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Author Topic: NH-Saint Anslem College: Sununu +10  (Read 698 times)
Fremont Speaker ON Progressive
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« on: October 17, 2018, 05:58:03 pm »

Sununu (R-inc) 49
Kelly (D) 39

https://www.anselm.edu/new-hampshire-institute-politics/gubernatorial-and-congressional-races-take-shape-latest-poll
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2018, 05:59:35 pm »

Under 50...
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2018, 06:01:56 pm »

Quote
“In the race for Governor, incumbent Chris Sununu currently maintains a 49%-39% lead over challenger Molly Kelly on the strength of an 88%-4% lead among Republican voters, 46%-34% among Independents, and 54%-32% among men. Kelly leads among Democrats 80%-10% and has a slight lead with women, 45%-43%.This race will likely tighten as Kelly picks up uncommitted Democrats and Independents down the stretch.”

But Politician told me Sununu was guaranteed to win by 25+ points because of muh April polls.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2018, 06:02:39 pm »

Quote
“In the race for Governor, incumbent Chris Sununu currently maintains a 49%-39% lead over challenger Molly Kelly on the strength of an 88%-4% lead among Republican voters, 46%-34% among Independents, and 54%-32% among men. Kelly leads among Democrats 80%-10% and has a slight lead with women, 45%-43%. This race will likely tighten as Kelly picks up uncommitted Democrats and Independents down the stretch.

Edit: Oh, IceSpear already posted this, lol.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2018, 06:06:01 pm »

Quote
“In the race for Governor, incumbent Chris Sununu currently maintains a 49%-39% lead over challenger Molly Kelly on the strength of an 88%-4% lead among Republican voters, 46%-34% among Independents, and 54%-32% among men. Kelly leads among Democrats 80%-10% and has a slight lead with women, 45%-43%. This race will likely tighten as Kelly picks up uncommitted Democrats and Independents down the stretch.

Edit: Oh, IceSpear already posted this, lol.



And we were mocked for saying this would tighten...Sununu completely flat while Kelly just goes up and up...
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2018, 06:08:20 pm »

Likely R.  LOL @ all those who said Molly Kelly was some sort of titan who could take down a two-year governor.
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2018, 06:10:04 pm »

And we were mocked for saying this would tighten...Sununu completely flat while Kelly just goes up and up...

The climbing continues Wink But yeah, I’m pretty sure she’ll win by 3 when it’s all said and done, and it doesn't take a rocket scientist to read the tea leaves here.
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2018, 06:14:27 pm »

Wouldn't surprise me if this tightened a bit more, but I expect Sununu to win over Climbing Kelly.
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Bevinevitable
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2018, 06:15:16 pm »

Likely R.  LOL @ all those who said Molly Kelly was some sort of titan who could take down a two-year governor.

I mean, she went from a ~25 point deficit to a ~10 point deficit. Even if she goes no further, that's pretty damn impressive considering Atlas told me that Flawless Beautiful Chris was supposed to be Charlie Baker 2.0.
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2018, 06:33:11 pm »

#SununuUnder50
#Kellymentum
#SununuMoreLikelyToLoseThenWalkerorReynolds
#SafeDNH
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Calm NH Lib
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2018, 07:05:13 pm »

I could see Kelly beating Sununu, but it would be difficult. Van Ostern came surprisingly close to winning in 2016; that's what's making a Kelly win seem a little more plausible than the polls indicate. Also Sununu is trash for signing that voting bill that disenfranchised out-of-state college students in NH. He deserves to be ousted for this. 
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The Inevitable Kevin Stitt
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2018, 07:07:35 pm »

This is as Likely D as North Dakota is!
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olowakandi
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2018, 04:21:53 am »

This is as Likely D as North Dakota is!

