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Question: Who do you think will win the 1980 Election
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« Reply #100 on: December 11, 2018, 02:57:10 AM »

Economic Report: US Economy has been in a recession since December



Brinkley: A Recent US Economic Report which was released earlier today confirmed what we had suspected , that the US has in a recession and has been since December. One of the causes for the recession is increasing inflation and while this recession is classified as minor , it still will make life worse for many Americans till this recession ends.

Huntley: Yup, this recession could cause troubles at least in the short run. The coming year will also be a test on the Goldwater Economic Agenda so far, and we will see whether his policies have worked or not.


Goldwater's Approval Drops after latest Economic Report:


Goldwater's Approval:

Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 46%

House Generic Ballot:

Democrats: 51%
Republicans: 45%

Conservative Coalition in House Kills Stimulus Bill After Goldwater threatens to veto Bill:

Brinkley: In response to the economic news that came out last week, House Democrats introduced a stimulus package and it seemed like they were going to have the voted to pass it as it seemed like they were able to get the votes of some Conservative Democrats, Liberal Republicans and even some Moderate Republican. Once it narrowly passed the house it seemed almost certain to pass the Senate as well, but President Goldwater angrily in a statement yesterday threatened to veto the bill and when the vote was taken in the House today the bill failed to pass as the Conservative Coalition was able to muster the voters to stop it from passing. The statement the President issued was this:

Goldwater: In a time of higher inflation it is very irresponsible for Congress to pass another spending bill, especially when our recession is caused by increasing inflation. All more spending would increase inflation even more and if that bill comes to my desk it will be vetoed.

President Goldwater signs bill which will end the Draft by 1973:




Huntley: The Draft will end by 1973 as President Goldwater signed a bill today that would do just that. Over the next 3 years the use of the draft will be phased out before it officially will stop being used in 1973.
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« Reply #101 on: December 12, 2018, 04:17:02 AM »
« Edited: March 14, 2019, 12:23:58 AM by Old School Republican »

1970 Midterm Preview:




Battleground Senate Races:

Chancellor: With less than 2 months to go before the midterm elections, the battle for the Senate has heated up considerably. David what are the seats that are up for play this year

David Brinkley: Well there are the Senate Races we consider vulnerable to flip:

California: Senator George Murphy(R) vs  Congressman Jerome Waldie(D) - Tossup

Chancellor: Democrats are probably kicking themselves for not having Mr.Unruh run for this seat instead of the Gubernatorial Seat, as this seat would have been theirs if that was the case

Connecticut : Professor Joesph Duffey(D) vs Congressman Lowell Weicker(R) vs Senator Thomas Dodd(I)- Lean Republican Gain

Florida: State Senator Lawton Chiles(D) vs Congressman William Cramer(R)- Lean Democratic Hold

Hawaii: Senator Hiram Frog(R) vs Businessman Cecil Heftel(D) - Tossup

Indiana: Senator Vance Hartke(D) vs Indiana Speaker of the House Otis Bowen(R)- Tossup

Illionis: Senator Ralph Smith(R) vs Illionis State Treasurer Adlai Stevenson III(D)- Lean Democratic Gain

Maryland: Senator Joseph Trading(D) vs Congressman John Beall Jr(R) - Tossup

Missouri: Senator Stuart Symington(D) vs Missouri Attorney General John Danforth(R)- Tossup

Ohio: Former State Senator Howard Metzenbaum(D) vs Congressman Robert Taft Jr(R) - Tossup

Tennessee: Senator Al Gore(D) vs Congressman Bill Brock(R)- Lean Republican Gain

Texas: Congressman Lloyd Bentsen(D) vs Congressman George HW Bush(R) - Tossup

Virginia: Member of Virginia House of Delegates George Rawling(D) vs Mr. Ray Garland(R) vs Senator Harry Byrd(I)- Safe Independent Gain


Chancellor: What about New York

Brinkley: We consider that Likely Republican due to the split in the Liberal Vote .

Chancellor: With all these tossups the balance of the senate is totally up in the air

Brinkley: Yes it is


Gubernatorial Seats with Chance of flipping:

Alaska: Governor Keith Miller(R) vs Former Governor William Egan(D)- Tossup

Arkansas: Governor Winthrop Rockefeller(R) vs Mr.Dale Bumpers(D)- Likely Democratic Gain

Connecticut: Congressman Emilio Daddario(D) vs Congressman Thomas Meskill(R) - Tossup

Florida: Governor Claude Kirk(R) vs Florida State Senator Reubin Askew- Lean Democratic Gain

Idaho: Governor Don Samuelson(R) vs State Senator Cecil Adrus(D) - Tossup

Iowa: Governor Robert Ray(R) vs Former Governor Robert Fulton(D)- Lean Republican Hold

Maine: Governor Kenneth Curtis(D) vs State Attorney General James Ervin(R) - Tossup

Maryland: Governor Spiro Agnew(R) vs Mayland House Speaker Marvin Mandel(D)- Tossup

Michigan: Governor William Milliken(R) vs Michigan State Senator Sader Levin(D) - Tossup

Minnesota: State Attorney General Doglas Head(R) vs State Senator Wendell Anderson(D)- Lean Democratic Gain

Nebraska: Governor Norbert Tiemann(R) vs Nebraska State Party Chariman J.James Exon(D)- Lean Democratic Gain

