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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  GA (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA): Kemp +1
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Author Topic: GA (Reuters/Ipsos/UVA): Kemp +1  (Read 544 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 17, 2018, 06:54:19 am »

Kemp (R) 47%
Abrams (D) 46%

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-statepoll/republican-has-narrow-lead-in-tennessee-u-s-senate-race-poll-idUSKCN1MR1EB?feedType=RSS&feedName=politicsNews&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 06:55:32 am »

Abrams seems to be performing about as well as Hillary (percentage-wise) so far.  I imagine she'll probably close the gap in the next couple weeks, but there seems to be a pattern with Dems in Georgia here.
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Prolocutor Bagel23
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2018, 11:16:51 am »

Abrams is stuck at her mid forties ceiling, if she can't break that ceiling, then Kemp will win. Abrams won't win, regardless of your personal preference or not caring (and I am fine with her being governor obviously I want her to win), Georgia as a state is not ready and too backward to elect a black woman statewide.
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NV less likely to flip than FL/WI
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2018, 11:17:54 am »

Arizona and Georgia are going to be Charlie Brown and the football for Democrats again this year, aren't they? Roll Eyes
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Fmr. Pres. Griff
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2018, 11:29:48 am »

>Reuters/Ipsos

In all seriousness, assuming we get some decent polling in the final stretch, we'll know in about one week whether the treacherous suburbrons are gonna pull their usual last-minute shtick (which will result in Kemp pretty consistently polling in the 48-50% range) - though perhaps this time, it may be the rowdy rubes who put the screws to Democrats.

Quote
For reference, this week in 2014 (average of 7 polls conducted during that week):

45.7% Deal (+1.6)
44.1% Carter

And the following week (average of 9 polls conducted during that week):

47.3% Deal (+4.2)
43.1% Carter
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Virginiá
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2018, 11:35:09 am »

Arizona and Georgia are going to be Charlie Brown and the football for Democrats again this year, aren't they? Roll Eyes

tbf, insofar as the Gov race is concerned, Arizona pulls its football long before election day.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2018, 07:11:11 pm »

Arizona and Georgia are going to be Charlie Brown and the football for Democrats again this year, aren't they? Roll Eyes

I personally always thought they would be. These states may be moving towards the Democrats but not fast or soon enough. It's the same with North Carolina. They are all fool's gold.
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