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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TX: CNN/SSRS: Sen. Cruz (R) +7
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Author Topic: TX: CNN/SSRS: Sen. Cruz (R) +7  (Read 1340 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: October 16, 2018, 11:17:42 am »

New Poll: Texas Senator by CNN/SSRS on 2018-10-13

Summary: D: 45%, R: 52%, I: 1%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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New Frontier
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2018, 11:19:40 am »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2018, 11:28:45 am »

Sigh.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2018, 11:30:24 am »

Looks about right
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2018, 11:32:54 am »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.

lol
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2018, 11:33:18 am »

But I thought Cruz was more vulnerable than Heller!!! Anyway, Likely R.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2018, 11:37:13 am »

Looks like Beto has a chance to make it closer given he has higher support among registered voters, but obviously not enough to win. Still impressive for a Democrat in Texas, but close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades.

Also Trump's approval is awful here for a Republican, possibility we could be looking at this again in two years.
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yeah_93
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2018, 11:46:15 am »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.

lol
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Politician
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2018, 11:52:38 am »

Sticking with Cruz +3.
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Skunk
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2018, 11:53:38 am »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.
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Marianne Williamson
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2018, 11:57:06 am »

Texas Oklahoma continues to be a disappointment to this country.
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The Mikado
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2018, 12:01:17 pm »

This poll is a really good example of how effective O'Rourke's campaign is...it has Cruz up by 7 while Abbott's routing by 18 points.

I've said Cruz by 5-7 for a whole year at this point. No reason to change my opinion on that. Where I differ from people on this thread is seeing a Dem down by mid-single digits as a major milestone in Texas' glacial shift, rather than a disappointment.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: October 16, 2018, 12:08:21 pm »

Pretty much every decent pollster has shown Cruz ahead by 7-9 points. And with only 3 weeks to go, I don't think O'Rourke has enough time to make up that much ground. Safe Rafael.
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wbrocks67
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« Reply #13 on: October 16, 2018, 12:15:35 pm »

RV is +5, so it depends on the LV model. I don't think anyone really knows what the electorate will look like this year.

Frustrating thing is Trump is 41/50 approval among all Texas adults. If only most of them would vote, it would be way easier to go Dem.
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Secret Cavern Survivor
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« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2018, 12:47:40 pm »

Yeah, it's pretty clear this race is over. Still, Beto gave it all he could and I look forward to a historic performance. He'll also be building up the enthusiasm and infrastructure that will eventually propel a Democratic victory in Texas.
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Pandaguineapig
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« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2018, 12:57:14 pm »

Not to mention Cnn polls have been overly favorable to Democrats all cycle. Bobby o'Rourke has followed a long line of Texas Democrats who raise insane sums of money from gullible out of state leftists before losing badly and leaving the state
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Gass3268
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« Reply #16 on: October 16, 2018, 01:00:04 pm »

Not to mention Cnn polls have been overly favorable to Democrats all cycle. Bobby o'Rourke has followed a long line of Texas Democrats who raise insane sums of money from gullible out of state leftists before losing badly and leaving the state

78% of his donors have from Texas.
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RoboWop
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« Reply #17 on: October 16, 2018, 01:08:32 pm »

Not to mention Cnn polls have been overly favorable to Democrats all cycle. Bobby o'Rourke has followed a long line of Texas Democrats who raise insane sums of money from gullible out of state leftists before losing badly and leaving the state

78% of his donors have from Texas.

Not a counterpoint.
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Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
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« Reply #18 on: October 16, 2018, 01:08:33 pm »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.

It is only a disappointment if you had unrealistic expectations. Have sensible expectations and you won't be disappointed so often.
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Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
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« Reply #19 on: October 16, 2018, 01:08:33 pm »

Beto is continuing to post pretty amazing numbers with White voters in these polls. Cruz is only winning whites 66-33. In a year with Presidential-level non-white turnout, Beto would have a very real prospect of winning if he could post those sort of numbers with whites.

Beto, however, is only winning non-whites by 62-32.

There does seem to be a tendency in polls to sometimes overstate Dem support among whites and underestimate it among non-whites.

However, if the polls are correct on the white voters but incorrect on the non-whites, that seems to me like the most likely way it could potentially be a bit closer than it seems.
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New Frontier
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« Reply #20 on: October 16, 2018, 01:21:44 pm »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.

It is only a disappointment if you had unrealistic expectations. Have sensible expectations and you won't be disappointed so often.
No, I never had too high expectations but still...Ted Cruz should not hold public office much less be a United States Senator.
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #21 on: October 16, 2018, 01:31:59 pm »

Looks about right
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Old School Republican
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« Reply #22 on: October 16, 2018, 01:32:29 pm »

Why has this race been polled more than the MO senate race
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #23 on: October 16, 2018, 01:44:29 pm »

Why has this race been polled more than the MO senate race

I know, I'm getting sick of this race. I think the national media is obsessed with taking down Cruz.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #24 on: October 16, 2018, 01:45:34 pm »

Cruz will probably win this by +10 on election day.
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