New Hampshire: Governor Walter Peterson Jr(R) vs Mr.Roger Crowley(D)- Tossup

New Mexico: Mayor Pete Domenici(R) vs State Representative Bruce Kind(D) - Tossup

Ohio: Governor John Brown(R) vs Former Representative John Gilligan(D) - Tossup

Oklahoma: Governor Dewey Barlett(R) vs Professor David Hall(D) - Tossup

Pennsylvania: Governor Raymond Shafer(R) vs Mr.Milton Shapp(D) - Lean Democratic Gain

South Dakota: Governor Frank Farrer(R) vs State Senator Richard Kneup(D) - Lean Democratic Gain

Tennessee: Businessman John Hooker(D) vs Businessman Winfield Duncan(R) - Lean Republican Gain

Texas: Governor Preston Smith(D) vs Mr.Paul Eggers(R) - Tossup

Wisconsin: Lieutenant Governor Jack Olson(R) vs Former Lieutenant Governor Patrick Lucey(D) - Tossup



Chancellor: Overall I would say its fair to say that judging the results of this year's elections may be harder than judging them in the past since in the Senate Races the Republicans are expected to pcikup many seats and have a good chance at taking the majoirty, while the Gubenatorial races are expected to result in potential double digit gains for the Democrat and the House is expected to result in modest gains for the Democrats.
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« Reply #102 on: December 14, 2018, 03:54:21 AM »
« Edited: March 14, 2019, 12:26:19 AM by Old School Republican »

US ramps up bombing of North Vietnam in an attempt to destroy supply lines between the North Vietnamese and Viet Cong.



Brinkley: Goldwater today began is tour across the nation , where he will be campaigning for Republican candidates all across the nation today. He will campaign the most in the state of Texas where he is expected to do up to 3 joint rallies with the Senate and Gubernatorial Candidates.


Goldwater's approval before election day:

Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 47%

House Generic Ballot:

Democrats: 50%
Republicans: 48%

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« Reply #103 on: December 15, 2018, 01:31:13 AM »
« Edited: December 15, 2018, 04:34:59 AM by Old School Republican »

NBC News: Election Night 1970(Part 1)



7:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ8dPRhuE1s&t=145s

Brinkley: Good Evening and Welcome to NBC News's coverage of the 1970 Midterm Elections where voters acorss the nation will decide who will control congress over the next 2 years and voters in 35 states will decide who their Governors will be. Ok the first polls of the night have closed and NBC news is ready to project that in Virginia Senator Harry Byrd will be reelected but this time as an independent so we will color that state in Orange. In Vermont NBC News is ready to project Senator Winston Prouty will be reelected as well as well so we will color the state blue on the map as well as any state we project that will be won by the GOP tonight. Lastly in Indiana and Florida we can currently say are both too close to call and the color code for that will be Yellow.
 



Republicans: 37
Democrats: 29
Indepedent: 1

Now in the Gubernatorial Races NBC News can project that in Georgia the Democratic Candidate Jimmy Carter will be the state next Governor, and in Florida Democratic Candidate Reubin Askew will unseat Governor Kirk to be the next Governor of the state. These states along with any state we project for the Democrats will be colored in red tonight. In Vermont, we can project that Governor Deane Davis will be reelected.We currently are unable to make a projection in South Carolina





Chancellor: So far the only surprise is South Carolina not being called on poll closing time because it was expected that it would be an easy win for the Democratic candidate. On the other hand we didnt believe Florida would be called at poll closing either .

7:30:

Brinkley: We are ready to make some more projections and we can now project that in West Virginia, Senator Robert Byrd will be reelected by a comfortable margin and we can also project State Senator Lawton Chiles will defeat Republican William Cramer to become the next Senator from Florida. In Ohio we are currently unable to make a projection.



Republicans: 37
Democrats: 31
Indepedent: 1


In the Gubernatorial Races the polls have closed in Ohio but we are currently unable to make a projection in that state




Chancellor: NBC news also has a major projection to make in the House and NBC news can project that


Breaking News: Democrats will retain Control of the House of Representatives
and we can project that they not only will hold the house but make gains as well. We can project that Democrats will pick up anywhere from 1 seat tonight up to a possible 19 seats tonight.


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« Reply #104 on: December 15, 2018, 04:32:12 AM »
« Edited: December 16, 2018, 03:32:12 AM by Old School Republican »

NBC News: Election Night 1970(Part 2)



8:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ8dPRhuE1s&t=145s

Brinkley: It is 8 in the east and NBC news is ready to make more projections. NBC news can now project that in Connecticut- Republican Candidate Lowell Weicker will unseat the Democrat Deleware- Congressman William Roth will be elected, and in Pennsylvania - Senator Hugh Scott will be reelected .

