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November 17, 2019, 09:43:13 am
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  TN (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA): Blackburn +3
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Author Topic: TN (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA): Blackburn +3  (Read 2039 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 17, 2018, 06:53:36 am »

Blackburn (R) 47%
Bredesen (D) 44%

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-statepoll/republican-has-narrow-lead-in-tennessee-u-s-senate-race-poll-idUSKCN1MR1EB?feedType=RSS&feedName=politicsNews&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social
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WB said Trans Rights
weatherboy1102
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 06:55:34 am »

tilt/lean R. LOL at people saying this was safe R
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Zaybay
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2018, 07:40:31 am »

This is reuters.....
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2018, 07:54:21 am »


It is Safe R.

Iím sorry but I truly think Texas is more in play than this race is.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2018, 08:21:14 am »

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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2018, 08:25:44 am »


I thought Reuters was a bad pollster? (it is)
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Politician
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2018, 08:27:31 am »

But Atlas told me this race was already over...
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2018, 09:45:24 am »


It is. This is a Reuters/Ipsos poll, lol.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2018, 09:59:14 am »

Reuters is objective news-gathering. It looks like an outlier... but so where 5the polls that suggested that Republicans were winning in 2016.

Change in political reality in the form of polling appears first as outliers.
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Tulsi "Both sides" Gabbard
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2018, 10:06:12 am »


Yeah, everybody knows how Dem leaning Tennessee undecideds are.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2018, 10:38:19 am »

I think that's where the race is at the moment.

With leaners it's 49-46.

Blackburn wins Rs by 89-8, Bredesen Dems by 94-4 and Indys by 63-21.
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Still couldn't quell the Bel
xingkerui
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2018, 10:40:05 am »

Yeah, sure Bredesen will do 4 points better than Rosen Roll Eyes. Honestly, it really doesn't seem like the pollsters know what is going on or what kind of turnout to expect.
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MycroftCZ
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2018, 11:01:14 am »

THIS. RACE. IS. NOT. OVER.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2018, 11:03:46 am »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...
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Technocracy Timmy
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« Reply #14 on: October 17, 2018, 11:05:00 am »

Atlas in sheer desperation to prove that an unwinnable race is winnable is embracing a Reuters poll.

Letís see how a state with more white evangelicals than Alabama and far less black voters treats ya.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2018, 11:06:37 am »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

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Senate/SCOTUS/EC Delenda Est 👁
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« Reply #16 on: October 17, 2018, 11:09:05 am »

LOL @ anyone changing their opinion based on a reuters poll.
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2018, 11:11:50 am »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

Image Link

Donít bother him with facts.
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Dr. RI
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2018, 11:13:08 am »

Can someone fill me in on the hate for Reuters/Ipsos polls? They don't produce "consistent" results, but that's not a mark of a bad pollster at all.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2018, 11:14:44 am »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

(misleading chart)

Donít bother him with facts.

Your chart is missing the percentages.

Since the year started, Bredesen and Blackburn have been within 4% all the time.

There have been 2 major outlier polls: the Axios and the NYT poll.
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MycroftCZ
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2018, 11:21:14 am »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

(misleading chart)

Donít bother him with facts.

Your chart is missing the percentages.

Since the year started, Bredesen and Blackburn have been within 4% all the time.

There have been 2 major outlier polls: the Axios and the NYT poll.

Exactly, this race has been consistently close, other than a flawed NYT poll and the Axios poll, which was conducted right after the Kavanaugh mess. Bredesen is running a strong campaign and Blackburn is turning off a lot of moderates and Independents. Blackburn has the advantage, but it's still a Tossup, maybe Tilt R, in my book.
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Politician
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« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2018, 11:21:43 am »
« Edited: October 17, 2018, 11:31:50 am by Politician »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

(misleading chart)

Don’t bother him with facts.

Your chart is missing the percentages.

Since the year started, Bredesen and Blackburn have been within 4% all the time.

There have been 2 major outlier polls: the Axios and the NYT poll.

Exactly, this race has been consistently close, other than a flawed NYT poll and the Axios poll, which was conducted right after the Kavanaugh mess. Bredesen is running a strong campaign and Blackburn is turning off a lot of moderates and Independents. Blackburn has the advantage, but it's still a Tossup, maybe Tilt R, in my book.
Shh, don't confuse IceSpear, Technocracy Timmy and MT Treasurer with facts.
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TarHeelDem
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« Reply #22 on: October 17, 2018, 11:23:11 am »

Looks about right. Tilt R.
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Still couldn't quell the Bel
xingkerui
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« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2018, 11:26:28 am »

Wish I could say that Atlas is the only place where people think Democrats have a better chance of winning freaking Tennessee than Nevada, but I know that's not the case. I'll say more than the opposite of what I say about Nevada. If Bredesen somehow wins, Republicans are losing in a blue tsunami so big that they might actually lose about 100 House seats.
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Landslide Andy
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« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2018, 11:27:15 am »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

(misleading chart)

Donít bother him with facts.

Your chart is missing the percentages.

Since the year started, Bredesen and Blackburn have been within 4% all the time.

There have been 2 major outlier polls: the Axios and the NYT poll.

What kind of Bernie Math is this? All the polls of this race in the last month, in chronological order:

Blackburn +14 (Siena)
Blackburn +3 (Reuters)
Blackburn +8 (YouGov)
Blackburn +5 (FOX)
Tie (SurveyMonkey)
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