152   183   45.37%   54.63%
Mississippi Overall   19,018   23,399   44.84%   55.16%

[Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️]

Oh, cool, so you are making the results separately for every county and then adding up the numbers to get the statewide total? Good idea for how to do this. That probably makes the variance on the statewide a bit low, though (although I probably had it too high for individual races/counties in this case). You should be much less likely to get any really large swings in the statewide result as they report in over time, unless you changed the formulas.

[Grassroots]

Someone please tell me HOW do you make those maps?

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

Someone please tell me HOW do you make those maps?

I make these through GIMP.

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

2018 Mississippi Senate Special Election CNN Election Night Coverage
WOLF BLITZER: It's now 8:20 PM, and we're now up to about 9% of the vote in. Senator Hyde-Smith still leads by about 10, although Mike Espy has gained slightly in the past few minutes.

 MISSISSIPPI SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION RESULTS
CINDY HYDE-SMITH: 42,621, 55.04%
MIKE ESPY: 34,814, 44.96%



JOHN KING: The results seem to be staying fairly constant right now, and a number of counties are posting more normal results. This seems like good news for the Hyde-Smith campaign, and so Republicans.

WOLF BLITZER: I can't disagree there. They definitely seem to be in the stronger position right now, but we are not yet ready to call this race.


County   Mike Espy Votes   Cindy Hyde-Smith Votes   Espy %   Hyde-Smith %
Adams County, Mississippi   1130   155   87.94%   12.06%
Alcorn County, Mississippi   181   371   32.79%   67.21%
Amite County, Mississippi   88   179   32.96%   67.04%
Attala County, Mississippi   248   190   56.62%   43.38%
Benton County, Mississippi   99   99   50.00%   50.00%
Bolivar County, Mississippi   604   290   67.56%   32.44%
Calhoun County, Mississippi   126   237   34.71%   65.29%
Carroll County, Mississippi   45   147   23.44%   76.56%
Chickasaw County, Mississippi   172   118   59.31%   40.69%
Choctaw County, Mississippi   70   182   27.78%   72.22%
Claiborne County, Mississippi   504   17   96.74%   3.26%
Clarke County, Mississippi   117   106   52.47%   47.53%
Clay County, Mississippi   310   144   68.28%   31.72%
Coahoma County, Mississippi   637   84   88.35%   11.65%
Copiah County, Mississippi   125   494   20.19%   79.81%
Covington County, Mississippi   204   259   44.06%   55.94%
DeSoto County, Mississippi   1393   4358   24.22%   75.78%
Forrest County, Mississippi   1578   1435   52.37%   47.63%
Franklin County, Mississippi   73   160   31.33%   68.67%
George County, Mississippi   135   543   19.91%   80.09%
Greene County, Mississippi   108   202   34.84%   65.16%
Grenada County, Mississippi   430   128   77.06%   22.94%
Hancock County, Mississippi   312   1205   20.57%   79.43%
Harrison County, Mississippi   1913   2254   45.91%   54.09%
Hinds County, Mississippi   2247   1566   58.93%   41.07%
Holmes County, Mississippi   240   46   83.92%   16.08%
Humphreys County, Mississippi   201   47   81.05%   18.95%
Issaquena County, Mississippi   11   2   84.62%   15.38%
Itawamba County, Mississippi   106   376   21.99%   78.01%
Jackson County, Mississippi   2214   2953   42.85%   57.15%
Jasper County, Mississippi   183   95   65.83%   34.17%
Jefferson County, Mississippi   127   13   90.71%   9.29%
Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi   212   46   82.17%   17.83%