The states NBC News can project will be won by the Democrats will be Illinois - Where we can project the son of former Presidential candidate Adlai Stevenson will be elected Senator by a large margin, in Maine Senator Ed Muskie will be reelected by a large margin, in Massachusetts - Senator Ted Kennedy will be reelected, in Michigan - Senator Phillip Hart will be reelected, in Mississippi- Senator John Stennis will be reelected in a landslide, in New Jersey- Senator Harrison Williams will be reelected,

Maryland, Missouri, Tennessee and Texas are all too close to call at this hour



Republicans: 40
Democrats: 37
Indepedent: 1

In the Gubernatorial Races, NBC News can project that George Wallace the former Democratic Governor of the state who won a bitter primary against the current governor Albert Brewer will be elected Governor of Alabama , in Kansas- Governor Robert Docking will be reelected, in Pennsylvania- Democratic Candidate Milton Sharp will win by double digit margin to become the first Jewish-American Governor of the state,

We can also project the Republicans will win the Gubernatorial races of Massachusetts - where Governor Francis Sargent will be reelected, and In Tennessee we can project Winfield Dunn will win and become the First Republican governor of the state in more than 50 years

Connecticut, Maine, Maryland , Michigan , New Hampshire,  Oklahoma and Texas are currently all to close to call



Frank McGee: So Far everything has gone as expected , Democrats making modest gains in the House, Gubernatorial Races going there was as well and the control of the Senate coming down to maybe the slimmest of margins. The Question I have is Texas , so what are the keys for the Republicans to win Texas tonight

Chancellor: Well first the Republican candidate must win big , I mean big in the Dallas and Housten Suburbs , then they must win the Northern Part of the state by a large margin as well. Once you do that the State of Texas likely will come down to the wire and then what they need to do is hold most of Goldwater's inroads into the Rural areas of the state.

McGee: I agree but one problem for that is that Goldwater faced Humphrey a Northern Dem, while thistype the GOP will face a Texan Dem and that will make it much harder for them to win.

Chancellor: We will see but I think both races in Texas will be very very close

8:30 PM:

Brinkley: Its 8:30 in the east and we can project that the Democrat Dale Bumpers will unseat Governor Winthrop Rockefeller in a landslide to become the next Governor of Arkansas. We can also project that in Maryland Governor Spiro Agnew a very polarizing figure will be defeated by the state's Speaker of the House Marvin Mandel.



Chancellor: Spiro Agnew was once considered a pretty Liberal Republican but has shifted too the right on many issues over the past few years and his attacks on the Democrats have been considered partisian warfare and in a state like Maryland neither of those would help a Republican.

Brinkley: In the Ohio Senate Race, which currently is very very close is one of the races many people are viewing as a referendum on the conservative movement. as if you remember his father Robert Taft was considered the leader of the Conservative Movement for a long time in the 1940s and early 50s so this race I would say is a good race on the state of the movement.

Chancellor: I totally agree


8:53:

Chancellor: Ok we have another projection in the House and now we can project the Democrats will gain anywhere from 6 seats to 18 seats tonight.
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« Reply #105 on: December 15, 2018, 05:02:56 AM »

Great coverage! Glad to see Democrats keep the House.
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« Reply #106 on: December 15, 2018, 04:43:15 PM »

Great coverage! Glad to see Democrats keep the House.

Thanks
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« Reply #107 on: December 15, 2018, 05:38:54 PM »
« Edited: June 21, 2020, 03:00:11 PM by Old School Republican »

NBC News: Election Night 1970(Part 3)



9:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ8dPRhuE1s&t=145s

Brinkley: Its 9:00 in the East and NBC News is ready to project that in Arizona-  Senator Evan Mecham will win a full term as senator of the State , in Nebraska- Senator Roman Hruska will be reelected, and in New York- Former NFL player Jack Kemp will become the next senator of the state.

We can also project in Minnesota - Former Presidential Candidate and Senator Eugene McCarthy will be reelected, in New Mexico- Senator Joseph Montoya will be reelected, in North Dakota- Senator Quentin Burdick will be reelected in a landslide, in Rhode Island- Senator John Pastore will be reelected in a landslide, in Wisconsin - Senator William Proxmire will be reelected in a landslide , and in Wyoming- Senator Gale McGee will be reelected



Republicans: 43
Democrats: 43
Indepedent: 1


In the Gubernatorial races we can project that in Arizona- Governor Jack Williams will be reelected, in Colorado- Governor John Love will be reelected, in New York- Former Republican Nominee and Governor Nelson Rockefeller will easily win reelection and in Wyoming- Governor Stanley Hathaway will be reelected

We can project that Democrats will win in Minnesota - where State Senator Wendell Anderson will be elected, in Nebraska - Democrat John Exon will win, in South Dakota - State Attorney General  Frank Ferrar will be elected

New Mexico , Rhode Island and Wisconsin are all currently too close to call




McGee: Conservatives get a huge win in New York with Jack Kemp being elected to the Senate

Chancellor: Yes while that is true, I dont think its a mandate . Reason is he only won a plurarity and you can argue he may not have won if the Liberals didnt split the vote so while he deserves all the credit for this win its not a mandate

Brinkley: Plus Governor Rockefeller won a majoirty despite the Conservative party  running a third party candidate .

Chancellor: How is the race going in Texas

Brinkley: Well the Republican in has gotten the margins they needed in the North of the state and in the Dallas and Houston metros, it all now will come down to see is what was the raw votes there and if they kept Goldwater inroads into rural Texas. So it will likely be a long while before we can tell whether or not we can tell who will win.


9:38:

Chancellor: NBC News is able to project the winner of two Senate races we previously declared too close to call. We can project that the Republican Robert Taft Jr will be elected as the Senator of Ohio and the Democrat Senator Stuart Symington will be reelected as Senator of Missouri



Republicans: 44(+1)
Democrats: 44(-1)
Indepedent: 1


Brinkley: Robert Taft Jr win is huge win for the GOP, but its a huge conservative win as well so its a win for the President

Chancellor: At this point I would say they would be favored to gain seats and could potentially take the Senate.


