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September 16, 2019, 01:09:06 am
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  2018 Senatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TN (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA): Blackburn +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: TN (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA): Blackburn +3  (Read 1841 times)
Politician
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Posts: 8,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
« on: October 17, 2018, 08:27:31 am »

But Atlas told me this race was already over...
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Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 11:21:43 am »
« Edited: October 17, 2018, 11:31:50 am by Politician »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

(misleading chart)

Don’t bother him with facts.

Your chart is missing the percentages.

Since the year started, Bredesen and Blackburn have been within 4% all the time.

There have been 2 major outlier polls: the Axios and the NYT poll.

Exactly, this race has been consistently close, other than a flawed NYT poll and the Axios poll, which was conducted right after the Kavanaugh mess. Bredesen is running a strong campaign and Blackburn is turning off a lot of moderates and Independents. Blackburn has the advantage, but it's still a Tossup, maybe Tilt R, in my book.
Shh, don't confuse IceSpear, Technocracy Timmy and MT Treasurer with facts.
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Politician
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,172
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.00, S: -4.00

P P P
« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2018, 11:29:21 am »


Of course it isn't.

Just because there's an outlier poll conducted after the Trump visit and massive GOP spending, it doesn't mean it's over.

Dems have reserved millions of $ for the final few weeks as well ...

"An outlier poll"

(misleading chart)

Donít bother him with facts.

Your chart is missing the percentages.

Since the year started, Bredesen and Blackburn have been within 4% all the time.

There have been 2 major outlier polls: the Axios and the NYT poll.

What kind of Bernie Math is this? All the polls of this race in the last month, in chronological order:

Blackburn +14 (Siena)
Blackburn +3 (Reuters)
Blackburn +8 (YouGov)
Blackburn +5 (FOX)
Tie (SurveyMonkey)
He was talking about removing these two polls, which are pretty obvious outliers.
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