Jones County, Mississippi   359   1424   20.13%   79.87%
Kemper County, Mississippi   231   109   67.94%   32.06%
Lafayette County, Mississippi   1188   395   75.05%   24.95%
Lamar County, Mississippi   161   1589   9.20%   90.80%
Lauderdale County, Mississippi   1046   1073   49.36%   50.64%
Lawrence County, Mississippi   156   146   51.66%   48.34%
Leake County, Mississippi   223   245   47.65%   52.35%
Lee County, Mississippi   520   1395   27.15%   72.85%
Leflore County, Mississippi   453   149   75.25%   24.75%
Lincoln County, Mississippi   489   1087   31.03%   68.97%
Lowndes County, Mississippi   870   93   90.34%   9.66%
Madison County, Mississippi   1632   2122   43.47%   56.53%
Marion County, Mississippi   264   552   32.35%   67.65%
Marshall County, Mississippi   607   190   76.16%   23.84%
Monroe County, Mississippi   532   651   44.97%   55.03%
Montgomery County, Mississippi   105   64   62.13%   37.87%
Neshoba County, Mississippi   270   297   47.62%   52.38%
Newton County, Mississippi   93   472   16.46%   83.54%
Noxubee County, Mississippi   65   54   54.62%   45.38%
Oktibbeha County, Mississippi   945   194   82.97%   17.03%
Panola County, Mississippi   208   290   41.77%   58.23%
Pearl River County, Mississippi   454   1235   26.88%   73.12%
Perry County, Mississippi   81   130   38.39%   61.61%
Pike County, Mississippi   443   222   66.62%   33.38%
Pontotoc County, Mississippi   182   485   27.29%   72.71%
Prentiss County, Mississippi   145   538   21.23%   78.77%
Quitman County, Mississippi   62   32   65.96%   34.04%
Rankin County, Mississippi   934   3401   21.55%   78.45%
Scott County, Mississippi   108   286   27.41%   72.59%
Sharkey County, Mississippi   43   24   64.18%   35.82%
Simpson County, Mississippi   293   246   54.36%   45.64%
Smith County, Mississippi   237   368   39.17%   60.83%
Stone County, Mississippi   116   261   30.77%   69.23%
Sunflower County, Mississippi   449   69   86.68%   13.32%
Tallahatchie County, Mississippi   54   19   73.97%   26.03%
Tate County, Mississippi   91   639   12.47%   87.53%
Tippah County, Mississippi   134   461   22.52%   77.48%
Tishomingo County, Mississippi   43   512   7.75%   92.25%
Tunica County, Mississippi   157   61   72.02%   27.98%
Union County, Mississippi   118   586   16.76%   83.24%
Walthall County, Mississippi   129   203   38.86%   61.14%
Warren County, Mississippi   1640   305   84.32%   15.68%
Washington County, Mississippi   1443   265   84.48%   15.52%
Wayne County, Mississippi   102   231   30.63%   69.37%
Webster County, Mississippi   78   73   51.66%   48.34%
Wilkinson County, Mississippi   203   26   88.65%   11.35%
Winston County, Mississippi   88   351   20.05%   79.95%
Yalobusha County, Mississippi   200   156   56.18%   43.82%
Yazoo County, Mississippi   227   344   39.75%   60.25%
Mississippi Overall   34,814   42,621   44.96%   55.04%

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

2018 Mississippi Senate Special Election CNN Election Night Coverage
WOLF BLITZER: The time is 8:30, and roughly an 1/8 of the votes are in. Mike Espy has risen in his percentage of the vote narrowly, but Senator Hyde-Smith is increasing her vote lead. This race seems very likely to stay Republican.

 MISSISSIPPI SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION RESULTS
CINDY HYDE-SMITH: 61,280, 53.76%
MIKE ESPY: 52,698, 46.24%



JOHN KING: Although you can see that turnout in some Democratic counties, especially Hinds County, is still very low. It's possible that more votes there help Mike Espy make up this gap. Not very likely, however.