9:50:

McGee: We have some more projection in the Gubernatorial Elections and that is we can project in Connecticut- Republican Thomas  Meskill will win, in Michigan- Governor William Millikean will win a full term and in Wisconsin- Democrat Patrick Lucey will win.




Chancellor: And in the House we are now saying the Democrats will gain anywhere from 6 to 16 seats tonight.
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« Reply #108 on: December 16, 2018, 03:21:32 AM »
« Edited: December 16, 2018, 03:49:08 AM by Old School Republican »

NBC News: Election Night 1970(Part 4)



10:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ8dPRhuE1s&t=145s

Brinkley: The polls have closed in more states and NBC news is ready to project that in Montana- Senate Majority Leader Mike Mansfield will be reelected , although his re-election to his other position the Senate Majority leader is in doubt right now, In Nevada - Senator Howard Cannon will be re-elected , and in Utah- Senator Frank Moss will be reelected.

We can also project that in Tennessee-  the Republican Candidate Bill Brock will defeat Senator Al Gore an the Republicans will hold both Senate Seats in the state of Tennessee for the first time since before the 1870 elections.



Republicans: 45(+2)
Democrats: 47(-2)
Indepedent: 1



In Gubernatorial races we can project that in Iowa- Governor Robert Ray will be reelected, in Nevada- Governor Edward Fike will win a full term as Governor of the State.

We can also project the Democrats will pick up the Gubernatorial Seats of Ohio- Where John Gilligan has won, and in New Mexico - Where State Representative Bruce King as run

Idaho is currently too close to call




Chancellor: The loss of Ohio has got to sting for the Vice President who we know was the former Governor of the state

McGee: Yes it does, but also the main reason for this defeat is the current Governor John Brown ran a terrible campaign, and handled the situation at Kent State and its aftermath terribly in every way. Kent State was a crises and leaders are judged on how they handle crises and Governor Brown handled it terribly and now he is paying the price for it.


Chancellor: Overall the results in the Gubernatorial races do lead to a question whether the National Republican Party has the ability to replicate their successes at the Federal Level at the state level.

Brinkley: Well lets go over now the 3 too close to call senate Seats

In Texas- Both candidates continue to trade leads and its looking very likely a recount will decide this

In Indiana- Its almost 99% in and the Republican has a 1.5% lead so I would say its likely this state will go to the Republicans

Maryland is like Texas you really cant tell at all what will happen

That leaves the Senate composition at 47 Democrats  46 Republicans  1 Independent and out of the outstanding seats Alaska seems safely Republican and Washington safely Democratic. If you add in Hawaii where the Republicans had a very narrow lead in the polls throughout the campaign you get to 48 Democrats 48 Republicans and 1 Independent. Here is where things could get ugly say California is very close too you could have 3 recounts deciding control of the Senate and Two of them in Mega-States like California and Texas , and have a potential scenario where independent Harry Byd decides the whole thing.

Chancellor: That would be very ugly but I still doubt it will happen

10:30:

Brinkley:  NBC News can now project the winner of the New Hampshire Gubernatorial Race and that is Republican Governor Walter Peterson will be reelected.





Ok now we will send it back to your local station
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« Reply #109 on: December 17, 2018, 03:18:34 AM »

NBC News: Election Night 1970(Part 5)



11:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ8dPRhuE1s&t=145s

Brinkley: The polls have closed in the West and we can project in Washington- Senator Henry Jackson will be reelected in a landslide. We are also able to finally make a projection in the Indiana Senate Race and that is that- Otis Bown will unseat the Democrat and will be the next Senator from that state.

Currently, we are unable to make a projection in California or Hawaii



Republicans: 46(+3)
Democrats: 48(-3)
Indepedent: 1


In the Gubernatorial Races we can project in Oregon - Governor Tom McCall will be reelected and in California, the most populous state in the union - Governor Ronald Reagan and arugbaly the 2nd most prominent conservative in the country will be reelected .

For the Democrats, we can project they will win in Hawaii - where Governor John Burns will be reelected




Brinkley: While it was not surprising Ronald Reagan will easily be reelected , it is a surprise at the potential strength the GOP will have in the state next year

Chancellor: Yes it is as right now if you look at the other down-ballot races the Republicans have been projected the winner of everyone with the exception of the Secretary of State office where there John Hermer is expected to win narrowly , and the Senate which will be close.

That though isnt even the most surprising part as right now the Republicans are considered to be the slight favorite in holding on to both houses in the state legislatures but the fact there is a chance that they take the House Delegation in the state as well. Currently the House Delegation there favors the Democrats 20-18 so Republicans only need two house seats to win control of that House Delegation.  The tossup districts in California are CA-34 which is held by a Republican , CA-29 which is held by a Democrat, and CA-38 which is held by a Democrat who retired to run for the Seante but lost in that primary. So if Republicans win all 3 the House Delegation will be theirs.


McGee: Well to me the reason this is happening is the Democrats made lots of mistakes this year in that State. First was running Mr.Unruh in the Gubernatorial Race instead of the Senatorial one, as if he ran for te Senate he easily wins the nomination and CA-38 in the house probably stays Dem as Mr.Tunney never runs for the Senate. Then he probably wins the Senate race as well a win not only gives Dems a win state wide in California but would guarantee the party control of the Senate as well.


