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  2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
  TN Vanderbilt: Lee +11
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Author Topic: TN Vanderbilt: Lee +11  (Read 468 times)
TheRocketRaccoon
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« on: October 18, 2018, 07:18:42 am »

https://www.tennessean.com/story/news/politics/tn-elections/2018/10/18/tennessee-senate-poll-phil-bredesen-slim-edge-over-marsha-blackburn-vanderbilt/1675126002/

Lee 48
Dean 37
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2018, 10:28:26 am »

Dean still losing by double digits in a poll where Bredesen leads. This race is over. Safe R.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2018, 10:40:11 am »

Dean still losing by double digits in a poll where Bredesen leads. This race is over. Safe R.

How can it be over when it never even began?
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Southern Dep. Speaker Dwarven Dragon
Wulfric
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2018, 11:14:48 am »

Dean still losing by double digits in a poll where Bredesen leads. This race is over. Safe R.

How can it be over when it never even began?

I'm never sure how real it was, but most of Atlas viewed Dean as a good recruit, and I imagine a few pundits felt the same way.
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Let Dogs Survive
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2018, 11:18:01 am »

Dean still losing by double digits in a poll where Bredesen leads. This race is over. Safe R.

How can it be over when it never even began?

I'm never sure how real it was, but most of Atlas viewed Dean as a good recruit, and I imagine a few pundits felt the same way.

He was, Lee just happened to be even better and in a favorable state to his party.
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Southern Speaker Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2018, 11:20:19 am »

also, this is Tennessee - a Democratic candidate losing by double digits doesn't automatically become a bad recruit as a result...
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Peters/Daines more vulnerable than Shaheen/Ernst
IndyRep
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2018, 03:28:23 pm »

If this is the best Dean can do in a Vanderbilt poll, hes finished. This is a "sleeper race" the same way New Jersey Senate is. Safe R.
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North Fulton Democrat
mollybecky
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2018, 03:33:37 pm »

Lee would continue the run of moderate-conservative Republicans that Tennessee has been known to produce--not much different from Bill Haslam or Don Sundquist or Lamar Alexander.

Now, Marsha Blackburn is a different matter...
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ExtremeConservative
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2018, 03:51:17 pm »

Lee would continue the run of moderate-conservative Republicans that Tennessee has been known to produce--not much different from Bill Haslam or Don Sundquist or Lamar Alexander.

Now, Marsha Blackburn is a different matter...

Lee is significantly more conservative than Haslam.  Randy Boyd was running as Haslam 2.0 in the primaries.  If Boyd and Haslam were Kasich/Jeb (to use an analogy), it might be more accurate to compare Lee to Rubio or Cruz.  Black ran as Trump in the primary, and it's kind of hard to fit Harwell into it, but maybe a hybrid between Fiorina and Paul?
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North Fulton Democrat
mollybecky
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2018, 04:05:59 pm »

Lee would continue the run of moderate-conservative Republicans that Tennessee has been known to produce--not much different from Bill Haslam or Don Sundquist or Lamar Alexander.

Now, Marsha Blackburn is a different matter...

Lee is significantly more conservative than Haslam.  Randy Boyd was running as Haslam 2.0 in the primaries.  If Boyd and Haslam were Kasich/Jeb (to use an analogy), it might be more accurate to compare Lee to Rubio or Cruz.  Black ran as Trump in the primary, and it's kind of hard to fit Harwell into it, but maybe a hybrid between Fiorina and Paul?

I would put Lee in the Rubio mold--don't insult him with the Ted Cruz option...and I would think that a 2018 version of Bill Haslam would have difficulty winning the Republican nomination in TN.
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