Molly Kelly surge is amazing, NH is a must win in 2020
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Kyrsten Sinema Hack
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« Reply #13 on: October 18, 2018, 06:49:16 am »

At UNH, the College Dems campaigning for Kelly are mainly attacking Sununu for that law that would not allow out of state students to vote in NH. Several members of the club have approached me and asked me to switch my voter registration from RI to NH...imo it’s not worth it because Sununu will win and then I will have to switch back anyway. Likely R (closer to Lean than Safe at this point though).
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« Reply #14 on: October 18, 2018, 12:43:06 pm »

I could see Kelly beating Sununu, but it would be difficult. Van Ostern came surprisingly close to winning in 2016; that's what's making a Kelly win seem a little more plausible than the polls indicate. Also Sununu is trash for signing that voting bill that disenfranchised out-of-state college students in NH. He deserves to be ousted for this. 

Yeah he’s such a bad guy for making sure that only NH taxpayers can vote in a NH election. Those who don’t live in the state shouldn’t have a say on how we run our state
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olowakandi
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« Reply #15 on: October 18, 2018, 02:05:59 pm »

NH Dems close fast in waning days of campaign. Hope Kelly pulls it off
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Calm NH Lib
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2018, 03:18:59 pm »

I could see Kelly beating Sununu, but it would be difficult. Van Ostern came surprisingly close to winning in 2016; that's what's making a Kelly win seem a little more plausible than the polls indicate. Also Sununu is trash for signing that voting bill that disenfranchised out-of-state college students in NH. He deserves to be ousted for this.  

Yeah he’s such a bad guy for making sure that only NH taxpayers can vote in a NH election. Those who don’t live in the state shouldn’t have a say on how we run our state

It was a completely political decision. Sununu and the Republicans know that Durham, Hanover, and Keene are full of liberal college students, and they want to make it that much harder for these folks to participate. Why change the existing law? And plus, the Republican strongholds along the MA border are full of tax exiles from Massachusetts who want to pay as little tax as possible without going full libertarian, so there's that.
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« Reply #17 on: October 18, 2018, 06:05:11 pm »

Safe R, obviously.
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #18 on: October 18, 2018, 06:25:49 pm »

Still a Toss-Up. The path back to a D gubernatorial majority goes right through this state, and both parties know it.
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Joni Ernst 20∞
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« Reply #19 on: October 18, 2018, 06:27:59 pm »

Still a Toss-Up. The path back to a D gubernatorial majority goes right through this state, and both parties know it.

What’s the deal with your signature, lol?
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« Reply #20 on: October 18, 2018, 06:40:50 pm »

I could see Kelly beating Sununu, but it would be difficult. Van Ostern came surprisingly close to winning in 2016; that's what's making a Kelly win seem a little more plausible than the polls indicate. Also Sununu is trash for signing that voting bill that disenfranchised out-of-state college students in NH. He deserves to be ousted for this.  

Yeah he’s such a bad guy for making sure that only NH taxpayers can vote in a NH election. Those who don’t live in the state shouldn’t have a say on how we run our state

It was a completely political decision. Sununu and the Republicans know that Durham, Hanover, and Keene are full of liberal college students, and they want to make it that much harder for these folks to participate. Why change the existing law? And plus, the Republican strongholds along the MA border are full of tax exiles from Massachusetts who want to pay as little tax as possible without going full libertarian, so there's that.

The people who live in the MA border towns like Salem, Hudson, Windham etc. actually live there full time. Not living in a dorm for a few months and going back to their actual home in other states when schools out
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #21 on: October 18, 2018, 06:42:37 pm »

Still a Toss-Up. The path back to a D gubernatorial majority goes right through this state, and both parties know it.

What’s the deal with your signature, lol?
I guess they've worked hard enough to earn The Coveted Wulfric Endorsement™.
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« Reply #22 on: October 18, 2018, 08:09:43 pm »

Still a Toss-Up. The path back to a D gubernatorial majority goes right through this state, and both parties know it.

What’s the deal with your signature, lol?

I'm using it to showcase my endorsements in a bipartisan way. Feinstein, Whitehouse, Curtis (R-HI), and Wicker have had a turn already, and now it's Donnelly/Fischer.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2018, 02:32:35 pm »

The only ones that can win statewide elections in NH are Shaheen and Maggie Hassan, Senate and Gov, though
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