11:25


Brinkley: We have another call to make and that is in Maine- Governor Kenneth Curtis will be reelected and in Rhode Island- Governor Frank Licht will be reelected




Chancellor: To me this election is giving very conflicted results. The Gubernatorial races are a huge win for the Democrats, the Senate Races are a win for the Republicans and House is vry narrow won for the Dems.


McGee: Well I would say this is a slight win for the Democrats since the Senate and Gubernatorial Races cancel each other so the House Races gives the Democrats the tie breaker.


Brinkley: Well I would say at the Federal Level the results are mixed and it shows that voters still want to give Conservatives a chance to govern but they also want to give the Democrats more power to be a check  as well. At the state level with the exception of California and maybe Texas I cant say how this election is anything but a disaster for Conservatives. The Democrats made sweeping gains in the Gubernatorial Races across the nation and the fact is it will affect overall policy such as education, social welfare programs administered at the state level, state public works projects in a more Liberal Direction.

Chancellor: Before we send it back to your local stations we want to show you a graphic of the house Results so far where the Democrats are expected to gain anywhere from 9-14 seats tonight.



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« Reply #110 on: December 17, 2018, 03:58:05 AM »
« Edited: December 21, 2018, 03:42:22 AM by Old School Republican »

NBC News: Election Night 1970(Part 6)



12:00
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LQ8dPRhuE1s&t=145s

Brinkley: NBC News i now ready to make a projection in Alaska- and that is Senator Ted Stevens will win a full term to the Senate.

We currently are unable to make a projection in the Gubernatorial Race



Republicans: 47(+3)
Democrats: 48(-3)
Indepedent: 1



12:15:

Brinkley: NBC News is able to project that in Oklahoma- Governor Dewey Barlett will be reelected and in South Carolina- Governor Robert McNair will narrowly be reelected



McGee: South Carolina being this close was surprising as it was not a race that the polls indicated would be a tossup even though the race turned out to finish that way

Chancellor: I think thats a sign that South Carolina will flip in the next Neutral or Republican favored cycle

12:45

Chancellor: We have a projection to make in the Idaho Governor Race- and that is that Democrat Cecil Adrus will win and be elected as the next Governor the state of Idaho



1:00:


Brinkley: NBC News is able to project that in Hawaii- Senator Hiram Frog will win reelection



Republicans: 48(+3)
Democrats: 48(-3)
Indepedent: 1


1:30:

Brinkley: NBC News is ready to project that William Egger the Democrat will be the next Governor of Alaska






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« Reply #111 on: December 17, 2018, 04:22:00 AM »
« Edited: December 21, 2018, 04:08:28 AM by Old School Republican »

NBC News: Election Night 1970(Part 7)



Breaking News: Texas will have a Republican Governor for the first time since Reconstruction
Brinkley: We have a major major call to make and that is Texas will be won Paul Eggers and that will mean Texas will have a Republican Governor for the first time since Reconstruction.




Chancellor: And in my opinion Texas is a state that will continue to go more and more Republican because the fact is Texas while a Democratic state is a very Conservative one and the fact is Texas is a state which has all the ingredients needed to be Goldwater type Conservative: Lots of Conservative voters, Suburbs are very Republican and many counties resemble the west more than the South.

McGee: I agree and the fact is the Whole West+the Plains+ Texas likely will be Republican and that will give them a much bigger base to start of with in Presidential Elections than the Democrats.

Brinkley: I have a different view, in my opinion we are moving into an era where there wont be as many states which you can say are Republican or Democratic and instead the quality of the candidate or job performance of the incumbent will decide races. In my opinion thats a great development because that will force politicians who are elected to worry more about doing a good job than worrying about pleasing the party to be reelected.

Chancellor: But in 50/50 elections I would say Texas would go Republican now

Brinkley: If your talking 50/50 in Presidneital Races I agree, in others it toally depends.

2:40:

Brinkley: We have a major projection to make and that is Senator George Murphy will be reelected as Senator in California.



Republicans: 49(+3)
Democrats: 48(-3)
Indepedent: 1

Brinkley: In my opinion this is a classic case of blowing an election, First you have a bitter and divisive primary which forces the nominee to spend more time than they should in uniting the party and that leaves less time to use that unity to get the momentum to win and then a bad debate performance from the Democrats sealed the Deal for Senator Murphy who was very beatable this year


McGee: Well now the Congressional Election in the 29th district will decide whether the Republicans will get a clean sweep or not in the California House Delegation.

Chancellor: And will tell if Democrats get either a net gain of 11 or 12 seats in the House tonight.


Breaking News: Republicans Win Control of United States Senate




Brinkley: We have Breaking News to report to you and that is the Republicans will Take Control of the Senate for the first time since 1954. Reason we can make this projection is NBC news can project the Senate Seat in Maryland will be won by John Beall Jr. And with that they will control the senate due to Vice President Rhodes being the tie breaker and Senator Wallace Bennett will be the new Majoirty Leader.



Republicans: 50(+4)
Democrats: 48(-4)
Indepedent: 1


Brinkley: So what do impact do you think the results of the election will have


Chancellor: Not much just the House and Senate really just flipped roles. This time the Senate will be the Conservatives have an easy time, while the House will require more compromises to get a bill passed.

