Predict How Key Texas Congressional Races will go
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  Predict How Key Texas Congressional Races will go		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Predict How Key Texas Congressional Races will go  (Read 1194 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« on: October 14, 2018, 12:53:07 PM »
TX-07: Culberson wins by 4 points

TX-23: Hurd wins by 7 points

TX-32: Sessions wins by less than a point
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2018, 12:53:54 PM »
Quote from: Old School Republican on October 14, 2018, 12:53:07 PM
TX-07: Culberson wins by 4 points

TX-23: Hurd wins by 7 points

TX-32: Sessions wins by less than a point

This looks spot on.
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Xing
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2018, 12:56:09 PM »
I'm guessing either Culberson or Sessions go down, and that Hurd wins by about 4-5%.
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wesmoorenerd
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2018, 12:56:39 PM »
TX-07/32: Fletcher and Allred win by less than two points each

TX-23: Hurd wins by a lot
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PAK Man
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2018, 01:51:04 PM »
Culberson holds on by probably 2-5, Allred narrowly defeats Sessions and Hurd wins by at least 3 points.
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RussFeingoldWasRobbed
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« Reply #5 on: October 14, 2018, 02:42:28 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2018, 03:42:04 PM by RussFeingoldWasRobbedk »
Allred and Fletcher win, but Hurd also wins
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Politician
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« Reply #6 on: October 14, 2018, 02:48:01 PM »
Fletcher +2, Hurd +4 and Allred +4 (bold, I know).
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Rhenna
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« Reply #7 on: October 14, 2018, 04:25:35 PM »
TX-07: Fletcher +4
TX-23: Hurd +6
TX-31: Carter +13
TX-32: Sessions +1
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Oryxslayer
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« Reply #8 on: October 14, 2018, 04:34:32 PM »
Fletcher/Allred/Hurd. However, I think that if Beto is doing 48% or better, then Hurd goes down.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #9 on: October 14, 2018, 04:34:47 PM »
Quote from: Politician on October 14, 2018, 02:48:01 PM
Fletcher +2, Hurd +4 and Allred +4 (bold, I know).
looks right
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MycroftCZ
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« Reply #10 on: October 14, 2018, 07:09:10 PM »
Fletcher +3, Hurd +9, and Sessions +1
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andjey
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« Reply #11 on: October 15, 2018, 12:37:58 AM »
TX-07: Fletcher +2
TX-23: Hurd +8
TX-32: Sessions +<1
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #12 on: October 15, 2018, 12:47:54 AM »
Fletcher, Allred, and Hurd win.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #13 on: October 15, 2018, 01:33:20 PM »
What happend in Texas-23 that Gina Ortiz Jones has lost that much ground? She's a high quality candidate (actually one of my favorites this cycle).
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Beet
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« Reply #14 on: October 15, 2018, 01:35:41 PM »
Quote from: President Johnson on October 15, 2018, 01:33:20 PM
What happend in Texas-23 that Gina Ortiz Jones has lost that much ground? She's a high quality candidate (actually one of my favorites this cycle).

It seems like Hispanics in South Texas decided to go hardcore Republican - the Democrats lost what was supposed to be a safe State Senate seat in September.
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Former Dean Phillips Supporters for Haley (I guess???!?) 👁️
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« Reply #15 on: October 15, 2018, 01:57:46 PM »
Quote from: Beet on October 15, 2018, 01:35:41 PM
Quote from: President Johnson on October 15, 2018, 01:33:20 PM
What happend in Texas-23 that Gina Ortiz Jones has lost that much ground? She's a high quality candidate (actually one of my favorites this cycle).

It seems like Hispanics in South Texas decided to go hardcore Republican - the Democrats lost what was supposed to be a safe State Senate seat in September.

It is much more likely that they are (as usual) hard to poll and will have low turnout than that they actually go Republican. In the case of the Senate district, it was mainly a turnout issue, which should not be surprising in a special election in that area.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #16 on: October 15, 2018, 03:04:27 PM »
Dems pickup TX-07 51-49 over Culberson, narrowly lose TX-32 by the opposite margin, Hurd wins by 3-5, and 5+ in all other races.
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