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Author Topic: CT PPP: Lamont +5  (Read 468 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 15, 2018, 12:20:16 pm »

http://www.courant.com/politics/capitol-watch/hc-pol-ppp-poll-lamont-up-by-5-story.html

Lamont 43
Stefanowski 38

'The poll is similar to others that have the race as a single-digit battle between the two top contenders. Independent candidate Oz Griebel of Hartford was not mentioned in the poll results.'
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2018, 12:34:44 pm »

Pretty weak, but considering he's of the same party of a governor with 70% disapproval, it's actually not bad. This is somewhat the opposite of Oklahoma.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2018, 12:35:02 pm »

Everything is awful.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #3 on: October 15, 2018, 01:05:52 pm »

I wonder if the independent is pulling enough votes from Stefanowski so that Lamont wins with under 50% of the vote.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #4 on: October 15, 2018, 02:21:49 pm »

Why is Muhloy so deeply underwater? Even Ned is running away as fast he can from this guy.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #5 on: October 15, 2018, 02:31:32 pm »

I expect Ned to win now, but keep in mind this was how much Foley was down by on average in 2010 and 2014 and he still only narrowly lost both. Taking into account Oz seemingly being on the upsurge, and I wouldn't be surprised if this is closer than we think.
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Neoliberalbusters
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« Reply #6 on: October 15, 2018, 02:31:56 pm »

^lol

Anyway, Safe D, obviously.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #7 on: October 15, 2018, 02:32:51 pm »

Why is Muhloy so deeply underwater? Even Ned is running away as fast he can from this guy.

He's borked budget after budget year after year and there's the perception that he does nothing but raise taxes and waste money. Remember: CT is Democratic because of social issues. Fiscally, it's rather moderate, a remnant of its GOP past.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #8 on: October 15, 2018, 02:33:59 pm »

^lol

Anyway, Safe D, obviously.

Not safe. I'd say Lean, closer to Likely than Tossup. Remember, in governor races, Republicans tend to be underpolled. Again, I'm going in expecting a Lamont win, but it won't be by a margin that would constitute calling it Safe.
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xingkerui
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« Reply #9 on: October 15, 2018, 03:13:03 pm »

Lamont isn't Muhloy, what else is new? Likely D.
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