McGee: I agree

Brinkley: Ok so that wraps up our election coverage as the Senate Race in Texas will not be able to be called due to the margin being under 550 votes

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« Reply #112 on: December 21, 2018, 04:30:34 AM »
« Edited: January 21, 2019, 04:05:06 AM by Old School Republican »

Results of the 1970 Midterm Elections:

Senate Results:



Republicans: 50(+4)
Democrats: 48(-4)
Indepedent: 1


Brinkley: The Republicans net pickup of 4 seats last night gave them control of the Senate for the first time in 16 years even if the Democrat wins the Texas Senate Race due to Vice President Rhodes having the power to break ties.


5 Closest Races:

Texas(Too close to call): Lloyd Bentsen 50.01% , George HW Bush 49.99%
Maryland: John Beall Jr 49.83% , Joseph Tydings 49.51%
California: George Murphy 49.91%, Jerome Waldie 48.56%
Indiana: Otis Bowen 50.91%, Vince Hartke 40.09%

Missouri: Stuart Symington 50.83% , John Danforth 48.56%

House of Representatives:

Democrats: 234(+11)
Republicans: 201(-11)


Brinkley: So overall Democrats made some modest gains in the House


Gubernatorial Races:



Democrats gain 8 Seats


Brinkley: A very strong night for the Democrats at this level throughout the nation last night , and at the state level in general. This will allow them to pass a lot of their liberal agenda which has no chance of passing now in DC at the state and local level.


5 Closest Races:

Texas: Paul Eggers 50.12%, Preston Smith 49.86%
South Carolina: John West 49.11%, Albert Watson 48.72%
Oklahoma: Dewey Barlett 48.52% David Hall 48.11%
Idaho: Cecil Adrus 51.08% , Don Samuelson 48.92%
Maine: Kenneth Curtis 51.14% , James Ervin 48.86%


What does Republican Defeat at State Level Mean:


Brinkley: In my opinion it means on policies such as education, state social service programs we will move to the left maybe even sigficantly so. The fact is even now many important goverment functions are run at the state level and these results will result in a move to the left on those issues.

Chancellor: I agree , the act is Democrats gained 8 gubernatorial seats and the Democratic Governors who will control a majoirty of the guberntorial seats could frustrate the President's agenda.

McGee: Yup the fact is they can use their power on many issues to at the very least slow down the pace we are moving to the right on. To me this also shows that Republicans have a lot of work to do before they can make gains downballot.


What Happened to the Democrats in California:

Brinkley: What happened in this election in California, as not only did the Democrats not win a single state wide race they failed to take back either house of state legislature and lost control of house delegation too.

Chancellor: Like we said bad planning from day 1. The fact is California Democrats priortized taking out Ronald Reagan instead of sending a Democrat to the senate and the most shockin thing about that is even if you take out the polls showing he was headed to an easy win while George Murphy was very beatable , the fact is Ronald Reagan's agenda is not the biggest problem for liberals right now even in California, it is the President's agenda.

If they nominated Mr.Unruh for the Senate race, they win that seat plus they probably dont lose house delegation and may win back at least one house of the legislature due to Democrats being united from day 1. Instead they chose an race where they were the heavy underdogs.



Final Thoughts:


Chancellor: My final thoughts are that we really didnt change much other than flip the positions the house and senate were over the past two years. Another is it looks like the National Wins by Presidential candidates has broken through at the lower level down there as well.


Brinkley: Mine is this example is a clear example of the voters hedging their bets. At the federal level, the voters did not endorse the Goldwater policy because if they did the Republicans wouldnt have lost 11 seats, or they didnt reject it because if they did Democrats hold the Senate. So overall at the federal level voters, said they are willing to give the Goldwater policy a chance and really are waiting to see the results of them before making a judgment, but at the State level voters cleary went against the President . So I would say this is a clear example of hedging your bets



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« Reply #113 on: December 24, 2018, 03:52:47 AM »
« Edited: March 14, 2019, 12:29:53 AM by Old School Republican »

President Goldwater reacts to results of Midterm Elections:



Goldwater: Yesterday millions of Americans went to the polls to decide who the makeup of Congress, state legislatures and countless local and statewide officials throughout the nation and I look forward to working alongside them to make our nation a better place over the next two years. To the newly elected representatives, senators and Governors I look forward to meeting you over the next few weeks so we can discuss how we can work together to make our nation and each of our individual state a better place .While we all had our opinions on the elections yesterday and while their might have been some results that were disappointing, now it is time we all come together to make our nation a better place.


Reporter 1: What was the message the American People sent last night

Goldwater: I believe they were saying was they are willing to give our policies the time and chance to succeed and I believe our success in the Senate shows that.

Reporter 2: What about the results of the Gubernatorial races , your party got crushed there so wouldnt you the people at least partially want to move away from your policies.

Goldwater: I wouldn't say that as you know the issues at the Federal and State level are different. For example, like many people were talking yesterday the American people endorsed Democratic policies on Education and Social Welfare programs and the fact is that is not true. Maybe at a state level that might be true but if you remember one of the things I campaigned was giving states and local governments more of the power that should be theirs according to the constitution on issues such as education and social welfare programs and we have done that. We have returned power to the states and to the people over the past two years and I support continuing that even if the states may not go with a policy I personally support but thats what is the constitutionally correct position to do so we will continue to do .

