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Author Topic: CA (USC Dornsife/LA Times): Newsom +23  (Read 455 times)
wbrocks67
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« on: October 17, 2018, 08:26:18 am »

Newsom (D) 54%
Cox (R) 31%

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-usc-latimes-poll-governor-20181017-story.html
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Sir Mohamed
MohamedChalid
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 08:48:50 am »

The margin looks accurate. Safe D.

I'm surprised CA has been polled that much.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2018, 09:10:47 am »

But junk polls told me Cox is in it to win it! Are you saying I shouldn't have believed them?!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2018, 09:12:22 am »

The margin looks accurate. Safe D.

I'm surprised CA has been polled that much.

California still has multiple local news organizations that want to see quality polls done of their state.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2018, 09:13:52 am »

Tilts D. I don't want to discount the quality Newsom +4 poll.
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Neoliberalbusters
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2018, 09:14:58 am »

ExtremeConservative said this would flip in a Clinton midterm, though.
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IA more R than GA/TX/OH/FL
IndyRep
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2018, 09:22:52 am »

That Newsom +4 "poll" was about as believable as the Tester +24/Heller +7 "polls", lol.
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tack50
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2018, 09:38:19 am »

#Newsomunder55
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Secret Cavern Survivor
Antonio V
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2018, 02:11:19 pm »

This is more believable.
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Progressive Pessimist
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2018, 07:14:46 pm »

Hmmm...still looks like a tossup to me.
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NV less likely to flip than FL
xingkerui
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2018, 08:01:01 pm »

I dunno man, Newsom seems really overrated tbh, and Buehler's megacoattails will probably give Cox a huge bump.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2018, 08:07:36 pm »

I dunno man, Newsom seems really overrated tbh, and Buehler's megacoattails will probably give Cox a huge bump.

The holy trifecta of megacoattails from Buehler, Heller, and Laxalt will propel Cox to victory.
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Dukakisite1988
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2018, 06:21:32 am »

As far as the margin goes people have been putting too much stock into the 2016 presidential result here. That showed the GOP at pretty much their floor in the state and the Dems at their ceiling. Somewhere around 59-41 would count as a 'normal' result. California isn't about to become the Democrats' answer to Wyoming.
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