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November 11, 2019, 03:12:51 pm
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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  FL-St. Pete's: Gillum +1
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Author Topic: FL-St. Pete's: Gillum +1  (Read 818 times)
RogueBeaver
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« on: October 17, 2018, 06:06:03 am »

47/46. Previous poll was a tie at 47.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 06:14:51 am »


Looks like the smear campaign didn't work against him as well as hoped.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2018, 07:06:20 am »


Looks like the smear campaign didn't work against him as well as hoped.

St. Pete is a joke all around. They had Romney +8 and Crist +7 in October of those years

I don't even think RCP has them around.
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Senator Barbara Bollier
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2018, 08:27:20 am »

Gillum doing three points better than Nelson is definitely believable.
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Xing
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2018, 10:59:20 am »

Not great, but Gillum is still favored, albeit narrowly.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2018, 11:01:25 am »

Both senate and governor races will go down to the wire per usual in this state.
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Sentor MAINEiac4434 of Lincoln
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2018, 11:22:07 am »

De Santis still hasnít led since the primary.
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Edgar Suit Larry
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2018, 11:24:30 am »

Both senate and governor races will go down to the wire per usual in this state.

Think there could be a recount?
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auburntiger
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2018, 12:01:46 pm »

Wouldnít put it out of the realm of possibilities. It has happened before!
+1 gillum and +2 Scott are both believable but we are still well within the MOE. I said on another thread this race will get much closer than Gillum +9. Both parties are guaranteed a 47% floor. Early voting in Orange County starts Monday
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2018, 07:14:16 pm »

Both senate and governor races will go down to the wire per usual in this state.

And I've been scorned so much by it. I really hope, that even if the margins are razor thin, for  Gillum/Nelson victories. It would improve my opinion of the state enough to make me want to apologize for all the s*** I've given it on this forum.
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auburntiger
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2018, 09:47:48 pm »

Both senate and governor races will go down to the wire per usual in this state.

And I've been scorned so much by it. I really hope, that even if the margins are razor thin, for  Gillum/Nelson victories. It would improve my opinion of the state enough to make me want to apologize for all the s*** I've given it on this forum.

Both races are going to be fascinating to watch. While turnout will be the ultimate factor, I have spoken with quite a few people who are ticket splitting for DeSantis/Nelson. These are moderate  voters for Gwen Graham in the primary who think Gillum is a bridge too far ideologically, but believe Scott is a terrible person altogether (red tide is one factor). Itíll be interesting to see if turnout exceeds 2016 - I think it actually might.  There are so many cross-currents at play here affecting both races.
1) two centrists running for senate (by Florida standards)
2) two ideologues for governor (by Florida standards)
3) trumpís approval is net +2 (at least thatís the last one I saw)
4) red tide - Everglades Trust endorses DeSantis - does this help DeSantis?
5) Hurricane Michael- does the panhandle turnout drop effectively helping Gillum?
6) Polling- Gillum never led in any primary polling; DeSantis has yet to lead in GE polling- can we trust the polls are correct now?
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Senator ON Progressive
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2018, 10:11:37 pm »

Both senate and governor races will go down to the wire per usual in this state.

And I've been scorned so much by it. I really hope, that even if the margins are razor thin, for  Gillum/Nelson victories. It would improve my opinion of the state enough to make me want to apologize for all the s*** I've given it on this forum.

Both races are going to be fascinating to watch. While turnout will be the ultimate factor, I have spoken with quite a few people who are ticket splitting for DeSantis/Nelson. These are moderate  voters for Gwen Graham in the primary who think Gillum is a bridge too far ideologically, but believe Scott is a terrible person altogether (red tide is one factor). Itíll be interesting to see if turnout exceeds 2016 - I think it actually might.  There are so many cross-currents at play here affecting both races.
1) two centrists running for senate (by Florida standards)
2) two ideologues for governor (by Florida standards)
3) trumpís approval is net +2 (at least thatís the last one I saw)
4) red tide - Everglades Trust endorses DeSantis - does this help DeSantis?
5) Hurricane Michael- does the panhandle turnout drop effectively helping Gillum?
6) Polling- Gillum never led in any primary polling; DeSantis has yet to lead in GE polling- can we trust the polls are correct now?


So they think Gillum is too liberal so they're voting for...a Trump clone? Jesus Christ, moderates are useless sometimes.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2018, 11:43:59 pm »


Looks like the smear campaign didn't work against him as well as hoped.

St. Pete is a joke all around. They had Romney +8 and Crist +7 in October of those years
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