Reporter 3: Well but the question is , do you think this results shows that the party has trouble connecting to the people on state and local issues

Goldwater: Well I dont think you can make that conclusion based on the result of one election. The fact is many times during midterms the people like to hedge their bets and choose the leader of the opposition so there isnt one-party rule at every level of the government for long periods of time. Second, one of the advantages of giving states more power is other states can see what works and what doesnt so if our policies work better people of other states will be willing to vote for our party in their states as well in hopes of replicating that success . So the answer to your question will be decided by the results of the policies implemented by Democratic vs Republican Governors.

Breaking News: Democratic Candidate Lloyd Bentsen wins Senate Race in Texas over Republican George Bush by 245 votes.



Brinkley: We have breaking news and that is that the Democratic Candidate , Congressman Lloyd Bentsen will win the Senate Race in Texas by an extremely narrow margin of 245 votes over Republican opponent George Bush. The Republicans will still control the Senate due to Vice President Rhodes Tie Breaker but it overall composition will be tied at 50-50 if Senator Harry Byrd caucuses with Democrats like we expect.
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« Reply #114 on: January 02, 2019, 03:15:18 AM »

US and Canada agree to deal which will remove many current trade barriers between the nations:



Brokaw: We have breaking news and that is the US and Canada have agreed to reduce trade barriers between the nations particularly in the Auto and Energy Sectors along with many others goods and services. While this deal does not remove trade barriers to the extent the President originally wanted the President still called today an historic day and hoped today would begin the process of leading to such a day happening.


NBC Analyst:  Well now the Trade Agreement must be ratified before it becomes law but we are told the likelihood of that happening is pretty good especially due to the fact the Republicans will control the Senate when the new session begins. I also want to add the President hopes not only would this lead to more trade barriers being eliminated with Canada but many more nations as well



Newly Elected Senators , Representatives and Governors meet the President at the White House




Chancellor: The President earlier today met with newly elected Senators, Representatives and Governors at the White House to talk about ways they can work together over the next two years to make our nation and all our states a better place. The topic ranged from many issues such as social welfare, civil rights, Vietnam and on many issues its clear there is a difference of opinion between the president and many of the newly elected office holders.



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« Reply #115 on: January 03, 2019, 03:39:53 AM »

Breaking News: North Vietnamese Launch a Large-scale Invasion of the South in an attempt to quickly win the war



Brinkley: We have Breaking News out of Vietnam to report and that is the North Vietnamese have launched a large-scale invasion of the South in an attempt to win the war quickly. While many have compared the attack to Tet nearly 3 years ago , this attack uses far more conventional methods than Tet did. To discuss more about this let me bring in NBC's military correspondent. So the question I have is why did the North Vietnamese launch this type of attack and what have the response by US and South Vietnamese forces been so far.


NBC Military Correspondent: Well the reason they launched this type of attack is their strategy of waiting it out for the long run is no longer as beneficial as it once was. The reason for this is the destruction of ports in Haiphong and in many other areas if effectively blockading the North Vietnamese and making it harder for them to resupply the Vietcong. This means US forces will have a far easier job at defeating the Vietcong then they did before and with the Vietcong defeated the North Vietnamese would have no choice but to sue for peace and accept a deal which would be very unfavorable to them. So for that reason they decided to launch this attack in hopes that it would catch the US and the South Vietnamese off guard and their hopes was that would allow them to quickly win the war before the US could respond.

In many ways this offensive is very reminiscent of the Spring Offensive in WW1 when the Germans decided to break the stalemate and launch a huge offensive in an last-ditch effort to win the war , as that was the only realistic option left for them on the table. As we know it backfired and led to the Allies winning the war and so far it looks like the US and South Vietnamese have not been caught of guard as the North Vietnamese hoped which could lead to their offensive backfiring like the German one did.

Brinkley: Thanks for your insight



US and South Vietnamese forces begin counter-offensive after stopping North Vietnamese invasion dead in its tracks.



Brinkley: A Few weeks ago the North Vietnamese launched a massive invasion in an attempt to quickly win the war, but earlier today US and South Vietnamese were able to stop the invasion dead in its tracks and have begun a counter-offensive in hopes of encircling and destroying a very large part of the North Vietnamese Military.


End of Year Polls:

Goldwater's Approval:

Approve: 52%
Disapprove: 46%

1972 Election Democratic Poll:

Former North Carolina Governor Terry Sanford: 27%
Minnesota Senator Eugene McCarthy: 23%
Former Vice President Hubert Humphrey: 19%
Alabama Governor George Wallace: 16%
Washington Henry Jackson: 2%
Others: 3%


1972 Generic Election Matchups:

Goldwater: 46%
Sanford: 46%

Goldwater: 57%
McCarthy: 37%

Goldwater: 49%
Humphrey: 43%

Goldwater: 60%
Wallace: 29%

Goldwater: 47%
Jackson: 44%










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« Reply #116 on: January 03, 2019, 09:14:34 AM »

What Goldwater should do to end the War quickly is launch an attack on Hanoi and force the North Vietnamese to Surrender. That is the only way to end before the war gets too bad like it did OTL.
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« Reply #117 on: January 03, 2019, 10:45:55 PM »

What Goldwater should do to end the War quickly is launch an attack on Hanoi and force the North Vietnamese to Surrender. That is the only way to end before the war gets too bad like it did OTL.