County   Mike Espy Votes   Cindy Hyde-Smith Votes   Espy %   Hyde-Smith %
Adams County, Mississippi   1301   165   88.74%   11.26%
Alcorn County, Mississippi   293   1031   22.13%   77.87%
Amite County, Mississippi   191   244   43.91%   56.09%
Attala County, Mississippi   298   270   52.46%   47.54%
Benton County, Mississippi   102   169   37.64%   62.36%
Bolivar County, Mississippi   1083   456   70.37%   29.63%
Calhoun County, Mississippi   157   343   31.40%   68.60%
Carroll County, Mississippi   114   249   31.40%   68.60%
Chickasaw County, Mississippi   173   147   54.06%   45.94%
Choctaw County, Mississippi   86   251   25.52%   74.48%
Claiborne County, Mississippi   558   20   96.54%   3.46%
Clarke County, Mississippi   222   266   45.49%   54.51%
Clay County, Mississippi   587   240   70.98%   29.02%
Coahoma County, Mississippi   916   146   86.25%   13.75%
Copiah County, Mississippi   196   755   20.61%   79.39%
Covington County, Mississippi   245   299   45.04%   54.96%
DeSoto County, Mississippi   2672   5762   31.68%   68.32%
Forrest County, Mississippi   1961   1763   52.66%   47.34%
Franklin County, Mississippi   87   176   33.08%   66.92%
George County, Mississippi   155   700   18.13%   81.87%
Greene County, Mississippi   189   303   38.41%   61.59%
Grenada County, Mississippi   530   138   79.34%   20.66%
Hancock County, Mississippi   327   2114   13.40%   86.60%
Harrison County, Mississippi   2056   3603   36.33%   63.67%
Hinds County, Mississippi   3745   2606   58.97%   41.03%
Holmes County, Mississippi   480   89   84.36%   15.64%
Humphreys County, Mississippi   293   67   81.39%   18.61%
Issaquena County, Mississippi   22   6   78.57%   21.43%
Itawamba County, Mississippi   158   541   22.60%   77.40%
Jackson County, Mississippi   2463   3951   38.40%   61.60%
Jasper County, Mississippi   377   196   65.79%   34.21%
Jefferson County, Mississippi   297   22   93.10%   6.90%
Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi   348   123   73.89%   26.11%
Jones County, Mississippi   492   2383   17.11%   82.89%
Kemper County, Mississippi   303   123   71.13%   28.87%
Lafayette County, Mississippi   1402   907   60.72%   39.28%
Lamar County, Mississippi   731   2357   23.67%   76.33%
Lauderdale County, Mississippi   1191   1201   49.79%   50.21%
Lawrence County, Mississippi   215   297   41.99%   58.01%
Leake County, Mississippi   288   343   45.64%   54.36%
Lee County, Mississippi   830   2351   26.09%   73.91%
Leflore County, Mississippi   532   198   72.88%   27.12%
Lincoln County, Mississippi   716   1390   34.00%   66.00%
Lowndes County, Mississippi   1202   530   69.40%   30.60%
Madison County, Mississippi   3147   2619   54.58%   45.42%
Marion County, Mississippi   360   596   37.66%   62.34%
Marshall County, Mississippi   878   318   73.41%   26.59%
Monroe County, Mississippi   798   959   45.42%   54.58%
Montgomery County, Mississippi   114   81   58.46%   41.54%
Neshoba County, Mississippi   489   420   53.80%   46.20%
Newton County, Mississippi   288   481   37.45%   62.55%
Noxubee County, Mississippi   110   69   61.45%   38.55%
Oktibbeha County, Mississippi   1879   403   82.34%   17.66%
Panola County, Mississippi   424   410   50.84%   49.16%
Pearl River County, Mississippi   550   1564   26.02%   73.98%
Perry County, Mississippi   133   230   36.64%   63.36%
Pike County, Mississippi   1054   388   73.09%   26.91%
Pontotoc County, Mississippi   207   845   19.68%   80.32%
Prentiss County, Mississippi   248   552   31.00%   69.00%
Quitman County, Mississippi   161   36   81.73%   18.27%
Rankin County, Mississippi   2075   3912   34.66%   65.34%
Scott County, Mississippi   359   379   48.64%   51.36%
Sharkey County, Mississippi   99   46   68.28%   31.72%
Simpson County, Mississippi   366   571   39.06%   60.94%
Smith County, Mississippi   304   519   36.94%   63.06%
Stone County, Mississippi   165   440   27.27%   72.73%
Sunflower County, Mississippi   708   90   88.72%   11.28%
Tallahatchie County, Mississippi   208   69   75.09%   24.91%
Tate County, Mississippi   291   710   29.07%   70.93%
Tippah County, Mississippi   204   727   21.91%   78.09%
Tishomingo County, Mississippi   92   531   14.77%   85.23%
Tunica County, Mississippi   250   93   72.89%   27.11%
Union County, Mississippi   190   944   16.75%   83.25%
Walthall County, Mississippi   150   361   29.35%   70.65%
Warren County, Mississippi   1742   506   77.49%   22.51%
Washington County, Mississippi   2229   381   85.40%   14.60%
Wayne County, Mississippi   241   414   36.79%   63.21%
Webster County, Mississippi   102   77   56.98%   43.02%
Wilkinson County, Mississippi   332   54   86.01%   13.99%
Winston County, Mississippi   349   500   41.11%   58.89%
Yalobusha County, Mississippi   324   191   62.91%   37.09%
Yazoo County, Mississippi   494   503   49.55%   50.45%
Mississippi Overall   52,698   61,280   46.24%   53.76%

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

2018 Mississippi Senate Special Election CNN Election Night Coverage
WOLF BLITZER: It is now 8:40, and Mike Espy is surging in the vote count. In the past 20 minutes, he's risen 3 percent in the vote, and Senator Hyde-Smith now has a 4 point lead, the smallest of the night.

 MISSISSIPPI SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION RESULTS
CINDY HYDE-SMITH: 83,230, 51.94%
MIKE ESPY: 77,018, 48.06%



WOLF BLITZER: John, can you explain to our viewers where this sudden surge is coming from?

JOHN KING: Well, both candidates have made gains in different places in the past few minutes, but the shift in Hinds County is outweighing everywhere else. Ten minutes ago, Mike Espy was up 3,745 to 2,606. In the past 10 minutes, he's gained nearly 2500 votes, and Cindy Hyde-Smith has gained all of 16 votes. The precincts that are reporting seem to be overwhelmingly black. If we took Hinds County, Hyde-Smith would actually be gaining in her vote lead.

WOLF BLITZER: So this is actually good news for the GOP?

JOHN KING: No. We're estimating that 19% of the state is reporting, and only 11% of Hinds County is reporting so far. If Mike Espy can keep his current percentage there, he has a very real path to victory.

County   Mike Espy Votes   Cindy Hyde-Smith Votes   Espy %   Hyde-Smith %
Adams County, Mississippi   1705   300   85.04%   14.96%
Alcorn County, Mississippi   297   1133   20.77%   79.23%
Amite County, Mississippi   245   348   41.32%   58.68%
Attala County, Mississippi   428   308   58.15%   41.85%
Benton County, Mississippi   165   173   48.82%   51.18%
Bolivar County, Mississippi   1463   496   74.68%   25.32%
Calhoun County, Mississippi   175   374   31.88%   68.12%
Carroll County, Mississippi   172   267   39.18%   60.82%
Chickasaw County, Mississippi   308   291   51.42%   48.58%
Choctaw County, Mississippi   96   296   24.49%   75.51%
Claiborne County, Mississippi   836   25   97.10%   2.90%
Clarke County, Mississippi   294   331   47.04%   52.96%
Clay County, Mississippi   790   406   66.05%   33.95%
Coahoma County, Mississippi   1304   189   87.34%   12.66%
Copiah County, Mississippi   377   926   28.93%   71.07%
Covington County, Mississippi   367   506   42.04%   57.96%
DeSoto County, Mississippi   3093   7783   28.44%   71.56%
Forrest County, Mississippi   3158   2134   59.67%   40.33%
Franklin County, Mississippi   144   196   42.35%   57.65%
George County, Mississippi   209   1087   16.13%   83.87%
Greene County, Mississippi   280   320   46.67%   53.33%
Grenada County, Mississippi   553   344   61.65%   38.35%
Hancock County, Mississippi   469   2662   14.98%   85.02%
Harrison County, Mississippi   4301   4458   49.10%   50.90%
Hinds County, Mississippi   6208   2632   70.23%   29.77%
Holmes County, Mississippi   756   121   86.20%   13.80%
Humphreys County, Mississippi   420   79   84.17%   15.83%
Issaquena County, Mississippi   25   11   69.44%   30.56%
Itawamba County, Mississippi   205   855   19.34%   80.66%
Jackson County, Mississippi   3587   6447   35.75%   64.25%
