Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
July 16, 2019, 11:40:35 am
News: 2019 Gubernatorial Predictions are now active

  Atlas Forum
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TX: CNN/SSRS: Sen. Cruz (R) +7 (search mode)
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: TX: CNN/SSRS: Sen. Cruz (R) +7  (Read 1334 times)
Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
The Impartial Spectator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,817


P P
« on: October 16, 2018, 01:08:33 pm »

Texas continues to be a disappointment to this country.

It is only a disappointment if you had unrealistic expectations. Have sensible expectations and you won't be disappointed so often.
Logged
Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
The Impartial Spectator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,817


P P
« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2018, 01:08:33 pm »

Beto is continuing to post pretty amazing numbers with White voters in these polls. Cruz is only winning whites 66-33. In a year with Presidential-level non-white turnout, Beto would have a very real prospect of winning if he could post those sort of numbers with whites.

Beto, however, is only winning non-whites by 62-32.

There does seem to be a tendency in polls to sometimes overstate Dem support among whites and underestimate it among non-whites.

However, if the polls are correct on the white voters but incorrect on the non-whites, that seems to me like the most likely way it could potentially be a bit closer than it seems.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC