How many Congressional Districts will Sherrod Brown win?
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  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  How many Congressional Districts will Sherrod Brown win?
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ?
#1
4
 
#2
5
 
#3
6
 
#4
7
 
#5
8
 
#6
9
 
#7
10+
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 17

Author Topic: How many Congressional Districts will Sherrod Brown win?  (Read 510 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« on: October 14, 2018, 05:51:43 PM »

I'd say 8.
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ON Progressive
OntarioProgressive
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2018, 06:00:58 PM »

I think he wins OH-01, OH-03, OH-09, OH-10, OH-11, OH-12, OH-13, and OH-14.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2018, 06:02:59 PM »

4
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BuckeyeNut
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2018, 06:58:19 PM »
« Edited: October 14, 2018, 07:01:29 PM by THE BuckeyeNut »

Definite: OH-03, OH-09, OH-11, OH-11
Probable: OH-01, OH-10, OH-14, OH-16
Possible: OH-06, OH-07, OH-12, OH-15
Nope: OH-02, OH-04, OH-05, OH-08

I’d wager Brown wins all of the probable districts in additionto the definite dostricts, and has a very good shot at winning at least one of the possible seats.
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Kyle Rittenhouse is a Political Prisoner
Jalawest2
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« Reply #4 on: October 14, 2018, 07:43:13 PM »

Brown goes 12/16 in a double digit romp.
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andjey
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2018, 12:39:22 AM »

8
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politicallefty
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2018, 02:38:02 AM »

Democrats have to completely crater to not win their four vote sinks. Looking at the map, I'm guessing Strickland probably only 2-3 with his disastrous 37% and Fitzgerald probably one got 1-2 with his even more horrific bottoming-out of the Democratic vote in the state.

If Brown wins in the high-teens, I'm actually very curious to see what the county map will look like. But to answer the question, I'm estimating:

Safe D: OH-03, OH-09, OH-11, OH-13 (4)
Likely D: OH-14 (1)
Lean D: OH-01, OH-10 (2)
Toss-up: OH-12, OH-16 (2)
Lean R: OH-06, OH-07, OH-15 (3)
Likely R: OH-02 (1)
Safe R: OH-04, OH-05, OH-08 (3)

I'd say 7-9, most likely 8. I'm most unsure about what OH-06 might do.
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