Jasper County, Mississippi   453   278   61.97%   38.03%
Jefferson County, Mississippi   348   32   91.58%   8.42%
Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi   469   190   71.17%   28.83%
Jones County, Mississippi   757   2878   20.83%   79.17%
Kemper County, Mississippi   353   176   66.73%   33.27%
Lafayette County, Mississippi   2232   1857   54.59%   45.41%
Lamar County, Mississippi   1160   2730   29.82%   70.18%
Lauderdale County, Mississippi   2361   1344   63.72%   36.28%
Lawrence County, Mississippi   249   298   45.52%   54.48%
Leake County, Mississippi   481   386   55.48%   44.52%
Lee County, Mississippi   1526   2507   37.84%   62.16%
Leflore County, Mississippi   591   260   69.45%   30.55%
Lincoln County, Mississippi   777   1710   31.24%   68.76%
Lowndes County, Mississippi   1753   677   72.14%   27.86%
Madison County, Mississippi   5136   3748   57.81%   42.19%
Marion County, Mississippi   415   968   30.01%   69.99%
Marshall County, Mississippi   1207   567   68.04%   31.96%
Monroe County, Mississippi   811   1496   35.15%   64.85%
Montgomery County, Mississippi   198   118   62.66%   37.34%
Neshoba County, Mississippi   744   523   58.72%   41.28%
Newton County, Mississippi   496   775   39.02%   60.98%
Noxubee County, Mississippi   231   111   67.54%   32.46%
Oktibbeha County, Mississippi   2721   987   73.38%   26.62%
Panola County, Mississippi   471   545   46.36%   53.64%
Pearl River County, Mississippi   578   1776   24.55%   75.45%
Perry County, Mississippi   154   272   36.15%   63.85%
Pike County, Mississippi   1332   527   71.65%   28.35%
Pontotoc County, Mississippi   276   1269   17.86%   82.14%
Prentiss County, Mississippi   265   795   25.00%   75.00%
Quitman County, Mississippi   190   72   72.52%   27.48%
Rankin County, Mississippi   3240   6345   33.80%   66.20%
Scott County, Mississippi   499   404   55.26%   44.74%
Sharkey County, Mississippi   140   67   67.63%   32.37%
Simpson County, Mississippi   462   673   40.70%   59.30%
Smith County, Mississippi   367   689   34.75%   65.25%
Stone County, Mississippi   234   710   24.79%   75.21%
Sunflower County, Mississippi   1092   205   84.19%   15.81%
Tallahatchie County, Mississippi   352   125   73.79%   26.21%
Tate County, Mississippi   304   1097   21.70%   78.30%
Tippah County, Mississippi   222   829   21.12%   78.88%
Tishomingo County, Mississippi   134   785   14.58%   85.42%
Tunica County, Mississippi   361   94   79.34%   20.66%
Union County, Mississippi   331   1401   19.11%   80.89%
Walthall County, Mississippi   315   440   41.72%   58.28%
Warren County, Mississippi   2351   975   70.69%   29.31%
Washington County, Mississippi   3005   621   82.87%   17.13%
Wayne County, Mississippi   358   578   38.25%   61.75%
Webster County, Mississippi   155   241   39.14%   60.86%
Wilkinson County, Mississippi   374   68   84.62%   15.38%
Winston County, Mississippi   513   591   46.47%   53.53%
Yalobusha County, Mississippi   385   325   54.23%   45.77%
Yazoo County, Mississippi   659   597   52.47%   47.53%
Mississippi Overall   77,018   83,230   48.06%   51.94%

[libertpaulian]

KEEP GOING!!!!!!

[Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner]

2018 Mississippi Senate Special Election CNN Election Night Coverage
WOLF BLITZER: The time is 8:50 PM, and Senator Hyde-Smith lead is fading by the minute. She is now up by only .7%, and there is now a very real chance that Mike Espy wins this election, and so Democrats win the Senate.

JOHN KING: This sudden shift is being almost entirely driven by Hinds County, where the capital of Mississippi is located. Mike Espy dominated it back on the 6th, and as it has started to report en masse tonight he is surging into a very competitive position.

 MISSISSIPPI SENATE SPECIAL ELECTION RESULTS
CINDY HYDE-SMITH: 98,536, 50.35%
MIKE ESPY: 97,178, 49.65%



WOLF BLITZER: We have Senator Chuck Schumer with us tonight. If Mike Espy wins, he will become Senate Majority Leader. Senator Schumer, your thoughts on these results?

CHUCK SCHUMER: Well, Wolf, you can see from the results tonight that the sky-high enthusiasm that we had on the 6th is still around. Democrats are ready to vote, and when Senator Mike Espy is elected, a Democratic Congress will work on ensuring equitable access to healthcare and clean government for all Americans.

WOLF BLITZER: When? Senator Hyde-Smith is still leading.

CHUCK SCHUMER: Wolf, after what President Trump said last week about Mike Espy, I'm 100% confident that the people of the state of Mississippi will see fit to reject her from political office.

