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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TX: CNN/SSRS: Sen. Cruz (R) +7
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Author Topic: TX: CNN/SSRS: Sen. Cruz (R) +7  (Read 1498 times)
President Johnson
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« Reply #25 on: October 16, 2018, 01:47:19 pm »

About the margin I expect. Anything between five and eight points.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #26 on: October 16, 2018, 06:40:21 pm »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.

It is only a disappointment if you had unrealistic expectations. Have sensible expectations and you won't be disappointed so often.

This is my philosophy for all things in life. It's why I'm so well-adjusted!
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Silurian
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« Reply #27 on: October 16, 2018, 06:57:30 pm »

Not to mention Cnn polls have been overly favorable to Democrats all cycle. Bobby o'Rourke has followed a long line of Texas Democrats who raise insane sums of money from gullible out of state leftists before losing badly and leaving the state

78% of his donors have from Texas.

Not a counterpoint.

But it's not even worth pointing out. Most of the time when people bring up the difference between out/in state donors, they are criticizing the candidate. In this case, Cruz has raised more from out-of-state donors, so it would be hypocritical to call out only the Democrat for that. And if it's a discussion purely about usefulness, then it's worth noting that it's not like there aren't plenty of Texas donors that don't send money out of state to losing campaigns.

Also, it's not pointless to raise all that money either. What matters is how it is spent. Big campaigns that spend it on organizing and GOTV can leave lasting "infrastructure" in place that can be used over future election cycles by other candidates, one of whom might eventually win. This is particularly important in TX's case, which is a state moving towards Democrats but slower than the party wishes. Running these campaigns might seem futile, but it might help flip Texas sooner than it otherwise would.
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jfern
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« Reply #28 on: October 17, 2018, 12:08:20 am »

Why has this race been polled more than the MO senate race

They prefer to poll the MO race one state senate district at a time.
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #29 on: October 17, 2018, 12:19:54 am »

     Roughly what I expected. I have no idea why Beto generated so much enthusiasm, other than wishful thinking that the Democrats might win a Senate seat in Texas.
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Silurian
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« Reply #30 on: October 17, 2018, 12:21:51 am »

     Roughly what I expected. I have no idea why Beto generated so much enthusiasm, other than wishful thinking that the Democrats might win a Senate seat in Texas.

He's a pretty appealing candidate with a certain cool factor to him too. His rejection of PACs and non-stop live videos is a big part as well.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #31 on: October 17, 2018, 01:54:15 am »

Early voting is starting. Dems have to minimize losses in the Senate so that they can take it back in 2020, but Toomey and Johnson over performed polls and Beto and Bredesen can as well. As the Kavanaugh bump has climaxed already.
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