Do you mean US forces should invade North Vietnam or just do an operation similar to this one :

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Linebacker_II
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« Reply #118 on: January 04, 2019, 09:36:49 AM »

What Goldwater should do to end the War quickly is launch an attack on Hanoi and force the North Vietnamese to Surrender. That is the only way to end before the war gets too bad like it did OTL.

Do you mean US forces should invade North Vietnam or just do an operation similar to this one :

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Linebacker_II


An Invasion of North Vietnam as it would be able to stop NV's support of the Viet Cong by forcing them to support more for their homeland and allow the SVA some breathing space.
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« Reply #119 on: January 04, 2019, 01:05:36 PM »

What Goldwater should do to end the War quickly is launch an attack on Hanoi and force the North Vietnamese to Surrender. That is the only way to end before the war gets too bad like it did OTL.

Do you mean US forces should invade North Vietnam or just do an operation similar to this one :

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Linebacker_II


An Invasion of North Vietnam as it would be able to stop NV's support of the Viet Cong by forcing them to support more for their homeland and allow the SVA some breathing space.

By January 1971 I think it was too late for that as the US by then were trying to move the Chinese away from being an enemy(secretly then though) so invading North Vietnam would be a mistake . G

Until  and right after Tet I agree with you the US should have invaded North Vietnam as that would have needed the war sooner but after 1969 I don’t think it would be the right move .

That doesn’t mean you can’t take any other major actions to force the North Vietnamese to sue formpewve though and I think those types of actions are the ones the generals would advise Goldwater to take
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« Reply #120 on: January 04, 2019, 02:18:35 PM »

For 1972, Sanford would be my choice out of this uninspiring field. Humphrey had his chance and lost.

What Goldwater should do to end the War quickly is launch an attack on Hanoi and force the North Vietnamese to Surrender. That is the only way to end before the war gets too bad like it did OTL.

Probably they wouldn't surrender. The US would have to occupy their territory for a long time and face more guerilla war.
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« Reply #121 on: January 07, 2019, 10:33:35 AM »

Does HW now become UN Ambassador? Interesting that he came much closer under Goldwater.
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« Reply #122 on: January 07, 2019, 02:37:49 PM »

Does HW now become UN Ambassador? Interesting that he came much closer under Goldwater.


HW will be back soon (before the 1972 elections as well) but I wont spoil which position he will be appointed to .


The reason Texas is closer is because I feel Goldwater is a much better fit for the state than Nixon was and I also feel Goldwater would put more effort in down-ballot races(especially Southern) than Nixon did.
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« Reply #123 on: January 07, 2019, 03:22:25 PM »
« Edited: April 02, 2019, 06:30:43 PM by Old School Republican »

New Congress takes over and makes deciding whether or not to approve of the Trade Deal its first priority in the new session



Brinkley: Earlier today members of the new session of Congress were sworn in and the new leadership of both the House and Senate have decided to make the Trade Deal their Top Priority. Most analysts believe it does have enough votes to pass Congress but nothing is a guarantee and things may change after some debate.


Breaking News: US and South Vietnamese Counter Offensive is successful in encircling invading North Vietnamese Divisions



Brinkley: We have some breaking news to report to you and that is that US and South Vietnamese forces Counter Offensive has been successful in encircling the invading North Vietnamese Divisions. Here now is NBC's Military Correspondent who will tell us what this means.


NBC Military Correspondent: What it means is that the Invading Forces now will be unable to retreat back into North Vietnam and that means they must either surrender or fight to almost certain death. What this means for the overall war is that all these invading divisions which make up a large part of the North Vietnamese Military will be destroyed and due to that the North Vietnamese wont be able to launch another offensive into South Vietnam for a long time now.

Along with the fact that the North Vietnamese ability to supply the Viet Cong has been slowed greatly, it could mean that this war could finally end soon.


President Goldwater Announces list of demands that the US will not negotiate:

Goldwater: While I am willing to negotiate a deal which would end the war , there are some things I will not negotiate on. They are

- The release of all POW's from North Vietnam
- Permanent Disbandment of any remaining offensive North Vietnamese Divisions
- Stopping the Supply of Weapons to the Vietcong


Summary of President Goldwater's 1971 State of the Union Address:




Chancellor: The President began his state of the union address by explaining why he believes the free trade deal with Canada should pass. He mentioned that it would help both our nations economy as increased trade between the two nations would increase competition thus either increase the quality of out products or lower the overall price. He also mentioned how it would help us increase ties with our neighbor which is critical when it comes to an issue like world diplomacy.

He then moved on to regulatory reform where he once again in harsh terms slammed unelected bureaucrats and mentioned over and over again how their power undermines the constitution by letting executive agencies go around congress in passing laws. He also gave examples of many bad regulations and said if their were more checks and balances when it came to implementing those regulations, maybe those regulations wouldnt exist in the first place. He then moved on to the issue of Pork Barrell and asked Congress to ban it so bills can be debated based on their quality and not on whether it has enough pork in there for it to pass.

He lastly ended on Vietnam and said that there is more hope now than ever that the war is coming to a close and he believes that a deal could potentially be reached by this year.
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« Reply #124 on: January 07, 2019, 04:03:26 PM »

Hope we see a good trade agreement here. Also glad to see that the Vietcong are beaten back. Maybe Goldwater can get a two state solution here similar to Korea? If so, I'd give him him credit despite opposing his domestic agenda.
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