County   Mike Espy Votes     Cindy Hyde-Smith Votes   Espy %   Hyde-Smith %
Adams County, Mississippi   1719   476   78.31%   21.69%
Alcorn County, Mississippi   441   1401   23.94%   76.06%
Amite County, Mississippi   346   361   48.94%   51.06%
Attala County, Mississippi   483   410   54.09%   45.91%
Benton County, Mississippi   204   222   47.89%   52.11%
Bolivar County, Mississippi   1670   513   76.50%   23.50%
Calhoun County, Mississippi   197   414   32.24%   67.76%
Carroll County, Mississippi   225   358   38.59%   61.41%
Chickasaw County, Mississippi   427   312   57.78%   42.22%
Choctaw County, Mississippi   127   375   25.30%   74.70%
Claiborne County, Mississippi   1080   32   97.12%   2.88%
Clarke County, Mississippi   358   471   43.18%   56.82%
Clay County, Mississippi   830   502   62.31%   37.69%
Coahoma County, Mississippi   1488   261   85.08%   14.92%
Copiah County, Mississippi   536   959   35.85%   64.15%
Covington County, Mississippi   464   541   46.17%   53.83%
DeSoto County, Mississippi   3290   7952   29.27%   70.73%
Forrest County, Mississippi   3316   2529   56.73%   43.27%
Franklin County, Mississippi   195   279   41.14%   58.86%
George County, Mississippi   237   1122   17.44%   82.56%
Greene County, Mississippi   325   385   45.77%   54.23%
Grenada County, Mississippi   579   359   61.73%   38.27%
Hancock County, Mississippi   699   3479   16.73%   83.27%
Harrison County, Mississippi   5780   6029   48.95%   51.05%
Hinds County, Mississippi   11185   3304   77.20%   22.80%
Holmes County, Mississippi   856   135   86.38%   13.62%
Humphreys County, Mississippi   539   111   82.92%   17.08%
Issaquena County, Mississippi   27   12   69.23%   30.77%
Itawamba County, Mississippi   297   1267   18.99%   81.01%
Jackson County, Mississippi   4933   6714   42.35%   57.65%
Jasper County, Mississippi   523   334   61.03%   38.97%
Jefferson County, Mississippi   414   42   90.79%   9.21%
Jefferson Davis County, Mississippi   586   207   73.90%   26.10%
Jones County, Mississippi   968   3839   20.14%   79.86%
Kemper County, Mississippi   404   197   67.22%   32.78%
Lafayette County, Mississippi   2644   2606   50.36%   49.64%
Lamar County, Mississippi   1261   3318   27.54%   72.46%
Lauderdale County, Mississippi   2368   1951   54.83%   45.17%
Lawrence County, Mississippi   346   362   48.87%   51.13%
Leake County, Mississippi   708   543   56.59%   43.41%
Lee County, Mississippi   1737   2507   40.93%   59.07%
Leflore County, Mississippi   1081   330   76.61%   23.39%
Lincoln County, Mississippi   985   2258   30.37%   69.63%
Lowndes County, Mississippi   2433   738   76.73%   23.27%
Madison County, Mississippi   6862   3783   64.46%   35.54%
Marion County, Mississippi   565   1227   31.53%   68.47%
Marshall County, Mississippi   1207   692   63.56%   36.44%
Monroe County, Mississippi   926   1753   34.57%   65.43%
Montgomery County, Mississippi   202   223   47.53%   52.47%
Neshoba County, Mississippi   1016   537   65.42%   34.58%
Newton County, Mississippi   551   840   39.61%   60.39%
Noxubee County, Mississippi   331   143   69.83%   30.17%
Oktibbeha County, Mississippi   2955   1207   71.00%   29.00%
Panola County, Mississippi   747   639   53.90%   46.10%
Pearl River County, Mississippi   907   2013   31.06%   68.94%
Perry County, Mississippi   201   409   32.95%   67.05%
Pike County, Mississippi   1415   542   72.30%   27.70%
Pontotoc County, Mississippi   311   1486   17.31%   82.69%
Prentiss County, Mississippi   311   916   25.35%   74.65%
Quitman County, Mississippi   216   104   67.50%   32.50%
Rankin County, Mississippi   3806   7115   34.85%   65.15%
Scott County, Mississippi   523   455   53.48%   46.52%
Sharkey County, Mississippi   182   78   70.00%   30.00%
Simpson County, Mississippi   491   679   41.97%   58.03%
Smith County, Mississippi   451   939   32.45%   67.55%
Stone County, Mississippi   254   837   23.28%   76.72%
Sunflower County, Mississippi   1200   230   83.92%   16.08%
Tallahatchie County, Mississippi   378   170   68.98%   31.02%
Tate County, Mississippi   535   1124   32.25%   67.75%
Tippah County, Mississippi   332   1184   21.90%   78.10%
Tishomingo County, Mississippi   178   1089   14.05%   85.95%
Tunica County, Mississippi   469   105   81.71%   18.29%
Union County, Mississippi   463   1815   20.32%   79.68%
Walthall County, Mississippi   384   440   46.60%   53.40%
Warren County, Mississippi   2613   1433   64.58%   35.42%
Washington County, Mississippi   3678   808   81.99%   18.01%
Wayne County, Mississippi   492   738   40.00%   60.00%
Webster County, Mississippi   195   416   31.91%   68.09%
Wilkinson County, Mississippi   511   69   88.10%   11.90%
Winston County, Mississippi   663   732   47.53%   52.47%
Yalobusha County, Mississippi   432   383   53.01%   46.99%
Yazoo County, Mississippi   914   666   57.85%   42.15%
Mississippi Overall   97,178   98,536   49.65%   50.35%
      

[Del Tachi]

Interesting idea, and I like the detailed results.

However, looking at your exit poll, there's no way that only 12% of the electorate in a special runoff election will be older than 65, or that 23% of votes will come from households making >100k.

[libertpaulian]

Interesting idea, and I like the detailed results.

However, looking at your exit poll, there's no way that only 12% of the electorate in a special runoff election will be older than 65, or that 23% of votes will come from households making >100k.

lol, thanks for bumping this and getting my hopes up that this TL was updated.